Fundamental analysis Tariff policy shows signs of easing, but risks have not been completely eliminated Recently, the United States has postponed the implementation of the auto import tariff plan for Canada and Mexico, which has eased the economic and trade tensions in North America to a certain extent. However, this postponement is not indefinite. More importantly, import tariffs in other countries and regions are still in the process of being prepared or implemented, and potential uncertainties may still erupt again at any time. Driven by a series of previous tariff policy news, gold prices have repeatedly received safe-haven support. Although there is a slight correction at present, it is still near the historical relative high. Technical analyst interpretation: Currently, gold is fluctuating around $2,900/ounce. Overall, bullish confidence remains solid, but it also faces a large technical barrier in the short term. The following are several key observation points: Key levels and support and resistance Intraday key level: $2,914/ounce If this position can be effectively broken through, it may attract more bulls to enter the market and pave the way for further impact of $2,934/ounce (R1). R1 resistance during the day: $2934/oz If the gold price breaks through this level, the next target will be $2950/oz (R2), and approach the historical high of $2956/oz on February 24. Once it approaches this high again, the market may experience a new round of violent fluctuations. S1 support below: $2899/oz, coinciding with the $2900/oz mark This area is a short-term long-short watershed. Once the shorts successfully suppress the price below $2900/oz, the bullish sentiment is vulnerable, and the risk of a short-term correction will also increase significantly. If it effectively falls below $2899/oz, the gold price may continue to fall to $2879/oz (S2), which is another possible long defensive position. High consolidation and correction risk From the overall market situation, the gold price has been strong since the end of last year, constantly refreshing the interim highs. However, as the market digests the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, bullish sentiment may be blunted at the current position. In addition, if the ECB or the United States' policy expectations change again, causing funds to reassess the prospects of global economic recovery and monetary policy, gold may also face certain pressure to fall from highs. Pay attention to the operation of gold prices in the range of $2,900-2,934/ounce: If the bulls continue to fail to break upward, it is advisable to be alert to the potential correction caused by high-level profit-taking; and once the positive news is released, the possibility of gold prices quickly breaking through $2,934/ounce and heading straight to the $2,950-2,956/ounce area cannot be ignored.
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For the EUR/CHF pair, it appears that we have completed (or almost completed) the fourth-wave correction in the form of a Zigzag. Several factors support this assumption: • The price bounced off the price channel, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. • Wave 2 retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, suggesting that Wave 4 was likely to correct to 38.2%, which is exactly what happened. A breakout above Wave B of the Zigzag at 0.95985 would confirm the bullish scenario, making it a valid level to consider long positions.
Dear traders. Are you not clear about the BTCUSD transaction? See Jack's thoughts. BTCUSD: After experiencing one rise and two pullbacks today, it has tested support at 90000 and 88000 respectively. After the first test of support, it rebounded to 91500, and the second test has rebounded to 89000. From the trend, the overall short position is still short. So after this rebound, I think the support of 88000 will continue to be tested in the short term, so rebound shorting is my idea. But now there is about 1500 points of short space. So aggressive traders can choose to go long at the current price. TP90000-91000. Sell after reaching the target range. Thus, high-frequency trading can be achieved and profits can be expanded. Trading is risky. Reference needs to be cautious. How to trade in the future. Remember to pay attention to more real-time trading plans in the analysis circle. You can also leave me a message. I will answer it in time when I see it.
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