Let’s cut to it. Most retail traders get caught chasing moves that were never meant for them. They’re entering late, reacting to structure breaks without context, or fading moves without understanding what’s really happening behind the price. If you're trying to trade like smart money on the reversal, at the turn then you need to know when the game is flipping. That’s where the Market Structure Shift (MSS) comes in. But not just any MSS. I'm talking about MSS that follow a liquidity sweep and are driven by real displacementnot weak candles, not in consolidation. Real intent. Real shift. Here’s how I approach it. What Actually Counts as a Market Structure Shift? Everyone talks about market structure higher highs, lower lows, etc. But structure breaks alone don’t mean anything. A valid MSS isn’t just about breaking a swing point. It’s why it broke and how it broke that matters. I only consider a shift valid when three things are in place: Liquidity has been taken (above a high or below a low). The shift is caused by a displacement candle that clearly shows urgency. The move happens with strength, not during chop or consolidation. If you don’t have all three, it’s just noise. Liquidity Comes First Everything starts with a liquidity sweep. That’s the trap. Price has to reach into a pool of liquidity usually above equal highs, clean swing highs, or below clean lows to grab those orders, and reject. That rejection is key. It shows smart money is offloading positions into retail breakouts or stop hunts. Without a sweep, I don’t care what breaks. No liquidity = no reversal setup. So the first thing I do is mark out obvious liquidity levels. Equal highs, equal lows, trendline touches anywhere retail is likely to have their stops sitting. That’s where the fuel is. Then Comes Displacement After the sweep, I want to see displacement a sharp, aggressive move in the opposite direction. Not a weak pullback. Not a slow grind. A real candle that shows intent. Displacement is always obvious. You’ll get a clean candle, often engulfing multiple others, that breaks structure and leaves behind an imbalance what we call a Fair Value Gap (FVG). That imbalance is the signature of smart money hitting the market hard enough to leave a gap in the order flow. If the candle’s weak, or if it happens during consolidation, I skip it. Displacement is what separates real reversals from fakeouts. Here is a clean example of what it should look like. https://www.tradingview.com/x/a0mYzrK0/ Confirming the Shift Once displacement confirms intent, I check if it actually broke structure. That means: In an uptrend, I want to see price break a previous higher low after sweeping a high. In a downtrend, I want price to break a lower high after sweeping a low. When that happens, that’s your MSS. Price has grabbed liquidity, shown displacement, and broken a key point in the structure. At that point, we’ve got a confirmed shift in control. Entries, Stops, and Targets Here’s how I trade it. After the MSS, I wait for price to pull back into the origin of the move. Usually, that’s going to be one of two things: The Fair Value Gap (imbalance left by the displacement candle) Or the MSS line itself (Shown on the example) Once price comes back into that zone, that’s where I’m interested in getting in. Stop loss always goes just above the high (for shorts) or below the low (for longs) of the displacement candle that caused the MSS. You’re giving it room to breathe, but keeping it tight enough to protect capital. Targets are straightforward: go for the next pool of liquidity. That means swing lows (sell-side) if you’re short, or swing highs (buy-side) if you’re long. That’s where price is most likely to be drawn next. A Clean Bearish Example Let’s say price is trending up, putting in higher highs and higher lows. Then it takes out a recent swing high liquidity swept. Immediately after that, a strong bearish candle drops and breaks the most recent higher low. That candle leaves an imbalance behind—perfect. Now I’ve got: ✅ Liquidity sweep ✅ Displacement ✅ Break of structure I mark out the FVG / MSS line, wait for price to retrace back into it, and enter the short. My stop goes above the displacement candle high. My target? The next clean swing low. That's the next spot where stops are resting where the market is drawn. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q447fFrK/ A Few Things to Watch Out For This method works, but only if you’re strict about the rules. Don’t take MSS setups in consolidation. Wait for clean, impulsive breaks. If the shift happens without displacement or imbalance, skip it. It’s not clean. Be realistic with stops. Tight is good, but don’t choke the trade. Give it the structure it needs. The biggest mistake I see? Traders jump in too early trying to front-run the shift before displacement confirms it. Let the story unfold. