TELE is rebounding from the bottom of long term channel after making a Spring below major support. It is at perfect and least risky level of buy. BUY1 7.5 BUY2 7.1 TP1 8.2 TP2 8.8 LONGTERM TP 10.7 SL 6.6
A crash to 2650 is very likely in the next few weeks! Why? Let's take a look at the most popular oscillators - RSI, MACD and STOCHASTIC. Let's start with the RSI indicator on the monthly chart. The RSI indicator moves between 0 and 100. What we can see here is a strong horizontal resistance at the 85 level in the overbought region. Every time gold hits this strong resistance, a huge crash follows, specifically in 2006, 2008, 2020, and now in 2025. So this is a sell signal. We don't want to chase gold, while the RSI indicator is at such high levels - we want to wait for a pullback. The next is the MACD indicator - the histogram hit a new all-time high on gold. We have never seen such crazy levels on gold. The histogram is currently too far away from the 0 line, which is a sign of an extremely overbought market. What we want to do here is to wait for the histogram to return to 0 and buy. There isn't really any bearish sign on the MACD indicator yet, but if you want to wait for a confirmation, then wait for a first downtick on the histogram and sell. The last very popular indicator is STOCHASTIC . This indicator pretty much screams to sell, because both lines have been in the overbought territory since 2023. Plus, we have a bearish crossover this month (if the candle closes like today's price). To see this bearish crossover, you have to zoom in. So this indicator is giving us a bearish signal to sell gold. Additional bearish reasons: The first reason is that the price of gold just hit a major trendline on the monthly chart. Monthly charts are incredibly powerful, so you want to make sure to know what is going on here. Always trade with a valid trend. The next reason is an untested POC on the volume profile. This POC is exactly at 2650, so this should be a great buying opportunity! Please write a comment below and let me know what you think about this upcoming crash on GOLD? And are you bullish or bearish? Also hit the like button for more ideas on gold, so I know you are interested!
In this piece, I’ll touch on one of the most important topics — a core obstacle on the path to consistent and profitable trading. We need to explore where certain emotions come from and how to work with them in order to better understand ourselves. What truly fits our nature, what common mistakes we make, and how to avoid them moving forward. Until we learn how to navigate these internal roadblocks, we won’t be able to achieve stable financial results. The Scariest Part Let’s get straight to the point. The scariest thing that can happen to us in trading is a stop-loss being hit — in other words, taking a loss on a trade. Scary? I don’t think so. This is a parameter we can control ourselves. If we’re building a setup, we must define the size of the stop-loss — the amount we’re willing to risk if things go wrong. And keep in mind: this risk will always be there, no matter how experienced or skilled you become. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking that this time is different — that this setup feels so strong, so obvious, that there’s no way it could fail. Spoiler: that’s exactly when you should start tracking your trades. Every time you feel this kind of overconfidence, log it in a spreadsheet. I can already tell you what you’ll find: 1 to 3 out of 10 of those “super strong” setups will end up hitting your stop. Which means — your feeling of conviction had zero correlation with how price actually moved. The market simply didn’t care what you thought about it. And one step further: even if your technical model is solid and well-developed, you still can’t predict the future with certainty. That means you also can’t ever be 100% sure your stop won’t get hit. Does that make sense? Good — let’s move on. Loss Since we’re not all-powerful, we have to use stop-losses — and calculate them in a way that, at the very least, doesn’t make us feel pain when they’re hit. At the same time, the stop should be set at an optimal level, so we still feel the potential for profit. Otherwise, our brain won’t engage with the market properly — it won’t sense the reward, and that can distort our analysis. This often leads to vague, low-quality setups — but even that is far less dangerous than oversizing positions to the point where potential losses feel unbearable. See that fine line? Most of trading psychology and emotional control comes down to how we relate to loss. That’s where the real pressure is rooted. Emotional Space We experience both negative and positive emotions — that’s the full spectrum. Your trading will only be high-quality if you avoid emotional imbalance. In other words, you need to stay centered and calm. Any excess emotional charge — whether negative or positive — will inevitably work against you. If you’re stuck in the negative zone, you’ll start feeling anger and frustration, which will cloud your judgment and prevent you from thinking clearly during the trading process. But being too far into the positive zone is just as dangerous — it leads to greed and overconfidence, which often result in oversized positions and dangerously wide stop-losses. Both ends of the spectrum, if left unchecked, will push you into tilt — a state where you can no longer evaluate reality objectively and start making impulsive decisions. This is how traders end up losing a