HBL is currently in Phase C of Wyckoff Method, it has created spring which will be confirmed after it crosses 154. Buying is recommended at that lvl and also after breakout and retest of phase D at 160
As seen on the charts. Market broke the PD (previous day) low to create a lower low, reversed, but couldn't break the PD (previous day) high. It subsequently broke structure creating a lower high in the process. Price then retested the new high it created and failed to break through it. This break of structure gave me the signal that market is now bearish, I waited for a candlestick confirmation in form of a bearish pin-bar as my confirmation for entry. I share high probability setup like this everyday for free. If you want to join my team send me a message and I will send you the link. Happy trading!
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) shares is set for a breakout today as the firm smashes Q1 Estimates leading to a 2.45% surge in Monday's premarket trading. Reports Overview Goldman Sachs delivered a strong first-quarter performance, beating Wall Street expectations on both earnings and revenue, thanks to a record-setting quarter in equities trading. The bank posted earnings of $14.12 per share versus an expected $12.35, with revenue reaching $15.06 billion compared to forecasts of $14.81 billion. Financial Performance In 2024, The Goldman Sachs Group's revenue was $52.16 billion, an increase of 15.34% compared to the previous year's $45.23 billion. Earnings were $13.48 billion, an increase of 71.52%. Analyst Forecast According to 16 analysts, the average rating for GS stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $593.43, which is an increase of 20.02% from the latest price. Technical Outlook Prior our last analysis on NYSE:GS stock, the asset is already approaching the short term resistant point and a break above that pivot would cement the path for a bullish campaign for NYSE:GS shares . As hinted by the RSI at 43, NYSE:GS shares has more room to capitalize on the dip and pull on a bullish campaign today. All eyes are set on the $520 level, should NYSE:GS shares break that pivot, a bullish breakout might be inevitable.
This chart shows a potential USD/JPY long (buy) trade setup based on a double bottom pattern or range support bounce. Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s happening: Key Observations: Timeframe: 30-minute chart. Support Zone: Around 142.200–142.500, which has held multiple times (highlighted by orange circles). Resistance Zone: Around 144.800–145.000, previously acting as a ceiling (red arrows showing rejection). Current Price: ~143.436, approaching mid-range. Trade Setup: Entry: Around current price (~143.4) after support bounce. Take Profit (TP): Just under 145.000 (the resistance zone). Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone (~142.200). Risk/Reward: Decent risk/reward ratio,
? EUR/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Bearish Reversal Pair: Euro / U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) Timeframe: 30-Minute (M30) Strategy Type: Chart Pattern (Rising Wedge) → Bearish Reversal Trend Bias: Short-term bearish after rising wedge breakdown ? Pattern Explanation: Rising Wedge The chart presents a rising wedge pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal patterns in technical analysis. This pattern typically forms after an uptrend and represents a weakening bullish momentum. The wedge is characterized by two upward-sloping and converging trendlines—indicating buyers are losing strength even as the price makes new highs. This usually precedes a breakdown to the downside, especially when the market hits a major resistance level, as seen in this setup. ? Chart Breakdown and Technical Justification ? Uptrend Origin: The pair rallied from the support zone near 1.12842, showing aggressive bullish movement with strong momentum. Buyers controlled the market up to the resistance around 1.14590, where price began consolidating within a wedge. ? Wedge Formation: Price action became more narrow and volatile, forming higher highs and higher lows. The bearish divergence in price action indicates fading momentum. Volume decline during the wedge buildup is another classic sign that the move is losing power. ? Breakdown Confirmation: Price broke down below the lower wedge trendline, confirming the pattern. A clean retest of the broken wedge support turned resistance at around 1.1400 validates the pattern. This type of retest provides high-probability trade entries. ? Trade Setup Details Component Level Explanation Entry 1.13900-1.14000 After wedge breakdown & bearish retest Stop Loss (SL) 1.14590 Above key resistance – invalidation of breakdown Take Profit 1 1.13331 First support zone / recent price memory Take Profit 2 1.12802 Strong historical demand zone ? Target Zone Explained: TP1 (1.13331): Minor support from previous consolidation. TP2 (1.12802): Major structure level that served as a demand base for the prior rally. ? Technical Indicators (Optional for Viewer Context): RSI likely showing bearish divergence (not shown but inferred). Volume drop during wedge buildup, spike on breakdown. Clean price action forming lower highs post-breakout, suggesting bearish follow-through. ? Market Psychology Behind the Move Traders got trapped in the wedge, expecting continuation, but lack of momentum and proximity to resistance caused buyers to hesitate. Sellers used this indecision to enter at premium prices, creating the breakdown. Retest serves as a confirmation trigger for institutional traders and swing traders. ? Outlook & Risk Management As long as price trades below the wedge and resistance zone, the bias remains bearish. Stop loss above resistance ensures protection from false breakouts. Risk-to-reward on this setup is more than 1:2, making it attractive for both intraday and swing traders. ? Conclusion This is a textbook rising wedge breakdown setup, offering a clear trade idea with strong confluence: Major resistance level + pattern Clear entry, SL, and targets Excellent risk-to-reward profile Breakdown confirmed with retest This setup aligns with smart money behavior, where liquidity is gathered before a big directional move.
