Hood finds itself in the weekly demand zone. The stock is also potentially in the golden fib pocket as well. We saw a very nice reset in stochastic momentum here. I have started to add to this position again. I have been out of the position for a while and look to stay with my aggressive small/mid caps this year. My plan: Adding shares here, possibly selling CSP. I would wait on covered calls for a bit if possible.
I have been adding to this position here and selling covered calls to accumulate more cash. I am starting to really like this stock for selling options and I am starting to build conviction in the thesis. The company although risky should remain hot this year with juiced premiums. You will note the stock is deep in the weekly demand zone here. Stochastic momentum has shifted and reset. We are below all moving averages. My plan: I have been very successful in selling covered calls and closing them if they are 50% in profit the first day or 70% profit the second day. I have also been selling puts in these demand zones and adding shares. I would like to get to 1,000 shares to wheel this like I had been doing with hims.
The price movement in the S&P 500 this past week was volatile. However, on the close of Friday Powell's comments created a certain degree of comfort in the market and we saw a positive close to Friday's action. The next test will be a close above 5825 on Monday. This would be an indication that buyers are continuing to support this market.
Castrol India - Swing trading setup! https://www.tradingview.com/x/YiXpsfTa/ Note: This is not a trading recommendation. This analysis is for educational purposes only. We'll know in few days if the price moved as per the study. It is not advisable to go long when the general market is trending low.
Bitcoin’s next all-time high isn’t a matter of if—it’s a matter of when. And if you don’t have an exit plan, history shows you could end up watching your profits disappear. Since June 2024, I’ve been refining this model to predict WHEN BTC is most likely to peak based on historical data. Now, after months of work, I’ve cleaned up the numbers, added standard deviations, and pinpointed the key dates you need to watch. Let’s dive in. First, every model has some assumptions, here are the key ones driving this thesis: 1) For this research, trading volume for BTC doesn't increase to high enough levels for predictive models until 2013 so I will only be looking at the data from the 2016 halving in this example. This is a curve fitting approach but I believe it is offset by the increased adoption, the fact that the supply hasn't changed, and that larger wallets are committing to hold for longer periods of time. This is still 12+ years of data points to draw conclusions from. 2) Assume a normal distribution and use a ±2 standard deviation range for references to deviations. Lets go, The beautiful part of the 4 year cycle is that you can see historically how similar the events are playing out due to the bitcoin halving. As a reminder- the Bitcoin halving is an event that happens about every four years, cutting the reward given to btc miners in half…hence halving. Miners are the people using powerful computers to help run and secure the Bitcoin network. This halving process is an economic design that slows the creation of new Bitcoin, making it more scarce over time, similar to how gold becomes harder to mine as more is extracted from the ground. Once the bitcoin halving occurs, you can see that the price increases similarly over time, it also sells off similarly over time, it also indicates where the bottom of the market might be in relative terms to the next halving. History rhymes because people's investment emotions haven’t changed since the dawn of time. Greed leads to greed, fear leads to fear. The patterns from Low prices to high prices, rhymes. The pattern from one all time high to the next all time high- rhyme! So let’s use this to our advantage to increase our odds of profit and risk reduction. Let’s look at the patterns of past cycles: I can't seem to paste my tables here so we are going to improvise: Halving to ATH - From BTC Halving to All Time High 2016 - 2831% in 526 days 2020 - 657% in 548 days For 2024/2025: Halving to ATH (-2): 506 days- Sept 8, 2025 Halving to ATH (Mean): 537 days,- Oct 10th, 2025 Halving to ATH (+2): 568 days- Nov 9th, 2025 Low to All Time High- From the cycle low price on Nov 21, 2022 to the post halving ATH 2016 - 11,960% in 1067 days 2020 - 2,089% in 1060 days For 2024/2025: Low to ATH (-2): 1053 days - Oct 9, 2025 Low to to ATH (Mean): 1063 days - Oct 19, 2025 Low to ATH (+2): 1073 days- Oct 29, 2025 ATH to ATH - From the cycle HIGH price on Nov 8th, 2021 to the post halving ATH 2016 - 1,579% in 1477 days 2020 - 248% in 1424 days For 2024/2025: ATH to ATH (-2): 1375 days Aug 14th, 2025 ATH to ATH (Mean): 1450 days- Oct 28th, 2025 ATH to ATH (+2): 1525 days - January 11, 2026 If we then take those dates and order them chronologically it can give you a window of time to focus on and dig deeper into. Mean & SD # of Days Future Date ATH to ATH (-2) 1375 August 14 Halving to ATH (-2) 506 Sept 8 Low to ATH (-2) 1053 Oct 9 Halving to ATH (Mean) 537 Oct 10 Low to to ATH (Mean) 1063 Oct 19 ATH to ATH (Mean) 1450 Oct 28 Low to ATH (+2) 1073 Oct 29 Halving to ATH (+2) 568 Nov 9 ATH to ATH (+2) 1525 Jan 11, 2026 When including the standard deviations of dates that far apart if can give you quite a large range- a total of 150 days! While that seems like a lot…a 4 year cycle has roughly 1461 days…. So a 10% window isn’t bad if you are coming in blind…which most of the retail investors are. Just like you did. Just like I did. So how can we take the 150 day window and narrow it down further. Well, we can look for other similarities in the chart to give us clues of how humans have behaved in the past to give us a clue of how they might act in the future. Bitcoin's