https://www.tradingview.com/x/U0ui6gsh/ USDJPY - Classic bearish formation - Our team expects fall SUGGESTED TRADE: Swing Trade Sell USDJPY Entry Level - 153.32 Sl - 154.28 Tp - 151.61 Our Risk - 1% Start protection of your profits from lower levels ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
On the 1-hour chart for EUR/USD, the price is currently testing a descending trendline that has served as dynamic resistance over the past few days. After bouncing off a support level around 1.0453, the pair displays signs of strength and is nearing a crucial decision-making zone. The horizontal resistance at 1.0490 aligns with the trendline, and breaking through this area could signal a potential short-term bullish reversal. A potential buying opportunity may arise if EUR/USD successfully breaks above the downtrend line and subsequently retests the broken level, which could act as support. Expected Pattern : Breakout followed by Pullback. Buy Scenario : Confirmation: A breakout above 1.0490 with a strong close, followed by a pullback to retest this level as support. Entry Point: During the pullback, near the 1.0490 area (previous resistance potentially turning into support). Stop Loss: Set below 1.0475 to protect against false breakouts. Primary Target (TP1): 1.0560, a horizontal resistance (approximately 70 pips gain). Secondary Target (TP2): 1.0600, a psychological level and key resistance (approximately 110 pips gain). Alternative Scenario: Bearish Continuation If the price fails to surpass the 1.0490 resistance and drops below 1.0475, a retest of the support at 1.0450 is probable. Possible Sell : Close below 1.0453, targeting 1.0430 or lower. In Summary The primary scenario indicates a bullish outlook if EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.0490, with potential targets at 1.0560 and 1.0600. However, traders should keep an eye on price behavior at the resistance level, as a rejection may trigger renewed selling pressure. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
natural gas short Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position INSTRUCTIONS: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea. It reached target. is currently pulling back toward lower levels. The market has formed equal lows, and the price may drop below these equal lows before pushing into higher zones. I believe if the price rejects the support zone around 2665 and the upward trendline, there is a good chance the market will bounce back. This support level has been respected multiple times, as it acted as the top of the consolidation zone before. I expect the price to move lower, potentially testing the equal lows and the previous day's low, followed by a bullish reversal. My goal is resistance zone around 2700
The Santa Rally — a festive event characterized by silent nights and active markets. Every December, traders whisper about it with a mix of excitement and skepticism. But what exactly is this supposed year-end market surge? Is it a gift from the markets or just a glittery myth? Let’s unwrap the truth. ? What Is the Santa Rally? The Santa Rally refers to the tendency for stock markets to rise during the last few trading days of December and sometimes even the first few days of January. It’s like a financial advent calendar, but instead of dark chocolate, traders hope for green candles. The origins of this term aren’t entirely clear, but the event is widely observed. Analysts cite everything from holiday cheer to quarter-end, year-end portfolio adjustments as possible reasons. But beware — like a wrongly wrapped gift, the rally doesn’t always deliver what you expect. ? Fact or Festive Fiction? The Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly): Historical data does show that markets have a knack to perform well during the Santa Rally window. For instance, the S&P 500 SPX has delivered positive returns in about 75% of the observed periods since 1950. That’s better odds than guessing who’s going to win the “Ugly Sweater Contest” at the office. Not Guaranteed: However, let’s not confuse correlation with causation. While historical trends are nice to know, the market isn’t obliged to follow tradition. Geopolitical events, Fed decisions, or even a rogue tweet can easily knock this rally off course (especially now with the returning President-elect). ? Why Does the Santa Rally Happen? 1️⃣ Holiday Cheer : Investors, like everyone else, might be more optimistic during the holidays, leading to increased buying momentum. After all, not many things can say “joy to the world” like a bullish portfolio. 