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250414
Oil prices are feeling bearish pressure. OPEC was unable to increase production significantly last year to stabilize prices. High interest rates have kept global economies cool enough. However, starting in May, OPEC will begin unwinding its voluntary production cuts. The timing of this decision is questionable. Tariffs are expected to hit global economies hard, while the Fed is likely to hold rates steady for a few more months. Recession risks in the world’s two largest economies, the U.S. and China are rising. OPEC has acknowledged this trend by lowering its oil demand forecast for 2025 and 2026 by nearly 10%. If summarized: Oil demand is expected to fall 10%, possibly more if the U.S. and/or China enter recession. Trump is expected to boost U.S. drilling, increasing supply. OPEC will start to unwind supply cuts, increasing supply. Brent is likely to remain under bearish pressure throughout the year because of rising supply and falling demand. As long as the current fundamental outlook remains unchanged, upward moves should be viewed as selling opportunities. A downtrend channel has formed since mid-2023, with the lower boundary recently tested. There is now an upward reaction. If this continues toward the 68.25–70.70 zone—previously a demand zone, now a potential supply zone—traders may look for short entry setups, provided this zone holds, with nearby stop-loss levels.
- EURCHF reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9365 EURCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the strong long-term support level 0.9245 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2023) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous downward impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the strength of the support level 0.9245 and the bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator, EURCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9365.
Währungslage: +- USDxxx eher short +- CADCHF eher long +- CADJPY uneindeutig -+ EURUSD uneindeutig +- GBPUSD, NZDUSD eher long +- XAUUSD, XAGUSD eher long Fazit: Setup in Ordnung, aber gegen den Trend und offene Imbalance CAD eher stark, USD eher schwach erwartet
Der US-Dollar-Index (DXY) misst die Stärke des Dollars im Vergleich zu anderen Weltwährungen wie dem Euro, Yen oder Pfund. Er ist ein wichtiger Indikator für die globale Risikobereitschaft. Aktuell steht der DXY bei 99,4 Punkten – und hat seit dem letzten Hoch fast 10 % verloren. Damit nähert er sich einem wichtigen Support-Level. Bricht dieses, könnte das massive Auswirkungen auf die Finanzmärkte haben. Warum das wichtig ist: •Ein schwächerer Dollar signalisiert: Vertrauen schwindet •Kapital könnte in sichere Alternativen fließen – wie Bitcoin, Ethereum & Co. • profitiert oft, wenn Fiat-Währungen schwächeln •Technisch zeigen ETH & BTC bullische Muster – perfekte Kombination? Fazit: Während der Dollar taumelt, positionieren sich clevere Investoren bereits in Krypto. Die nächste Bewegung könnte explosiv werden. ? 2017: Schwäche des Dollars, Bitcoin auf Rekordjagd Nach der Wahl von Donald Trump im November 2016 begann der DXY-Index zu fallen. Im Laufe des Jahres 2017 verlor der Dollar-Index kontinuierlich an Wert. Gleichzeitig erlebte Bitcoin einen massiven Anstieg und erreichte im Dezember 2017 ein damaliges Allzeithoch von fast 20.000 US-Dollar. Diese inverse Beziehung deutet darauf hin, dass ein schwächerer Dollar das Vertrauen in alternative Anlagen wie Kryptowährungen stärkt.  ⸻ ? 2020: Pandemie, schwacher Dollar, Krypto-Boom Während der COVID-19-Pandemie im Jahr 2020 senkte die US-Notenbank die Zinssätze und führte umfangreiche Konjunkturprogramme durch, was zu einer Abwertung des Dollars führte. Der DXY-Index fiel in dieser Zeit deutlich. Parallel dazu stieg der Bitcoin-Kurs von etwa 4.000 US-Dollar im März 2020 auf über 60.000 US-Dollar im April 2021. Dieser Zeitraum zeigt erneut die negative Korrelation zwischen dem Dollar und Kryptowährungen.   ⸻ ? 2022: Starker Dollar, Krypto unter Druck Im Jahr 2022 erhöhte die US-Notenbank die Zinssätze, um die Inflation zu bekämpfen, was den Dollar stärkte. Der DXY-Index erreichte im September 2022 den höchsten Stand seit 20 Jahren. Gleichzeitig erlebte der Kryptomarkt erhebliche Verluste; Bitcoin fiel von über 60.000 US-Dollar Ende 2021 auf unter 20.000 US-Dollar im Juni 2022. Diese Phase unterstreicht, wie ein starker Dollar den Druck auf risikoreichere Anlagen wie Kryptowährungen erhöht.  ⸻ ? Zusammenfassung: Inverse Beziehung zwischen DXY und Krypto Diese Beispiele verdeutlichen eine oft inverse Beziehung zwischen dem US-Dollar-Index und Kryptowährungen: •Schwacher Dollar (fallender DXY) → Krypto-Kurse steigen  •Starker Dollar (steigender DXY) → Krypto-Kurse fallen Diese Korrelation ist jedoch nicht absolut und kann durch andere makroökonomische Faktoren beeinflusst werden.  ? Aktuelle Lage (April 2025): Chancen für Krypto? Der DXY-Index hat seit seinem Hoch im Jahr 2022 etwa 10 % verloren und nähert sich einem kritischen Unterstützungsniveau. Sollte dieser Support durchbrochen werden, könnte dies das Vertrauen in den Dollar weiter schwächen und Kapital in alternative Anlagen wie Bitcoin und Ethereum lenken. Technische Analysen zeigen bei beiden Kryptowährungen bullische Muster, was auf eine mögliche bevorstehende Rallye hindeutet. Diese historischen Zusammenhänge und die aktuelle Marktlage könnten darauf hindeuten, dass eine Investition in Kryptowährungen derzeit eine überlegenswerte Option ist.