As with most other cryptos, price is pumping for black wave 3. There is no RSI divergence present, so we could still see further upside before a correction. Pullbacks for wave 4 are long trade opportunities. Price is currently trying to break strong resistance in the gray zone (44-45).
AUD/NZD shows strong potential for continued upside, supported by large speculators who are holding long positions, as indicated by the latest COT data. This aligns with the typical contrarian dynamic, where retail traders remain predominantly bearish, positioning themselves against the trend. When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, it often creates an opportunity for institutional players to push prices higher, targeting retail stop-loss orders. This dynamic suggests that AUD/NZD is well-positioned for further gains as institutional buying pressure outweighs the retail skepticism. With speculators backing the bullish trend and retail traders positioned against it, the pair is primed for sustained upside. Traders should keep an eye on key support zones and potential entry points to capitalize on the continuing bullish momentum.
Bitcoin : plan the trade ,trade the plan. Might spike at 105k or maybe even 115k , i am not trying to catch a top here. I am trying to show where is the next area to start longing when btc starts going down. 81k is the my area of interest. IF we get there ,long everything.
LCX is looking bullish on the 12 hour chart. With the current market frenzy LCX could re-visit it's form all time high soon. Best Wishes.
AUD/JPY presents a compelling case for downside potential as large speculators increasingly position short, according to COT data. This shift in institutional sentiment contrasts with the prevailing retail bullish bias, with many traders still holding long positions, expecting the pair to continue its upward momentum. However, when retail sentiment becomes too optimistic, especially near critical resistance levels, it often signals a reversal opportunity for larger players. With institutions positioning for further downside, AUD/JPY could be primed for a pullback or breakdown as retail traders’ stop-losses become targets for liquidity grabs. Given the contrast between institutional positioning and retail sentiment, AUD/JPY remains vulnerable to downside pressure. Monitoring sentiment extremes and watching for liquidity events around key levels could provide key insights into the next major move for the pair.
UK100 is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 8,199.44 1st Support: 8,071.06 1st Resistance: 8,404.02 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/CAD faces mounting downside pressure, as both technical and fundamental signals align against bullish sentiment. Large speculators appear increasingly disinterested in driving meaningful upside, as reflected in lackluster price action and shrinking volume—a classic sign of a market primed for a breakdown. Retail traders, however, remain skewed toward long positions, expecting a reversal that the current chart structure fails to support. The pair’s ineffective movements and absence of significant participation suggest limited conviction, leaving it vulnerable to further declines as liquidity pockets below key support levels come into focus. With a combination of weak volume, bearish institutional bias, and overexposed retail longs, AUD/CAD appears set for continued downside. Traders should remain cautious and monitor liquidity zones and shifts in sentiment to anticipate the pair’s next move.
This chart shows that in the 2 recent halving cycles Bitcoin Dominance had a massive pullback 240 days after the halving. We are now approaching the next 240 day cycle after the most recent halving earlier this year. 240 Days after Halving = December 17 2024.
The USD/JPY currency pair appears poised for a potential decline, as COT reports reveal a clear bias among large speculators favoring short positions. This bearish sentiment from institutional players starkly contrasts with the optimism displayed by retail traders, many of whom remain positioned long, anticipating a reversal. However, retail sentiment often serves as fuel for liquidity hunts, with institutional strategies targeting stop-loss clusters near key support zones. Historical patterns suggest that when retail traders collectively lean too heavily in one direction, large speculators seize the opportunity to move the market against them. With bearish positioning among speculators and retail sentiment ripe for exploitation, USD/JPY could face further downside pressure. Monitoring shifts in liquidity levels, sentiment extremes, and institutional positioning will be crucial in anticipating the next major move. Let me know if you'd like to refine it further! You said: wo super good ChatGPT said: Glad you liked it! ? Let me know if you need more like this or anything else. Happy trading! ?? You said: skriov likande om gbpjpy ChatGPT said: Here’s a version tailored for GBP/JPY: GBP/JPY Analysis: Short Pressure Builds as Speculators Align Against Retail Sentiment GBP/JPY is showing signs of potential downside momentum, with COT data highlighting a growing inclination among large speculators to position short. Meanwhile, retail traders continue to pile into long positions, anticipating a bounce from recent support levels—a setup that often spells trouble for the average trader. Historically, GBP/JPY has been a prime target for stop hunts, given its volatility and tendency to gravitate toward liquidity zones. With institutional players dominating the narrative and retail sentiment leaning heavily bullish, the stage is set for a potential breakdown to sweep liquidity below key levels. The imbalance between institutional shorts and retail longs signals that GBP/JPY may face additional selling pressure. Traders should watch for liquidity grabs near significant swing points and track shifts in sentiment and order flow to anticipate the next leg down. Let me know if you'd like adjustments or a focus on specific aspects!
The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.5984 1st Support: 0.5832 1st Resistance: 0.6062 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.