Untested level on the yearly chart that comes from my proprietary fib pulls. I will take a long here upon first touch with expectation to test the next level up. Really need this stock to hold this box or it is going even lower.
Natural Gas (4-Hour Timeframe) Pattern Formation: Falling Trendline: Price is testing the descending trendline, signaling a potential breakout. Supply Zone: A supply zone is visible around the 277-281 levels, where price action could face resistance. Support: 259-260 zone, acting as a strong base. Immediate Resistance: 277-281 supply zone. Targets Upon Breakout: Target 1: 276 Target 2: 279 Target 3: 281 EMA Support: The price is holding above the 55 EMA (266.7), indicating potential bullish momentum if sustained. Outlook: A break and close above the supply zone could trigger a bullish rally. Failure to break the trendline might see a retracement back to the support zone. Risk Management: Stop-loss should be placed below the 260 support zone for bullish trades. Disclaimer: This technical analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
2024/12/11 D1 : Bullish 4H : Currently Bullish Narrative : Currently USDJPY has been turned bullish so we are currently waiting for D1.OB to tap by taking 4H sellside liquidity to look for long since BOJ interest decision is near so market might flip to the downside too. Always look for possible scenarios.
It already go through with my analysis hopefully. my next expectation is bull run within next period. I expect that it will break the overall higher. And also rember tat i think there will be small bearlish movement. So, keep in touch and get best entry.
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? Gold has increased and broken the resistance zone which has now turned into support at around 2683. Currently, gold in the Asian session may head towards the psychological resistance zone of the round number 2700. ➡️We can expect a downward correction with gold after approaching the 2700 zone. However, if gold falls to retest the 268x zone, we can wait to buy gold.
1. Key Levels Identified: * Highest Positive NETGEX (Call Resistance): $400 * Represents a strong resistance level due to the accumulation of call options. If TSLA approaches this level, market maker hedging could slow upward momentum or cause consolidation. * Second Call Wall: $420 * Indicates additional resistance and a potential target for bullish momentum if $400 is breached. * HVL (Hedging Volatility Level): $347.50 * A critical support area where market makers adjust hedging to neutralize exposure. Price movements near this level could lead to temporary stabilization. * PUT Walls: * 3rd PUT Wall: $340 (-1.37% Gamma Exposure) * A moderate support level with notable hedging activity. * 2nd PUT Wall: $330 * Stronger support, likely to hold unless broader market sentiment turns bearish. 2. Price Action: * TSLA is trading around $403, testing the resistance at the $400 level. A break above $400 could push the price towards $420, while a rejection might result in a retracement towards $390 or lower. Technical Indicators Analysis: 1. MACD: * The MACD line is showing bullish momentum, with the histogram suggesting potential upside. However, watch for any divergence near resistance levels. 2. Stochastic RSI: * Currently overbought, signaling potential short-term exhaustion. A downward crossover could indicate a pullback. 3. Trendlines: * An ascending trendline supports the bullish structure, intersecting near $390. A breakdown below this trendline would invalidate the bullish momentum. Options Strategy Plan: 1. Bullish Scenario: * If TSLA sustains above $400: * Call Option Entry: Strike price at $410 or $420, expiration within 1-2 weeks. * Target: $420. * Stop-Loss: $395. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If TSLA rejects $400 and drops below $390: * Put Option Entry: Strike price at $380 or $370, expiration within 1-2 weeks. * Target: $370 (next major support zone). * Stop-Loss: $395. 3. Neutral Strategy: * If TSLA consolidates between $390 and $400: * Iron Condor Strategy: * Sell a call at $410 and a put at $380. * Buy a call at $420 and a put at $370 to limit risk. Recommendation for Expiration Date: * Short-Term Expiry (1-2 weeks): Best for directional trades based on breakouts or rejections from key gamma levels. * Longer Expiry (2-3 weeks): Ideal for capturing momentum plays or wider ranges. Summary of Gamma Insights: * The $400 level is pivotal for TSLA. A breakout above this level aligns with gamma positioning that supports upward momentum. * Support levels around $390 and $347.50 provide clear areas for stop-loss placement or potential reversals. * Traders can use gamma levels to anticipate volatility spikes and align their strategies accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before executing trades.
2024/12/11 M1 : Currently Bullish tapping into the demand zone W1: MSS towards bearish side D1 : Bullish 4H : Consolidating Narrative : Overall Monthly leg is bullish > Weekly is currently Bearish > Daily has shifted from bearish to bullish probably retracing towards the weekly premium zone > 4H is currently consolidating > when 4H turns bearish and comes towards the D1 fresh OB we can look for the long trade Case 2 : Price has already tapped the weekly premium zone and IMB, so if the 4H doesnt show any reaction on 4H and do a MSS on daily leg we can look for short trade too.
The price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud following a period of consolidation, signaling a confirmed downside move. Currently, it is trading near the retest levels of the Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, and the cloud. A short position will be initiated during the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen crossover, or after a successful retest.The trade is structured with a minimum risk-reward ratio (RRR) of 1:2, setting the stop-loss above the Kijun-sen at the time of the crossover and above the Ichimoku cloud for added safety.
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