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the candle that slaps the market and breaks structure. That’s your edge. As shown here, the first "MSS" is invalid and not the A+ setup you're looking for. https://www.tradingview.com/x/a0mYzrK0/ Final Thoughts Trading smart money reversals is about reading intent. You’re not just looking at price, you’re understanding why it moved the way it did. When you combine a liquidity grab, displacement, and a break in structure, you're aligning with institutional activity. You're trading at the turn when smart money flips the script and leaves everyone else chasing. This isn’t about trading every break. It’s about knowing which breaks matter. Keep it clean. Stay patient. Follow the flow. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! 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https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZpcF26Ca/ My dear friends, My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below: The market is trading on 2.2447 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 2.2388 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
1. Roku Is the #1 TV Operating System in North America With an installed base reaching over 90 million active households—covering around 125 million people—Roku isn’t just a player in the streaming space, it is part of the infrastructure. More than 40% of all TVs sold in the U.S. come with Roku OS baked in, and it holds the top spot in Canada and Mexico too. That kind of distribution power makes Roku the default starting point for a huge chunk of streaming consumption. And yet, this dominance at the “entry point” of the TV experience is still not fully reflected in its valuation or monetization. 2. Engagement Is Exploding—Monetization Is Still Catching Up In Q4 2024, hours watched on The Roku Channel jumped 82% year-over-year, while revenue grew 25%. That gap says a lot: people are spending way more time on Roku, but the dollars haven’t quite caught up—yet. What’s fueling that engagement? Over 80% of Roku Channel viewing is now driven by AI-powered recommendations on the home screen, not users clicking into apps. That means Roku is increasingly shaping what people watch and what ads they see—kind of like what Google does with search. This level of control is rare—and incredibly valuable in my opinion. 3. Roku Has Multiple Ways to Win Roku’s monetization strategy isn’t just about ads. It’s built across several revenue streams, all with strong tailwinds. One of them is advertising: From video ads to splashy placements like Roku City sponsorships and deeper DSP integrations, the platform is building a modern ad stack. Its new self-serve Ads Manager also opens the door for small businesses to buy directly. The second one is subscriptions. Roku is turning into a powerful funnel for premium services. With a cleaner UX and better discovery tools, subscription conversions are climbing. Finally, we have data monetization with Roku Data Cloud and attribution tools, the company could eventually become the backbone for targeted CTV advertising. 4. Roku’s Valuation Still Doesn’t Add Up Right now, Roku trades at just 1.99x sales. Compare that to The Trade Desk at 9.5x or Netflix at 10x. That’s a huge disconnect, especially when Roku offers high-margin platform economics, deep viewer data, and real ad-targeting capabilities. The business is generating free cash flow and expects to hit positive operating income by 2026. As more investors start viewing Roku as a tech platform—not a hardware company—it’s set up for meaningful multiple re-rating.
Good Morning, Quick Review on NVDA: Resistance Level: 119$-123$ - NVDA formed a resistance point at this level. There are no secondary resistance. Support Level: 94$-97$ - NVDA formed one support at this level, looking for a retest or a secondary support above this level. Price Action Zone - 97$-119$ Trend Line: 104$ - 113$ - Price point was rejected 3 times above this trend line. Currently I am waiting for a secondary confirmed support to enter a trade with NVDA. Enjoy
Hello traders, A quick breakdown of my main focus. Stunning PA and volume seems to get back into the markets. XRP shaping up nicely. CRYPTO:XRPUSD FX:GBPAUD TVC:USOIL
XAUUSD GOLD Update | 30 Min timeframe ? - This analysis is based on Educational Purposes - We find a region from where we expected a Bullish bias Market will retest again its highest point from that point 3277 - 3280.00 - You have to Stick with one Mentor ? - Always wait for your setup Be patience #XAUUSD
