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S&P 500 Analysis: Pre-Bell Outlook Earnings, CPI Expectations Lift Wall Street Futures; Asia Mixed, Europe Gains Wall Street futures edged moderately higher in pre-market trading on Wednesday as investors positioned themselves ahead of the release of the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from Washington and the kickoff of the fourth-quarter earnings season. The CPI report, set to be released today, could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook. Technical Outlook The S&P 500 is likely to remain under pressure as long as the price trades below 5863. In such a scenario, a decline toward 5829 and 5781 is anticipated, especially if the CPI data comes in at 2.9% or higher. Conversely, if the CPI data is below 2.8%, it could support a bullish momentum, with the index potentially rising toward 5937. Key Levels Pivot Point: 5863 Resistance Levels: 5888, 5937, 5969 Support Levels: 5830, 5802, 5781 Trend Outlook Bearish trend while trading below 5863.
NYSE:CAT is looking at a potential rebound after strong price action is showing some bullish action in the midst. Price action The stock has broken out of the immediate over resistance after rebounding off the key 138.2% extension level of the previous diamond top pattern. Furthermore, there is a strong double test of the key support zone at 354-365 region. Momentum Long-term MACD's histogram remain negative, which is one of the key risk. However, mid-term stochastic Oscillator (62, 12, 12) is eyeing a potential oversold crossover. The rate of change is still below the zero line but it has rebound from the bottom. Volume is healthy. DM+ is sloping up, eyeing potential return of a bullish strength. Potential Risk: Most of the major momentum indicator have yet to be confirmed. However, long-term trend remain bullish since 2008. Furthermore, price action is bullish. But we scale in with lower lot sizes and leave the rest at 340 or 324 support for a rebound.
Pre-market Overview: U.S. futures are flat as the market awaits the CPI data release in two hours. In Asia, markets were relatively uneventful. The 2-3 day gains in China remain intact, while Japan and Korea traded flat. Europe opened green, supported by lower inflation numbers for November, but overall, markets remain range-bound. Key Observations: Bitcoin and crypto are holding on to gains from the previous day. European rates are down today after peaking since early December. The U.S. dollar is taking a breather, down for three days straight since its recent peak. 8% Gainers and Losers (Past Week): Gainers: 89 names, primarily from health technology, transportation, and energy minerals. Constellation Energy and Cheniere Energy (LNG) are the largest names among gainers, with most others being small caps (< $10 billion market cap). Airlines and energy continue to show strength. Losers: 302 names have declined 8% or more. Technology services, producers/manufacturers, and health technology dominate the decliners. Big names in this group include Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, Toyota, Alibaba, and AMD. Watchlist Highlights: Names showing relative strength with good earnings growth include: Hood (Robinhood), CEG (Constellation Energy), Root, Brose, Sierra Deo Roblox (RBLX), Hubs (HUBS), Marvell (MRVL), Vistracorp (VST) These stocks look promising but await broader market confirmation before making a move. Technical Levels: RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P): Chopping between 176.19 and 174.78. Watching for direction after today’s CPI numbers. Plan of Action: Focus on names that have been basing and are poised for quick 3-5 day moves if the market reacts positively. If the market melts down, consider shorting larger names. Taking a cautious approach at the open, as the first move might not be the correct one. Additional Notes: Positive numbers came out from Blackrock, among others. Considering incorporating market movers from the pre-market into future notes.
INTEL Double Bottom, Rising Volume, Gap Fill - Corrective action. Potential Trade to 29$. Have a great day!
EURUSD is in a descending channel between trend lines. The price is moving from the support level and the lower boundary of the channel. The chart has already consolidated above the dynamic support, which previously acted as a rebound point. We expect a rise in the channel with a successful consolidation above the resistance level, which coincides with the 50% retracement level. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!