There are many complex charts of SMCI on here, I like to keep it simple. This stock has the potential for gains of 100 - 200 %, but only if there are good news in the next few weeks. As long as there is uncertainty about their accounting and Nasdaq listing, this is a gamble and it could go to 0. Also considering that the indices are at an ATH and struggeling, I am just observing for now. From a TA perspective price is still in a falling channel, has gone up in 5 waves and corrected. Therefore a wave 1 and 2 could be in place and next could be a wave 3 to 80$+. Price is also trading within the lower Fib extensions. Patience is key here. Better miss some gains than loose it all.
Hi traders what do you think about BTCUSDT given suggestion in comments. Bitcoin downturn and the associated support levels. You’ve noted that Bitcoin's price could potentially rise to around $102K, but the selling pressure might push it back down toward key support zones. 95K to 98K The mention of the RSI being below 50% indicates weakening bullish momentum, which could support the bearish scenario you're anticipating. If the price drops to the 95K or 92K level price will achieve these supports in this week. if you like this analysis please support my work and fallow thanks for Love.
Through my weekly Episode multitime frame analysis , you will get deep insights . Xauusd break the ATH 2788 (2790) ,however its weekly and monthly closing above the ATH 2790. market in on rising channel since last month,our eyes will be at 2900 milestone on this monthly candle.on the otherhand ,2790-92 will be the retest zone for buyers to remain in trend,where first bullish trade will be executed.
Technically: GBPUSD is printing bearish divergence GBPUSD break its last higher low DXY is bullish BXY is bearish Fundamentally: COT data of DXY adding long COT data of BXY adding shorts
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week. Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line Horizontal Structures Resistance 1: 2816 - 2820 area Support 1: 2786 - 2790 area Support 2: 2718 - 2732 area Support 3: 2689 - 2698 area Support 4: 2655 - 2663 area Support 5: 2614 - 2635 area Support 6: 2596 - 2605 area Support 7: 2583 - 2585 area Consider these structures for pulback/breakout trading.
In my previous article, I focused on Elliott Wave counts for HBAR. (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HBARUSD/6TZQynDm-Are-we-sending-HBAR-higher-or-in-Buy-The-Dip-mode/) This time, I’ll approach the analysis from a different perspective: 1. **Dragon Pattern** 2. **Weekly Candlesticks** 3. **Parallel Channel** 4. **Oscillator** 5. **Fundamentals** 6. **Key Levels** 7. **Short-term Forecast and My Position** --- ### 1. Dragon Pattern The Hedera daily chart suggests a bearish “Dragon Pattern” forming. For a reference on a previous Dragon Pattern in Bitcoin, see: (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/hEpKn0E5-Bearish-Dragon-Pattern-Unfolding-Beware-of-Increasing-Momentum/) --- ### 2. Weekly Candlesticks and the Dow Theory on the daily Overlaying the weekly candlesticks schematically also indicates a clear bearish bias. Unless the weekly candle closes bullish—or at least recovers to 31 cents—the continuation of the downtrend looks very likely. The daily lower-low in the Dow Theory we already have might emphasize the bearish sentiment more. --- ### 3. Parallel Channel The price has dropped below the yellow line on the diagonal parallel channel. The following likely targets appear to be the light blue or gray lines. Considering this, it seems natural to expect a move toward the green box, although the path may involve some fluctuations. --- ### 4. Oscillator At the same time, the oscillator values remain at their respective low levels, suggesting a scenario where any downward move might be more gradual than abrupt. However, such a steep decline itself isn't excluded at the extreme of oscillator values. --- ### 5. Fundamentals From a fundamental standpoint, overall market sentiment is pessimistic, influenced by the DeepSeek shock and U.S. tariff concerns, making a short-term return to optimism seem unlikely. However, from a TA perspective, this aligns with the scenario many have been anticipating. If a decline materializes now, it may reflect the market providing its catalyst. --- ### 6. Key Levels On the downside, the area near the 23-cent low is almost particular to command attention. I watch around 17.5 cents (the top of the green box). If the price does reach this level, panic selling could spark wicks down into the 15-cent region. Although the bottom of the box is around 12.6 cents—and the likelihood of dropping that far seems slim—long-term HBAR holders like myself would welcome the opportunity. --- ### 7. Short-term Forecast and My Position As I posted on X (formerly Twitter), I’m currently short 34.5 cents and plan to take profits around 17.9 cents. Since a minor bounce could happen first, I don’t intend to add to my short position at this level. My spot buy orders are scattered from around 24 to 15 cents, illustrating my long-term bullish stance on Hedera. For a bullish take, feel free to check out my earlier analysis (admittedly a bit optimistic, but I’m confident in the overall movement): (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HBARUSD/EiQ3nwYS-The-Future-of-Hedera-Hashgraph-Speculated/)
