Has been holding despite of weakness all across the board. A hourly close above $20 is an entry for me, with target at 23.50
Gap down in premarket. Looking for a gap fill or a fall to that 581 support. Simple Plan. Simple Execution. Happy Trading
XAU failed to hit sell at 33. plan B. tp levels shown
E-Mini S&P 500 futures attempted a re-test of the year high into christmas eve on the daily chart. By thursday, the bulls had been washed out and a reversal was initiated. Being the price action failed it's bullish extension along the year high, I am taking the current formation as a bearish 'drop and pop', expressing conviction in this trade by shorting the 15 minute chart 'drops and pops' toward the price point ES1! should trade to on the daily chart. Gains have already been realized in the first leg of selling, price action is being monitored for the next entry granted price action holds.
As the year ends EU proceeded to taking out year 23 buyers stop losses at 1.04431 which led way for early buyers to come in with their stop losses right under 1.03328 which is our first target zone as the market engages the early buyers. 1.02236 is Our next target zone For a Long Position as the market will engage sellers before the actual Long position.. N.B I'll clarify the short before the actual Long we are Looking for as the market proceed in the new year..
Key Levels and Observations The black horizontal lines on the chart represent monthly support and resistance levels, which are critical zones for price reactions. Significant levels include: Support Levels: 2600, 2580, 2560 Resistance Levels: 2620, 2640, 2660 Momentum and Price Behavior On the 1-hour timeframe, bearish momentum appears stronger as the red (bearish) candles are relatively larger than the green (bullish) ones. The price has tested the 2600 support level twice but has failed to generate a strong rebound, suggesting possible weakness in buying pressure. Possible Scenarios: If Support at 2600 Holds: The price could consolidate above this level, potentially targeting higher resistance zones like 2620 or 2640. If 2600 Breaks: A break below 2600 could lead to further downside movement, with 2580 and 2560 as the next potential targets. Market Outlook For now, the price appears to be stuck in a tight range between 2600 and 2620, indicating consolidation. Traders should wait for a clear breakout or reversal around the key levels before making decisions.
Overview On the higher timeframes, ETH is in the process of forming a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. The left shoulder and head are already complete, with price currently downtrending to form the right shoulder. Following an impulsive bullish run to take out the highs, ETH has faced two rejections at those levels, initiating a corrective move lower. Key Technical Levels and Confluences 1. Support Zone for the Right Shoulder Formation Primary Target Level: $2800 (aligned with the left shoulder structure). Support Zone: $2941.12–$2812.7 (a highly confluent range for long positions). 2. Anchored VWAP Analysis Anchored VWAP from the 12th October 2023 low is currently positioned at $2900, offering dynamic support and aligning with the left shoulder’s structural low. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels (From the Impulse Wave) Fib 0.666: $2941.12 Fib 0.702: $2877.99 Both levels fall within the support zone, reinforcing its importance as a high-probability area for reversal. 4. Fibonacci Extension Levels From the Current Range: Fib Extension Target: $2812.7, precisely aligning with the key level of $2800. From the Higher Trading Range: Fib 2 Extension: $2893, offering additional confluence with other levels in the support zone. 5. Fibonacci Speed Fan Drawing the Fibonacci Speed Fan from the 6th September 2024 low to the 16th December 2024 high, the Fib 0.7 level intersects at $2900. This confluence is projected to align with price action on 9th–10th January 2025, adding a temporal element to this setup. 6. Psychological Level The $3000 level represents a strong psychological barrier. While the primary support lies lower, price could find an early reaction at this level. Trading Plan: Long Setup for the Right Shoulder Support Zone: $2941.12–$2812.7 Primary Trade Setup: Place long positions within the support zone, focusing on the confluence of levels for a higher-probability reversal. Scaling Strategy: Employ a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to gradually build a position. Consider initial entries at $3000 as a psychological bounce is possible. Confluence Highlights: Anchored VWAP at $2900. Fibonacci retracement levels (0.666 at $2941.12 and 0.702 at $2877.99). Fibonacci extension targets (current range: $2812.7, higher range: $2893). Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.7 level at $2900). Historical structural alignment with the left shoulder at $2800. Conclusion ETH is approaching a high-confluence support zone between $2941.12–$2812.7, making it an attractive area for long setups to complete the Head and Shoulders pattern. Utilising a DCA strategy and scaling into positions ensures optimal risk management. Early entries around $3000 could also yield opportunities, as this level holds psychological significance.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the 50_SMA(Daily) in the past days, and this could be a sign for a further fall of Bitcoin . Bitcoin is currently moving in a Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and is breaking the Support lines . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , the Bearish Flag Pattern can cause Bitcoin to fall further. I expect Bitcoin to drop towards $91,000 minimum after breaking the Support line and a possible pullback, and if the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) is broken, we should expect more dumps . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can hope for a further increase in Bitcoin.⚠️ ?Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.? Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. ?Be sure to follow the updated ideas.? Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button ?? & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/fQioRXiQ/ My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPAUD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0203 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.9886 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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