GBPJPY took out the sell side liquidity and price is heading for a retest off the supply zone am looking forward for a strong rejections off that zone to sell down to a new lows for now wait for strong rejections for a selling opportunity JOIN AND ENJOY
https://www.tradingview.com/x/HTht4IbY/ There is a high chance that GBPJPY will retrace from the underlined resistance zone. A formation of a bearish engulfing candle indicates a strong bearish pressure. With a high probability, the price will drop to 194.0 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
? Chart Overview The chart represents the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, where the price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern consists of a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. However, as price approaches the apex of the triangle, a breakout is imminent, making this a high-probability trading opportunity. The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakdown, with price action likely to drop toward key support levels if the lower boundary of the triangle is breached. ? Breakdown of Key Chart Elements 1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation The symmetrical triangle is a well-known technical pattern that signals a period of consolidation before a significant move. It forms when: Buyers and sellers struggle for control, resulting in a narrowing price range. A breakout occurs when one side gains dominance, leading to an expansion in volatility. In this chart, the price is trapped within the triangle, gradually forming a squeeze, and a breakout is highly likely. 2. Resistance & Support Levels Understanding key support and resistance zones is crucial in determining the next price direction. ? Resistance Zone (~3,030 – 3,058 USD) Marked in yellow, this area has acted as a strong resistance. Multiple rejection points suggest that bulls are struggling to push prices higher. If price breaks above this zone, it could trigger a bullish rally. ? Support Level (~2,990 USD) This is a critical support zone that has been tested multiple times. The lower boundary of the triangle aligns with this level. A clean breakdown will likely trigger stop losses and aggressive selling pressure. ? Expected Breakdown & Price Projection The price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Based on technical probabilities, the higher likelihood is a breakdown, which is why the trade setup leans towards a short-selling opportunity. 3. Retesting Area (~3,015 – 3,020 USD) If price breaks below the triangle, it may retest the broken support before continuing downward. The retesting area is a critical zone where sellers may re-enter to drive prices lower. A failed retest (bounce back inside the triangle) would invalidate the bearish setup. ? Trading Strategy & Execution Plan This setup presents a well-structured short-selling opportunity based on the expected breakdown scenario. ? Short Entry Strategy Entry Confirmation: Short position can be taken once price breaks and closes below 2,990 USD (triangle support). Retest Entry: If price retests the breakdown zone (around 3,015 – 3,020 USD) and rejects, it confirms the bearish bias. Aggressive Entry: Traders who take early positions can enter a short once price approaches the lower triangle boundary with a tight stop-loss. ? Target Levels Upon confirmation of a breakdown, price action is likely to follow a measured move toward the following downside targets: Target 1: 2,942 USD (first major support level) Target 2: 2,920 USD (next key demand zone) These levels are determined by previous price reactions and historical support zones. ? Stop-Loss Placement To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high to protect against a fake breakout. Safe Stop Loss: Above 3,058 USD (strong resistance zone). Aggressive Stop Loss: Just above the breakout retest zone (~3,030 USD). ? Market Psychology & Risk Management Traders should consider the psychological aspects behind this setup: Bullish traders may attempt to defend the support zone, but a failure will lead to panic selling. Smart money (institutional traders) often use fake breakouts to trap early sellers before driving the price lower. Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid being caught in false moves. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) Entry: ~2,990 USD Target 1: 2,942 USD Target 2: 2,920 USD Stop Loss: 3,058 USD This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (RRR), making it a high-probability trade. ? Conclusion & Final Thoughts The symmetrical triangle is at its final stage, and a breakout is imminent. A break below 2,990 USD will likely confirm a bearish move. Retesting the breakdown zone (3,015 – 3,020 USD) is crucial for short entries. Downside targets are 2,942 USD and 2,920 USD based on historical support zones. Proper risk management is essential—always use stop-losses to mitigate potential losses. This setup presents a strong opportunity for short traders, but patience is key. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position.
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern with the following characteristics: Shape: Two converging downward-sloping trendlines. Breakout: Price breaks above the upper trendline. Volume: Declines during formation, increases on breakout. Target: Height of the wedge projected from the breakout point. Stop-loss: Below the most recent swing low inside the wedge.
Just as i published yesterday, we see gold respecting the bearish trend channel. still expecting more bearish liquidity sweep as we keep our sell positions still open at 3043 and re-entry at 3025. 3016 is a vital zone as that region depicts next market interaction, still watching market behaviour
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Pairs on Watch - FX:GBPAUD FX:AUDJPY FX:EURUSD A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day. Today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, and look at the 2890 line if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2990-2993, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3000-3005, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Based on numerous ideas indicating a breakout from the current downtrend, one as close to rising is oscillators midway towards their range. It is sitting on resistance, but too many things are going against a continuing pattern (not to say it can't happen) and staying within the current scope of things, but not likely, IMHO.
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