BTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K). A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns. Indicators Show Weakness: RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum. MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover. ? Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline) Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline) ? Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt. ? Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation. Needs to really break $95k first.
BTC setup in play—LONG active, but SHORT still main narrative. ? LONG opened after VC 4H—targeting daily delivery zones. ? Resistance 1D FVGs — no 2x 4H close above = rejection risk. ? SHORT remains priority until VC 1D confirms. If SOF breaks, BTC targets the premium range ($91,740 – $110K). But for now, this remains a counter-trend LONG inside a still bearish structure.
Bitcoin is currently displaying bearish patterns on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating a potential short opportunity. We aim to close this position within 10 to 13 hours, targeting a take profit in the range of 79,000 - 80,000. Make sure to follow me to stay updated on this trade and more!
its about time to look for some buys on the short tf.
Even though D1 is showing up I think we may see another move down before we get a break out. See the chart for my clear view.
Gold appears to be forming a bullish flag pattern, consolidating before a potential breakout toward $3,000. Institutional shorting activity has been detected ahead of this key level, which could indicate strategic positioning or an attempt to suppress price momentum. This movement also aligns with broader macroeconomic sentiment, suggesting that Trump’s policies may be perceived as favorable for the U.S. dollar, potentially influencing gold’s price action. The market remains in a sideways phase, awaiting further confirmation of direction.
Monthly analysis done on the NQ with the ambition to connect with current price activity and gauge a deeper technical understanding on if this is just the start of a bigger correction for the year ahead . Tools used in this video Standard Fib , TR Pocket , CVWAP/ PVWAP Incorporating PVWAP and CVWAP into trading strategies allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics used to assess trading performance and market trends. Date and price range and trend line . Some research below regarding the previous correction that I reference the technicals to in the video . In November 2021, the Nasdaq reached record highs However, concerns over rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and supply chain disruptions led to increased market volatility. These factors contributed to a correction in the Nasdaq, with the index experiencing notable declines as investors reassessed valuations, particularly in high-growth technology stocks. VS Today March 2025 Correction: As of March 2025, the Nasdaq Composite has faced another significant correction. On March 10, 2025, the index plummeted by 4%, shedding 728 points, marking its third-worst point loss ever, with only earlier losses during the COVID-19 pandemic surpassing this. This downturn has been attributed to several factors: Economic Policies: President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has unsettled markets, raising fears of a potential recession Inflation Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming consumer-price index (CPI) reports to gauge inflation trends, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, exacerbating stock market declines Sector-Specific Declines: Major technology companies, including Tesla, have experienced significant stock price declines, contributing to the overall downturn in the Nasdaq Comparison of the Two Corrections: Catalysts: The November 2021 correction was primarily driven by concerns over rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. In contrast, the March 2025 correction has been influenced by geopolitical factors, including new tariff announcements, and ongoing inflation concerns. Magnitude: While both corrections were significant, the March 2025 correction has been more severe in terms of single-day point losses. The 4% drop on March 10, 2025, resulted in a loss of 728 points, marking it as one of the most substantial declines in the index's history. Investor Sentiment: Both periods saw increased market volatility and a shift towards risk aversion. However, the recent correction has been accompanied by heightened fears of a potential recession, partly due to inconsistent government messaging regarding economic prospects. In summary, while both corrections were driven by concerns over inflation and economic policies, the March 2025 correction has been more pronounced, with additional factors such as new tariffs and recession fears playing a significant role.
looking at both possibilities of going long and short on Bitcoin. overall short-term trend is down but we are reaching a potential support area that is very significant so we can expect a reaction from there too.all about waiting game
? Key Support Zone at $1,500 - $1,900: Ethereum is currently testing a crucial support zone. Historically, this range has provided strong demand, making it an ideal area for long-term accumulation. ? Upside Target: $3,500 - $4,500 If ETH holds this zone and reverses, a breakout above $2,200 could trigger a strong bullish move towards $3,500 and beyond. ? Risk Level at $1,400: A clean breakdown below $1,400 would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to further downside. ? Action Plan: Start accumulating ETH between $1,900 - $1,500 using a DCA strategy. Wait for a breakout above $2,200 for confirmation of strength. A dip below $1,400 should prompt risk reassessment. This setup offers a high-reward potential, but patience and risk management are key.
GER40 is now net short on regression break. There is pressure from global stock on this index. I am considering the correct EA to trade on this pair.