What do you call it when you wake up, sip your tea, and realise the market is exactly where you thought it would be? Answer: another day following the damn plan. Yesterday’s price action? Snooze city. But tucked away inside that inside day was a lovely little income win, all thanks to those glorious GEX levels we’ve had our eyes glued to for weeks. 5400/5425 was once again the no-go zone. SPX tiptoed up, chickened out, and reversed politely on cue. While retail traders yawned or second-guessed, we quietly hit our numbers. Again. And while the surface was calm, beneath the charts... something’s stirring. --- ? "Same Setup. Same Result." Some traders chase action. We wait for systematic decision-making framework. While the masses complained about a boring market day, we snagged another payday. The setup was textbook: resistance at 5400/5425, backed by GEX, ADD extremes, and the ol’ "...oh and..." wedge-in-the-making. Throw in a mechanical bear Tag 'n Turn and we were go for launch. The overnight futures have started to crack the two-day range. One of the perks of short-dated expirations? You don't need massive moves - just a push in your direction, and the premium does the work for you. And here's a wildcard for your "...oh and..." notebook: ? Possible Wolfe Wave forming. If valid, we could be looking at a gravity slide down to 5000. Is it the holy grail? Nah. But if it lines up with pulse bars and structure, I’ll be ready. --- GEX Analysis Update 5425 again ? Expert Insight – "Pattern First, Prediction Later" Common Trading Mistake: Jumping on a trade just because the news made your pulse spike. Fix It: Let your levels do the talking. GEX, ADD, Tag 'n Turns… the market leaves breadcrumbs. Follow those, not the headlines. Don’t predict. React with structure. Trade setups, not emotions. Repeat winners are born from repeatable processes. --- ? Fun Market Fact The Wolfe Wave pattern is named after Bill Wolfe and is often misunderstood as some esoteric mystery. But really? It’s just a glorified channel break with attitude. It projects a reversal target based on converging trendlines, often in five-wave structures. The magic? The final wave usually slams to a specific line, called the EPA/ETA - and can happen quickly if volatility kicks in. Most people don’t spot it until it’s too late. But if you know what to look for, it becomes a spicy tool in the AntiVestor arsenal. ?? Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
BTC is currently consolidating after a clear bearish leg, showing signs of a potential short-term retracement before continuation lower. Here's the breakdown: 1. Context & Structure: - This is the 1H timeframe on BTCUSDT Perpetual Contract via Bybit. - Price recently formed a local low around 83,200 following a strong bearish impulse. - The market has now printed multiple internal structures within a downtrend, hinting at potential retracement moves before continuation. 2. Liquidity Sweep & Demand Reaction: - We can observe a small liquidity grab beneath recent equal lows, which induced a bounce. - This bounce marks a short-term bullish reaction that may be targeting inefficiencies left behind during the selloff. 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in Focus: - Multiple FVGs are stacked on top of each other, starting from just above the 0.28 retracement level (around 84,000) and extending up to the 0.618–0.65 zone (~85,000–85,200). - These imbalances are likely to be filled as price retraces into premium zones, offering ideal areas to monitor for weakness or reversal patterns. 4. Fibonacci Confluence: - The 0.28 level aligns with a minor inefficiency and previous structure, acting as the first resistance area. - The key retracement zone (0.618–0.65) lies within the upper FVG cluster, a high-probability reaction area for shorts in alignment with the current bearish market structure. 5. Projection Path: - The expected path (light blue) shows price making higher highs short-term, sweeping internal liquidity while filling FVGs. - Once the FVG and fib confluence area is met (especially near 85,200), bearish continuation is anticipated, likely forming a lower low beneath the current structure around 83,200. 6. Ideal Setup Considerations: - This structure is best viewed as a bearish retracement setup within a broader downtrend. - Watching for bearish order flow or lower time frame confirmations once price enters the FVG zones can provide short entry setups. - No mention of SL or entry price here – this is a directional map, not a trade signal. Summary: This BTC 1H setup shows classic bearish market structure with clean inefficiencies left behind. The current bounce is expected to fill FVGs and potentially tag fib retracement levels before continuation lower. Patience in letting price reach the upper zones will be key for any short bias.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/O2sUfj8n/ USDCHF is consolidating after a massive selloff that we saw last week. The price formed inside bar candlestick pattern and is currently stuck within the range of the mother's bar. Your next confirmation to sell will be a violation and a candle close below 0.8098. With a high probability, the pair will continue falling then and reach at least 0.8 psychological level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The DAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,467.75 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 22,200.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 20,283.76 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (https://tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (https://tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (https://tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.