In an era when protectionist tariffs have become a go-to tool for DUNCE Political leaders such as President Voldemort, it is time for investors, institutions and nation states to take a stand—and not through traditional protest, but by wielding the formidable power of financial markets. Tariffs, by raising costs and distorting trade, can sap economic growth. Yet, as history and recent trade wars have shown, the real battleground is not just at the border but in the bond markets. The BIG FRAUD of created by American's "Buy, Borrow, Die" mental illness is already at a point where it could burst any moment and the best needle to poke this bubble is the 2 Year Bonds. If these bonds default, a recession will likely happen and it is unlikely a republican majority will be elected in the house and senate during the mid-term cycle. Therefore, the most aggressive and effective countermeasure is to sell off short-dated (2‑year) bonds in favor of longer‑dated (5‑ and 10‑year) bonds, and to liquidate any and all U.S. bonds held by companies in politically “red” states. This would mean the debt they hold is being sold for pennies on the dollar, like Twitters loan already is... Tariffs and Trade Wars: Lessons from Recent History The recent imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China has sparked a new wave of economic disruption. These tariffs—intended to protect domestic industries—have instead triggered retaliatory measures and rattled global markets. As reported by Reuters, the trade war initiated by these tariffs has not only led to rising costs for consumers but also to significant volatility in financial markets. Such aggressive trade policies reveal an underlying fiscal vulnerability that can be exploited through strategic bond trading. REUTERS.COM Historically, trade wars have often served as the catalyst for broader financial instability. When tariffs escalate, investors flock to safe-haven assets, yet the resulting market dynamics also open up opportunities for those who know where to look. Now is the moment to pivot—and the bond market is the perfect arena for this counteroffensive. Historical Defaults: A Wake-Up Call Contrary to the oft-repeated claim that “the U.S. has always paid its bills on time,” history tells a different story. There have been several notable instances—ranging from the demand note default during the Civil War to the overt default on gold bonds in 1933 and technical defaults such as the 1979 payment delays—that remind us of the inherent risks in our national fiscal practices. These episodes highlight that U.S. bonds, despite their reputation for safety, are not immune to default under fiscal duress. THEHILL.COM This historical perspective should not only unsettle complacent investors but also embolden them to leverage the bond market as a tool of economic resistance. By strategically repositioning bond portfolios, investors can exacerbate fiscal pressures on policymakers who rely on the illusion of unfailing debt service. The Yield Curve: An Opportunity for Tactical Rebalancing The current structure of the U.S. Treasury yield curve presents an unprecedented opportunity. Short‑term bonds—especially the ubiquitous 2‑year Treasuries—are trading at levels that no longer justify their risk, given the market’s expectation of a steepening curve as longer‑term yields are poised to rise. By aggressively selling off 2‑year bonds and using the proceeds to acquire 5‑ and 10‑year bonds, investors can capture the benefits of a steepening yield curve. This strategy not only enhances returns but also sends a powerful signal: the market is rejecting the financial underpinnings that allow tariffs to be financed cheaply. This repositioning weakens the liquidity available for financing government policies that sustain tariffs, thereby indirectly undermining the protectionist agenda. As bond market dynamics come into sharper focus amid rising inflation fears and fiscal deficits, this tactical shift represents a proactive measure to tilt the scales back in favor of free trade. REUTERS.COM Targeting “Red State” Bonds: A Political and Financial Imperative It is no secret that companies based in states with predominantly conservative (or “red”) leadership have often