https://www.tradingview.com/x/oxXOTTrA/ I see a confirmed bullish reversal on Dollar Index initiated after a test of a key daily horizontal support. A formation of a double bottom pattern on that and a consequent violation of its neckline provides a strong bullish signal. I think that the index will reach at least 105.0 level soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Die restriktive Haltung der Fed verstärkt sich Der Präsident der Atlanta Fed, Bostic, sagte, es werde „nur eine Zinssenkung in diesem Jahr“ geben (der Markt erwartete ursprünglich zwei), gepaart mit Powells Aussage, dass er „keine Eile habe, die Zinssätze zu senken“, gewann der US-Dollar an Unterstützung und Gold geriet unter Druck. Zollerhöhungen könnten den Rückgang der Inflation verzögern und die Lockerungspolitik weiter verzögern, was sich negativ auf Gold auswirkt. Wirtschaftsdaten und geopolitische Risiken waren miteinander verflochten Der US-Einkaufsmanagerindex für das verarbeitende Gewerbe fiel im März auf 49,8 (Kontraktionsbereich). Sollten die weiteren Daten schwach ausfallen, könnte dies den Rückgang des Goldpreises begrenzen. Die Gespräche zwischen Russland, den USA und Saudi-Arabien dauerten zwölf Stunden. Wenn ein Signal zur Entspannung der Situation ausgeht, könnte die Risikoaversion nachlassen, und wir müssen auf die Auswirkungen unerwarteter Nachrichten achten. Wichtige technische Punkte Widerstandsniveau: 3025–3030 (4 Stunden MA20 + vorheriger hoher Umwandlungsdruck) Unterstützungsniveau: 3010 (asiatischer Tiefpunkt) → 3000 psychologische Marke (die Trennlinie zwischen täglicher Stärke und Schwäche) Trendurteil: Nach drei aufeinanderfolgenden negativen Tagen auf der Tageslinie ist es kurzfristig immer noch bärisch, aber die Unterstützungsstärke der 3000er-Marke entscheidet darüber, ob der Rückgang anhält. Die heutige Betriebsstrategie ✅ Hauptstrategie: Rebound hoch Eintrag: 3025-3030 Bereichstest für leichte Lagerhallen Stop-Loss: 3035 (falsche Durchbrüche unbedingt verhindern) Ziel: 3015→3008 (schrittweise Gewinnmitnahme) Logik: Unterdrückung durch die Federal Reserve + technischer Aufschwung stößt auf Hindernisse, bessere Gewinn-Verlust-Relation. ⚠ Teilstrategie: Schlüsselunterstützung ist kurz und lang (vorsichtig) Eintrag: Langbestellungen nahe 3010 (nur Fast-In und Fast-Out) Stop-Loss: 3005 (wird ungültig, wenn das Unternehmen 3000 durchbricht) Ziel: 3018 (5-8 Gewinnpunkte reichen aus) Hinweis: Langfristige Bestellungen müssen strikt gestoppt werden, und Konservative können abwarten. Risikowarnung Ein Durchbruch unter 3000 → könnte den Rückgang in Richtung 2980 (täglicher MA60) beschleunigen. Durchbruch über 3035 → Warten Sie nach einem kurzen Stop-Loss ab und warten Sie auf eine höhere Position, bevor Sie planen. ★ Konzentrieren Sie sich auf 22:00 US-ISM-Einkaufsmanagerindex für das verarbeitende Gewerbe (wenn er unter 49,8 liegt, könnte dies den Goldpreis ankurbeln) Das Ergebnis der Gespräche zwischen Russland und den Vereinigten Staaten (wenn es einen Ausdruck von „Entspannung der Situation“ gibt, wird es negativ für Gold sein). Handelsdisziplin: Wir befinden uns derzeit in einer Anpassungsphase und alle Operationen müssen mit Stop-Losses durchgeführt werden! Vor allem Short- und Hilfs-Long-Orders über 3025 sind kostengünstiger.
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https://www.tradingview.com/x/FUzLKCwk/ The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days. In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15). If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag. The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control. They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead? If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest. If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase. For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move. ? The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup. 1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis ? Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness. However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase. This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge. ? Key Observations: ✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers. ✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. ✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend. ⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum. The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch ? Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957) The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout. This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength. The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. ? Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000) The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels. If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support. A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower. 3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning! ? What is a Rising Wedge? A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines. It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control. Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop. ? Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis: BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing. The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline. The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600. 4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios ? Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500). ✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation. ✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level). ✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management. ? Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!) If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid. A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000. Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions. 5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts ⚠ Risk Factors to Consider: If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown. Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior. Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively. ? Conclusion: The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000. ? Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation! Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? ?
potential bullish movement on the long term, following a temporary downtrend
OANDA:NZDJPY is approaching a key resistance zone, a level where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable bearish reversals in the past. This area is marked by strong selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control. The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through signals like bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward 86.100, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, opening the door for further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
The early stages of everything tend to be confusing and uncertain, including newborn companies. Even when they have self-evident potential to succeed, it’s not easy to foretell what they’ll become. Yet, investing in the right companies in their early days can change the entire business landscape in the future. Luckily, there’s no shortage of investors […]
Scope Prime has announced the appointment of Debbie Georgiou as Institutional Business Development Manager, based in Cyprus. With a remit that includes new business development as well as managing existing client relationships in the EMEA region, Debbie Georgiou will aim to further expand Rostro Financial Group’s institutional liquidity brand across the industry. The appointment follows […]
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has announced that its Crypto Task Force will hold four additional roundtable discussions this spring, focusing on key regulatory issues within the cryptocurrency sector. The initiative, part of the SEC’s “Spring Sprint Toward Crypto Clarity,” aims to engage with industry stakeholders to refine regulatory approaches to digital assets. […]