Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy **? Bullish Strategy (Long Trade)** **Entry:** - Look for a **bounce** from the **$3,071 - $3,072 support zone** or **$3,063 S2 support level**. - Confirmation signals: - A **bullish candlestick pattern** (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) near support. - Price holds above **7 EMA ($3,071)** and **21 EMA ($3,063)**. **Stop-Loss (SL):** - Below the **S2 support zone at $3,060** (to avoid fake breakouts). **Take-Profit (TP) Levels:** 1. **First Target:** $3,080 (recent high) 2. **Second Target:** $3,090 3. **Extended Target:** $3,100+ if momentum continues **Risk-Reward Ratio:** - Aim for a **1:2 or 1:3** ratio, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit. --- **? Bearish Strategy (Short Trade)** **Entry:** - If gold **breaks below $3,063 (S2)** with strong bearish momentum and volume. - Confirmation signals: - A **break and retest** of $3,063 as new resistance. - Price trading below **50 EMA ($3,052)**. **Stop-Loss (SL):** - Above the $3,072 level (previous support turned resistance). **Take-Profit (TP) Levels:** 1. **First Target:** $3,052 (50 EMA) 2. **Second Target:** $3,040 3. **Extended Target:** $3,020 (key psychological level) **Risk-Reward Ratio:** - Ensure at least a **1:2 ratio**, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit. Additional Trading Tips - **Wait for confirmation**: Don't enter trades too early—wait for candlestick confirmation at key levels. - **Watch volume:** Higher volume increases trade reliability. - **Monitor news & fundamentals:** Major US economic data and Fed speeches can impact gold prices. - **Adjust SL & TP dynamically**: Use trailing stops if the trade moves in your favor. https://www.tradingview.com/x/zDfX3S7j/
All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=109100
The rejection at 2100 price level also happens to be the 38.2% Fib of the decline from the 14th of February 2025. The decline from 6th of February 2025 counts beautifully as waves 1, 2, 3 & 4. If this wave count is correct, then the Russell is currently in wave 1 of 5 of Y of (ii). This is my primary wave count as long as the 2100 resistance is not breached. This changes my initial wave count from a complex WXYXZ to a simple WXY. Click on the link to see the previous wave count which is still valid and is now an alternate wave count if the 2100 resistance is breached: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USSMALLCAP2000CFD/fr7lWnu3-Russell-2000-Elliott-Wave-Analysis-WXYXZ-in-progress/ Only updating the wave count. My bias and direction remain the same. Wave Y is possibly in progress. Looks like we are going to have a bearish April & possibly May as well. Selling corrective rally is still the way to trade for now. Take profit at 1905/1900, which is where technically, the Russell 2000 will possibly turn up for wave (iii). Stop Loss can be placed above wave 4, well out of the way in case of any wild swing on this PCE Friday.
March 27th 11:00 PM this video was about 40 minutes and is a follow-up of what happened since yesterday's video. regarding gold and silver... the market went as I expected that made this a very profitable market for me when metals that I've held for a long. Of time. a number of markets went as anticipated.... and the video tonight shows what the market might do as it goes lower on coffee and what might happen if the dxy moves lower as I think it might and that this could further add to the bullish patterns for gold and silver.... we will have to wait let's see what the market does on Friday. I spend a lot of time trying to show what a market is probably going to do predicated on the tools that we use to give us a sense for how the buyers and sellers affect the market if you learn to spend time reading the market...... but you have to do the analytic process in real time and you need to be willing to make a decision in real time as opposed to waiting for the market to move for another hour or two or more before you see the pattern. part of the trick is to see the reversal pattern very early up to take more money out of the trade because you've got in early.... this matters. simple patterns like an ABCD pattern and extensions help you find the reversal before other Traders who do not use these tools see the opportunity. if you make more money when you get into a good trade sooner and you get out of a trade that has been moving in your direction because you see it's coming to the other side of the market... you might be bullish but the Market's coming to sellers so you get out. if you manage to do this your analysis will give you much more range when you need it and if you do this long enough you'll know when a market is trading in One Direction but it's ready to reverse. experience this doesn't just happen.... you have to be engaged and asking the questions in real time in order to find the opportunities also the risk.
OBV : i wanna see a nice break out from white line or even better from pink line and retest. Often OBV breaks out before price, which is a nice indication. Chart: I wanna see a nice break out from that void line (which is the previous POC too) and from blue trend line. EYES ON .... Follow for more ideas/Signals. ? Look at my other ideas ? Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights and rescue or other charity :)✌️
Check the notes on the chart for a clear explanation of candlestick technical analysis.
Long Trading Plan USUAL/USDT (4H): 1. Support & Entry: Support: 0.139–0.14. 2. Target Profit: TP1: 0.16–0.17. TP2: 0.20–0.2053. 3. Stop Loss: 0.1289
USD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 150.11 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements. Stop loss is at 149.30 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
standing way back, the nasdaq is looking horrible... i thinks augs low will hold for a bounce back up... i think current ath will be in for awhile....... we have our 61.8% fib retracement down at 15k for a possible swing to new aths! macro cup and handle aswell and macro abcs riding beautifully along our band... ofc this is just skepticism on a 1 day chart... it will take MAJOR news for a push near 15k
There is a possibility that another major wave 5 is possible here, just like on SPX