all-time highs tend to cluster between November and December: -2013 ATH: Late November -2017 ATH: Early December -2021 ATH: Early November That could be a good indicator as well for retail investors in 2025, and if it repeats (because history rhymes, and I guess that makes me Eminem with charts), we can narrow our exit window further. Realistically this is where preference and opinion start to come in. It is my opinion that what I see most often in a bull run is that retail not only comes in late, but they are the main catalyst for price action and who we ultimately should be thanking when we are selling at high prices…to them! With that understanding I wouldn’t expect the early time deviations NOT to hold as much weight as the later. Furthermore, when looking at the data above we see a lot of confluence in October especially. With retail being reactive and not proactive, I would consider those dates as a start of the exit as opposed to the actual total exit. However, if I was trying to get out blindly and sell all my bitcoin this year. I would simply take my total portfolio and sell 10% of it for 10 weeks starting Oct 1st, 2025 and ending December 10th, 2025. That's the concept, shift a couple weeks as you see fit. This blanket approach allows you to capture the majority of the exit window using historical data. This process is the reverse of what most people know as “dollar cost averaging”, except instead of buying each week, you are selling and taking profits each week. Why do we need an approach to exit? Because the most common scenario we see for selling is post all-time high, and we are selling with other sellers, competing to get BTC sold, which in turns leads to lower prices and the cycle continues for a year until sellers are exhausted. So while I don’t have to figure out the exact top of the market to sell…I can capture some of it by targeting an exit window like we have here. But what’s the real goal of selling? For me, it’s not about cashing out to sit on the sidelines—it’s about maximizing my BTC holdings over time. It is my opinion that the only reason to sell bitcoin is for the sake of accumulating more when the market rolls over and predictable crashes. If you take 10k to buy 1 BTC and it grows 600%, then you sell it. You now have $70,000 and if BTC then cuts its price in half...you can now have 2 BTC for the same $10,000 investment. This reduces your risk. Rinse and repeat for the next cycle to build wealth and further reduce your risk towards 0%. With that said, my approach will be to always hold some level of BTC. Even if I was exiting over 10 weeks as in the example before, there will always be a portion that I keep as a way to hedge against the greatest threat in all of investing…not being able to actually predict the future. Here are the hard facts. The all time high price is irrelevant if you don't plan to sell your bitcoin, make a plan to sell, and know WHEN to sell your BTC. Bottom line: You don’t need to catch the exact top (and you won’t). You just need a plan. Decide: *Are you holding for the long term? *Are you day trading? *Are you playing the 4-year cycle? Once you make that choice, stick to it. If you sell BTC when it hits 250k and then BTC continues to climb to hit 350k (for a few hours, probably when you are asleep), who cares? You won. As the old saying goes, it’s really hard to go broke taking profits. So take them and be grateful that you aren't holding on to your bags of bitcoin for the next 4 years wondering why you never sold anything because a Youtuber told you it was going to be worth 11B this year! I hope you found this of value, keep trying to learn and grow to reduce your risk and build your wealth. Reach out on social or my website if you want help building or executing on a plan. At the end of the day, it’s not about catching the exact top—it’s about making money and keeping it. So make a plan, stick to it, take profits, and let Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle work in your favor. The video that started it all: youtube.com/watch?v=bLIO77dSIO8&t=436s www.BrianLauchner.com
Despite facing resistance at 1.088 on Friday, the wave structure and volume suggest that EUR/USD is likely to test the 1.095 region. A potential pullback towards 1.080 or even 1.075 at the market open on Monday could serve as a launchpad for another bullish move. Keep an eye on price action and volume for confirmation. ?
Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Bitcoin for a buying opportunity around 84k zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 84k support and resistance area. Trade safe, Joe.
Investor interest in AI coding assistants is exploding. Anysphere, the developer of AI-powered coding assistant Cursor, is in talks with venture capitalists to raise capital at a valuation of nearly $10 billion, Bloomberg reported. The round, if it transpires, would come about three months after Anysphere completed its previous fundraise of $100 million at a […] © 2024 TechCrunch. All rights reserved. For personal use only.
It breaks through the highs and I will do it if I trust Bitcoin.
LUNC has been trading below equilibrium for about two years now, following a horrific loss in value that completely destroyed its reputation and shattered the wealth of tens of thousands of investors. However, the charts seem to indicate that LUNC could experience a 300% to 500% price increase by early 2026, perhaps even sooner. I'm by no means a fan of LUNC and would avoid it like the plague if I were you. Regardless, the "wealth transfer" community across a wide variety of platforms seems convinced that God is telling them to buy this coin, as it will make them all wealthy beyond their wildest imaginations. Either that, or they live in states where cannabis is legal and are abusing the privilege. But time will tell if these people are LUNAtics or not. Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!