2️⃣ Tax-Loss Harvesting : Fund managers sell off losing positions in early December to offset gains for tax purposes. By the end of the month, they’re reinvesting, potentially pushing prices higher. 3️⃣ Low Liquidity : With many big players sipping mezcal espresso martinis on the Amalfi coast, trading volumes drop. Lower liquidity can amplify price movements, making small buying pressure feel like a full-blown rally. 4️⃣ New Year Optimism : Who doesn’t love a fresh start? Many traders sign off for the quarter on a positive, upbeat note and begin setting up positions for the year ahead, adding to upward swings. ⛄️ The Myth-Busting Clause While these factors seem plausible, not every Santa Rally is a blockbuster. For example, in years of significant economic uncertainty or bearish sentiment, the holiday spirit alone isn’t enough to lift the market. ? How to Trade the Santa Rally (Without Getting Grinched) 1️⃣ Set Realistic Expectations : Don’t expect a moonshot. The Santa Rally is more of a sleigh ride than a rocket launch. Focus on small, tactical trades instead of betting the farm on a rally (and yes, crypto included). 2️⃣ Watch Key Sectors : Historically, consumer discretionary and tech stocks often perform well during this period. Consider these areas, but always do your due diligence. 3️⃣ Manage Your Risk : With low liquidity, volatility can spike unexpectedly. Tighten your stop-losses and avoid overleveraging — Santa doesn’t cover margin calls. 4️⃣ Keep an Eye on Macro Events : Is the Fed hinting at rate cuts (hint: yes it is )? Is inflation stealing the spotlight (hint: yes it is )? These can overshadow any seasonal trends. ☄️ Crypto and Forex: Does Santa Visit Here Too? The Santa Rally isn’t exclusive to stocks. Forex markets can also see year-end movements as hedge funds, banks and other institutional traders close out currency positions. Meanwhile, traders in the crypto market have gotten used to living in heightened volatility not just during the holidays but at any time of the year. More recently, Donald Trump’s win was a major catalyst for an absolute beast of an updraft. ? Closing Thoughts: Naughty or Nice? The Santa Rally is a fascinating mix of tradition, psychology, and market mechanics. While it’s fun to believe in a market jolly, it’s better to stay prepared for anything out of the ordinary. So, are you betting on a rally this year, or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s discuss — drop your thoughts in the comments below and tell us how you’re planning to trade the year-end rush! ??
Above the redline, we can resume the uptrend. TP levels are on the chart. NFA
https://www.tradingview.com/x/l7aDBKPe/ NZDCAD - Classic bullish formation - Our team expects pullback SUGGESTED TRADE: Swing Trade Long NZDCAD Entry - 0.8192 Sl - 0.8169 Tp - 0.8232 Our Risk - 1% Start protection of your profits from lower levels ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Key Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Ryder System - Double Formation * WXY Wave Correction | Ranging Entry | Subdivision 1 * 136.00 USD | Support Area - Triple Formation * Retracement | Wave Y = 50% | Subdivision 2 * 176.40 USD | Pennant Structure | Subdivision 3 * Flag Structure | 183.65 USD Continuation Entry Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
https://www.tradingview.com/x/vontyjo0/ My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.2651 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.2715 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.2607 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Hello, traders! ?✨ Welcome to a new market analysis. Today, we’re diving into a trade on gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour chart. ? This precious metal continues to provide great opportunities, and this time is no different. I’ve decided to go long at the 2670 level, and here are the details of my strategy: - Entry (Long): 2670 - Take Profit (TP): 2734 - Stop Loss (SL): 2606 This trade is supported by technical analysis. The price appears to be holding a key support level, and indicators are signaling potential for an upward move. The stop-loss is set at 2606 to protect against unexpected reversals, while the take-profit target at 2734 aligns with a strong resistance zone. The risk-to-reward ratio here looks very promising. ? While my target is set, I’m always ready to adjust. If I see an opportunity to take profits earlier, I won’t hesitate to act. Staying flexible is key in trading! ?? What do you think of this setup? Are you trading gold this week? Let me know in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe for more trading insights! ? Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and consult a professional before making investment decisions.