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Some confluences telling me this pair will rise. - RSI divergence on H1 - Validated trend line on H4 broken - RSI overbought on H1 and H4 which will cause price to retest blue highlighted area. What do you think?
I posted this trade before entry in the Covesta community but forgot to post it here so here is a mid trade update lol! Generally speaking i think ETH was pretty shaky prior to the BTC rally starting in late November which resulted in all ALT's rallying so i think some of the bearish / sideways momentum in ETH has been covered due to the general successful outlook on crypto. I would like to see ETH push higher and i would anticipate that happening based on current market conditions coupled with the data the charts are providing. As you can see i entered this trade at $3,691 after a pull back on the fib confirming the 61.8% price rang, as well as a rejection from the 9/21 SMA's on the 2hr. There is also an area of support at around $3,750 which helped support ETH to push higher and finally ETH has been in an upward cycle clearly shown by SMA's on all higher time frames. After bouncing from this level there was some slight consolidation around the $3,870 price point likely due to it being a key level so a lot of position's would be liquidated here causing relief & for the markets to lose some momentum / pull back. ETH has since broke through that key level as well as reaching the EUROTLX:4K mark. I have now moved my stop to $3,880 to lock in some % as well as remove risk on this trade. My first target is $4,245 with a secondary, longer term target of $4,630. These targets are based on key levels and fib projections which are based on historical data.
USD has created a head and shoulders pattern. We could have a big push down soon. However, i dont like the pattern facing downward because they tend to fake out a lot instead of when the H&S pattern trends upward it breaks down. lets see how this plays out.
Volumes seem promising for CRYPTOCAP:DOT to continue it's uptrend. Price action yet to support the idea. Another 15-20% rally could be seen very soon
The blue box on this chart highlights a carefully identified demand zone, which signals a key area of potential buying interest. This zone is derived from technical analysis and represents a level where buyers are likely to regain control, pushing prices higher. Here's a detailed breakdown of this analysis: 1. Understanding the Demand Zone A demand zone is a price area where significant buying interest exists, often leading to a reversal or sustained upward move. These zones are derived from historical price action and are reinforced by various confluence factors. Blue Box Characteristics: This blue box represents a primary demand zone. It is based on the last significant area of consolidation before a strong bullish move, making it a key level of support. Confidence Level: The blue box is considered high-confidence due to confluences such as Fibonacci retracement levels, order block dynamics, and volume profile analysis. 2. How Was This Zone Identified? This demand zone is drawn using the following methods: Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618–0.786 range, drawn from the last swing low to swing high, aligns with the demand zone. Order Block Analysis: The blue box highlights the last bearish candle before a significant bullish breakout, indicating institutional activity. Volume Profile: This zone coincides with a high-volume node, suggesting strong accumulation by market participants. Market Structure: The zone respects the higher low pattern in the overall bullish structure, reinforcing its importance. 3. How to Trade the Blue Box When the price approaches the blue box, consider the following strategies: Wait for Confirmation: Monitor the price action for bullish signals, such as a hammer, engulfing candle, or bullish divergence on RSI/MACD. Set Stop-Loss Orders: Place stop-losses slightly below the demand zone to account for potential false breakouts. Target Levels: Set take-profit levels at the next resistance zones or Fibonacci extension levels (e.g., 1.272 or 1.618). 4. Additional Confirmation Signals Strengthen the reliability of trades using these signals: Volume Spikes: Look for increased volume as the price enters the blue box, signaling buyer interest. Bullish Divergences: Identify divergences between price and momentum indicators like RSI or MACD. Break of Local Resistance: A strong break above nearby resistance after testing the blue box further validates the demand zone. 5. Example Scenarios Scenario 1: Price retraces into the blue box and forms a bullish engulfing candle. Enter a long position with a stop-loss below the zone and target the previous swing high. Scenario 2: Price consolidates within the blue box, forming higher lows on lower timeframes. This signals accumulation, presenting a lower-risk entry. This analysis is designed to provide clarity and actionable insights for your trading. While no strategy is infallible, the blue box demand zone offers a high-probability setup based on proven technical principles. I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. My Previous Analysis ? DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move ? RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month ? ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace ? BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge ? BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone ? WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential ? UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade ? XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones ? LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River ? BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones ? POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum ? PENDLEUSDT: Where Opportunity Meets Precision ? BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ? SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity ? 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked ? ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer ? IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One ? STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
Patterns create a framework for understanding market behavior, helping you organize chaotic price action into more predictable structures. In this report I'm prepared to go through most Patterns I can spot across NVIDIA Chart to be able to interpret bigger picture. REGULARITIES "Think not of what you see, but what it took to produce what you see." ~ Benoit Mandelbrot Fractal Cyclicality Sub-cycles are smaller composite cycles recurring within larger ones, showing periodic patterns of price oscillations that collectively shape the rhythm of the full cycle. https://www.tradingview.com/x/qwhy9tTG/ In NVIDIA's chart, these sub-cycles typically consist of three final peaks, each representing the market's effort to sustain bullish momentum while gradually approaching a point of inevitable bullish exhaustion. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZT5len8X/ The peak of the 3rd composite sub-cycle is critical decision-making period for bulls, indicating last chances for the profitable exit points before major trend reversals take hold. Fractal Validation Through Scaling This particular fractal, starting from 2015, caught my attention due to its consistency and proportional alignment with the current market cycle. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HdOGp7ia/ According to EW, fractal matches really well from 1 to 4 wave. The 5th wave, being too prolonged. Either it played out faster because oh higher frequency of reversals. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ncqbbgh8/ Assessing: Expansion with observed part of pattern Final Peaks Scaled with derived top of cycle: https://www.tradingview.com/x/rAnQ1bvg/ Another progression nicely curved that could match with smaller scale cycles as building blocks https://www.tradingview.com/x/ncqbbgh8/ Alignment with 1st systematic cycle: https://www.tradingview.com/x/7mn2UdIB/ This means that next single-cycled consolidation (Light-Blue) confirms bearish exhaustion. https://www.tradingview.com/x/BfdUri7i/ "Reactive" Patterns to after heavy drops, like this often contain compressed fractals with higher frequency or reversals. https://www.tradingview.com/x/wJiwwpdA/ Witnessing how even single-cycled bullish “consolidation after drop” contains undeformed proportions of fractal, at this point there is no need to look for another fractal. https://www.tradingview.com/x/x7IVQ7l2/ This approach illustrates how dynamics of smaller cycle evolve into larger market movements, maintaining their core proportions across price and time scales. The ability of these patterns to mirror both micro (next one) and macro (overall shape) levels indicates that the metrics defining these fractals are consistent and scalable across timeframes and price scales. This scalability hints at a deeper, intrinsic market behavior rooted in fractal geometry. The fact that all patterns seem to "abide by each other's metrics" implies a self-referential system, where smaller cycles influence larger ones, and vice versa. This aligns with the theory of self-similarity, a core principle of fractals, suggesting that markets are not random but governed by a structured, recursive mechanism. Viewing the chart in logarithmic scale amplifies this universal quality, as it normalizes the exponential growth of markets and reveals the proportionality between fractal patterns. Will do Fractal Mapping with Fibs in Part II
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Pay attention to the specified candle, the behavior of the chart before this candle is also strangely similar