ZW (Chicago Wheat) is setup for longs based on COT positioning and other fundamental indicators.
Reason #1: Gold reached $3000/oz and it has a strong tendency to pullback after reaching $1000 multiples for the first time as can be seen on the chart, specifically when it first reached $1000 and $2000. $1900 which is a whole number in the ballpark of $2000 was also stiff resistance in 2011. Reason #2: Gold has been above the 52-week simple moving average for over 1 year. This alone is not reason enough to go short, as gold can stay above the 52-week average for 3 years like it did starting in 2008, but it is indicative of gold having rallied for an extended period of time without having any routine pullbacks. In the absence of routine pullbacks, gold can be said to be "past due" for a pullback the same way a person can be said to be "past due" for a dental appointment. A person being past due for a dental appointment isn't necessarily going to go to the dentist any time soon, but they will have to go eventually and the longer they put it off, the more cavities they'll have to have filled and possibly root canals once they do. This "number of days above moving average" metric is plotted at the bottom of the chart. Reason #3: Gold tends to correct during stock market crashes. If the stock market keeps crashing, gold will likely follow, as it more often than not does. Reason #4: Precious metals and industrial metals have dropped tremendously with the "Liberation Day" and retaliatory tariff announcements. Gold has been holding up like a champ in comparison. If other metals are rallying, it might not be a great time to short gold, but if they continue dumping or hold steady at or near current levels, gold may very well follow suit due to being in the same commodity family. Not a great reason, but a reason. Reason #5: Gold is extended. Draw any trendline, look at any indicator, gold is flying high. This is similar to reason #2 but is less specific. One might consider looking to catch downswings, particularly when price is below 3000. Gold is long-term bullish, but poised for downside price action in the near term. Previous peak to troth moves with similar setups: May 2006: -25.76% over 5 weeks Mar 2008: -18.15% over 6 weeks Sep 2011: -20.19% over 3 weeks Aug 2020: -14.97% over 17 weeks Current move: -4.8% over 1 week 2700 (-14.88%) before first week of August 2025 is a comparable move to the Aug 2020 move. 2530 (-20.12%) by April 25th 2025 is a comparable move to the Sep 2011 move.
NAZ is likely to retest 2024 Open Level (blue line). Red Zone is previous Failed Auction zone and usually we see a bounce on these. May see drop under or gap open Sunday at blue line with slight bounce back up to FA Zone. Diablo's are all over the place and may keep the pressure with lower moves in the range/zone. Archie Bunker is feeling the Heat, back to TV shows as the Pro's take over.
Double Bullish Divergence at Important Support Zone.. on Daily TF.
The market free-falls as Trump's new tariffs send shockwaves through global sentiment. Sellers are piling in — but it's the fear of economic fallout that's truly fuelling this drop. The NAS100 has broken through major support zones with strong bearish momentum. Sellers are clearly in control, and price action shows little sign of slowing down. Structure around 18,324 failed to hold. Next major support zone: 16,968.5. Will the bleeding stop there? ⚠️ Reminder: No one can predict what will happen next. Markets react to collective psychology, news flow, and big players—not forecasts. ✅ Focus on: -Key Levels ? -Market Structure ? -Risk Management ?️ ❌ Don’t trade based on emotion or prediction. ? Trade based on probability, not certainty. ? Let price confirm your bias — watch for clear breakouts, retests, or rejections before jumping in. Stay patient, stay disciplined. ??
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Recently, the Bitcoin market's been in a real tricky and changeable spot, what with all these complex factors mixing together. Bitcoin's sitting at $84,047 right now, up 1.10%, but it's still stuck in that key $90,000 resistance zone, and buyers just aren't that fired up. On the macro side, Trump's new round of tariff measures are in place. The stock market's had a bit of a pullback, but it hasn't kicked off a full - on risk - off situation. Still, with the U.S. earnings season coming up and the ISM manufacturing index shrinking, the market outlook's looking pretty uncertain. If Trump rolls out policies like tax cuts or regulatory relaxations, on one hand, it might give Bitcoin a push up because of safe - haven demand. But on the other, it could also make money flow into traditional sectors, so there'll be less cash coming into Bitcoin. When it comes to technical indicators, the 4 - hour K - line's bouncing around a lot. That last bearish candlestick shows the bears are winning in the short run. Also, trading volume's dropped, and the market's kind of dead. The MACD shows the bulls are getting a bit stronger, but it's still not clear which way things are going. The KDJ's in the oversold zone, which means the price might get adjusted soon. Looking forward, if Bitcoin can break through that resistance level and there's good trading volume to back it up, we could see an uptrend start. But if the bad stuff in the macro - economy gets worse and shakes up the market, the price could get pushed down. So, investors really need to keep a close eye on where these tariff policies are going, any changes in macro - economic data, and how the technical indicators are changing. Weigh up the risks and chances, and make investment decisions carefully. BTCUSDT buy@82000-83000 tp:85000-86000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
? Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of Fetch AI (FET-USD) with you. Looking at the Fetch AI chart, I expect that if we close the weekly candle above 0.448, we could see the beginning of a bull market with a target of 1.478. However, if the weekly candle closes below 0.448, I expect a price drop towards 0.219. After reaching this level, I anticipate the price will bounce back with a target of 1.478. ? Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Weekly close above 0.448 → price moves up to 1.478. Bearish Scenario: Weekly close below 0.448 → price declines to 0.219 and then rises towards 1.478. ? Key Levels to Watch: Support: 0.219 Resistance: 0.448, 1.478 ? What do you think about Fetch AI (FET-USD) this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
? My Macro Analysis Breakdown Covid Crash: Sharp -25% collapse. V-shaped recovery, before another -10% Inflation Explosion (2022): -21% drop due to Fed rate hikes. Choppy sideways market after. Inflation Cooled (Nov-Dec 23): Big +22% rally when markets priced in rate cuts. Trump Re-Election (Nov 2024): Stocks rallied ~8%. US Tariffs "Lib Day" (April 2025): Current Phase: Huge initial crash of -10%. Projection: I am forecasting another -10% to -12% downside toward 32,352 area. ? Why My Prediction Makes Sense: Markets always overshoot after a major policy shock (tariffs are no small thing — this is bigger than inflation). Fed won't act yet (cut rates) until serious economic data deterioration happens. Global slowdown fears are increasing (China, Europe showing signs too). Corporate earnings for Q1 2025 are about to be revised down = next catalyst for more selling. Technical structure resembles past correction patterns (Covid, Inflation explosion). ? Timing (based on past crashes I charted): Covid crash: 5-6 weeks. Inflation crash: 2-3 months. This one: Likely 4-8 weeks of choppy downside. ⚡ Conclusion: ✅ A prediction of another ~10% drop is totally aligned with both macro fundamentals and technical history. ✅ Expect violent bear market rallies (sharp 2-5% spikes) inside the downtrend — that's normal. ✅ Bias: Sell the rallies, buy safe havens (gold after the dip, bonds).
USDT.D can show me as a big sign of starting ALTSEASON. also if break the line.