significant part — if not all — of their account. The Algorithm Let’s go back to what we covered earlier — the core catalyst behind tilt: violating your predefined stop-loss size. You must first determine a loss amount that feels emotionally tolerable to you. Ideally, this number should be fixed, and you should never exceed it (except later, as your account grows). Once you’ve done that, you now have a simple algorithm: you build your setups using the same fixed-risk amount — and under no circumstances should you go beyond that limit. This creates awareness in the brain. It knows the predefined threshold, is prepared for a negative outcome, and remains calm. Imagine a circle — as long as you stay within it, in your zone of comfort, you can operate with clarity and discipline. But the moment you step outside that circle, your mind starts to feel stress. And if you don’t catch yourself in time, that stress escalates — leading you straight into a tilt state. Emotional Triggers Here’s where it gets both complicated — and surprisingly simple. All you need to do is follow one rule. But even that becomes difficult for many, because they give in to greed — the kind that pushes you to increase position size just because the setup “feels certain” (something I’ve already mentioned before). On the other side of the spectrum, anger and frustration start to build — especially if you’ve just taken a loss and your mind shifts into “recovery mode.” That emotional urge makes you want to win it all back quickly, so you raise the size of your next trade — planning to return to your original account balance first, and then go back to your normal risk-management rules. That’s a fatal mistake. Here’s my advice: when you're in a drawdown — emotionally and financially — you should actually lower your stop size, not increase it, until you get back to a neutral baseline. Both negative emotions (sadness, anger, frustration, disappointment) and positive ones (joy, excitement, euphoria) can push you to break your risk limits. The emotional trigger may be different, but the outcome is the same: you oversize. The only time you should be trading is when you're in a neutral state of mind — for example, operating from a place of interest or curiosity. It’s All in Our Hands Understand this: we are the only ones truly responsible for executing our plan. If we increase our position size beyond what we should — that’s on us. If you know you’re making a mistake, why let it happen anyway? We control the entire process. If we truly don’t want to blow the account, we won’t — because we’ve calculated the risk beforehand. Let me repeat: if we follow the plan and don’t act impulsively, we will never blow our account. That’s the foundation for building consistency in trading. But the more unstable our emotional state becomes, the easier it is to step outside that “mental circle” and trigger a stress response. That stress inevitably leads to tilt. You’ll start reacting to everything — someone was rude to you, a fear of not having money for food, whatever. It all begins to pour into your trading: chaotic entries, random sizing, total abandonment of your risk rules. And in most cases, this spiral ends with one thing — a blown account. The Solution That’s why you should always monitor your emotional state — and ideally, keep a journal where you track how you feel each day. The moment you notice that you’re starting to lose control, step away from trading immediately. That’s the smartest decision you can make. I say this from experience — it’s been proven many times. Yes, it’s hard to do — I get it. But remind yourself of this: if you keep trading in that state, there’s a high chance you’ll lose a significant part of your account. And when that happens, you’ll feel even worse — blaming yourself for not stepping away when you could have. So yes, it’s difficult — but still far easier than dealing with the damage. The best move is to shut down your trading platform and avoid looking at charts for at least three full days. Shift your focus to something else entirely — anything that helps you stop obsessing over the market. When those thoughts disappear — the ones about urgently making money back or hitting a certain target — that’s when you’re ready to return to trading with a clear and steady mindset. The Takeaway This is the core of what happens inside us — and how to respond to it. In most cases, this is the exact cycle that plays out. Everything else — more unique emotional patterns, sudden urges to break your own limits — will emerge with time. Your job is to learn how to spot those triggers, notice your internal reactions, and pull yourself away from the screen before the damage is done. Wishing you strength and clarity on this path.
Trading Idea: Long Position on BTCUSDT This chart illustrates a broad overview on long position on BTCUSDT (Weekly Set up) Analysis: • Market Structure: The overall market structure is bullish. • Swing Structure: Market resisted at previous swing high. After the breakout, the market created a fair val-ue gap. • Fair Value Gap: On a weekly time frame, market now retraced back to fair value gap and moving toward the previous swing high.
I can see 2 probabilities to come this week based on trend formation and reversal trading. Explanation in the video.
The 3500 selling zone is the key level, the price is in an uptrend, but there are signs of profit taking, adjustment, selling to the 3260 zone is the imbalance zone.
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