been the political bedfellows of tariff advocates. These companies not only benefit from protectionist rhetoric but also tend to issue bonds under fiscal conditions that make them particularly vulnerable when market sentiment shifts. Moreover, they also tend to be overvalued anyway so the likelihood of panic selling is more likely. The time has come to liquidate any and all U.S. bonds issued by red state companies. By divesting from these securities, investors can both shield themselves from potential losses and apply market discipline on a sector that has, for too long, been insulated from the harsh realities of global trade dynamics. This aggressive divestiture sends a dual message: a rejection of protectionist policies and a call for a more balanced, market-oriented approach to national fiscal management. It is a bold stance that forces a rethinking of the relationship between politics and finance—a reminder that no company should be immune to the corrective forces of the market. Conclusion Tariffs are not just trade policy—they are fiscal weapons that rely on the ability to finance cheap debt. History has shown that even the most stalwart bond markets are susceptible to default under pressure, and recent trade wars have only amplified these vulnerabilities. The solution is clear and decisive: sell off 2‑year bonds and reinvest in 5‑ and 10‑year bonds, while liquidating U.S. bonds held by red state companies. This aggressive financial maneuver not only promises better returns in a steepening yield curve environment but also serves as an effective counterattack against protectionist tariffs. By rebalancing portfolios in this manner, investors take an active role in challenging policies that restrict free trade and hinder economic growth. In the world of modern finance, sometimes the best way to fight back is to let your portfolio do the talking. Disclaimer: This article reflects a strongly opinionated perspective and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions.
Dominance Tether is likely to rise due to the reasons I will explain below 1.Completing the harmonic pattern 2.rsi divergence 3.We are at the bottom of the descending channel 4.Forming an ascending angle triangle
Btc going in a short position upto 91000 first target and then we will talk about that ? ?
ETH/USD Analysis – Bearish Breakdown Accelerates ? ETH/USD has confirmed its breakdown below $3,100, reinforcing the strong bearish momentum. The price is now testing the lower trendline of the descending channel, a key decision point for either a bounce or a further breakdown. ? Key Observations (Bearish Control Strengthens): 1. Clear Breakdown Below $3,100 • This confirms the downtrend continuation with increased downside risk. • Previous support ($3,100) is now acting as resistance. 2. Bearish Volume Spike • Increased volume during the decline signals strong seller conviction. • If volume remains high, ETH/USD could continue falling. 3. Test of Lower Channel Trendline (~$3,000 - $3,020) • The price is now approaching the descending channel’s lower boundary. • This is a make-or-break zone—either a short-term bounce or a stronger breakdown. 4. 20-Period EMA as Resistance (~$3,120 - $3,130) • ETH/USD remains below the 20 EMA, which acts as dynamic resistance. • Any bounce is likely to be capped at the EMA or previous support ($3,100). 5. Series of Strong Bearish Candles • A clear bearish impulse move with little sign of buyer strength. • Suggests the downtrend is accelerating with minimal retracement. ? Bearish Scenario (More Likely) • If ETH/USD breaks below the lower trendline ($3,000 - $3,020), expect further downside. • Next major targets: • $2,980 - $2,950 (psychological support) • $2,900 - $2,880 (potential extension lower) ? Bullish Scenario (Less Likely – Short-term Bounce) • A temporary bounce from the lower trendline could happen. • Key upside resistance levels: • $3,100 - $3,120 (previous support, now resistance) • $3,130 - $3,150 (20 EMA – strong rejection zone) ? For a true trend reversal, ETH/USD must break and hold above $3,180, which is unlikely at this point. ? Trading Strategy & Considerations ? Short Position Setup (High Probability Trade) • Entry: Wait for a retest of $3,100 - $3,120 as resistance. • Stop-loss: Above $3,150 - $3,180 (above 20 EMA & trendline). • Targets: • First TP: $3,020 • Second TP: $3,000 • Third TP: $2,950 ? Long Setup (Risky – Only if a Strong Bounce Occurs) • Entry: If price holds the lower trendline and reclaims $3,100. • Stop-loss: Below $2,980 • Targets: • First TP: $3,120 • Second TP: $3,150 ? Final Takeaway: ✅ ETH/USD is in a strong downtrend, with a key test at $3,000 - $3,020. ✅ A break below this level could trigger a deeper selloff. ✅ Short trades remain the best risk-reward setup unless price reclaims $3,100.