1-Hour Chart Technical Analysis: 1. Price Action: * AAPL is trending within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows visible on the 1-hour timeframe. * Current price is hovering near $250.41, with immediate support at $245.74 and resistance at $256.00. * The price is showing signs of consolidation, attempting to form a base near the channel’s lower trendline. 2. Indicators: * MACD: The MACD histogram is slightly negative, indicating bearish momentum is still dominant. However, there is a possible flattening of the histogram, signaling a slowdown in the bearish pressure. * Stochastic RSI: The RSI is nearing the oversold zone, which may indicate an upcoming reversal or bounce from current levels. 3. Trading Strategy: * Entry for Long: * Wait for a bullish breakout from the descending channel. * Confirm with a green candle closing above $252, accompanied by increasing volume. * Stop Loss: * For a long position, place the stop loss just below $245.74. * Targets: * Target 1: $256.00 (channel resistance). * Target 2: $260.10 (next key resistance level). * Entry for Short: * If the price breaks below $245.74 with bearish momentum, enter a short position. * Confirm with MACD showing increasing red bars and RSI trending downward. * Stop Loss: * For a short position, place the stop loss just above $252.00. * Targets: * Target 1: $240.00 (psychological level). * Target 2: $236.00 (next support zone). Daily GEX (Options Gamma Exposure) Analysis: https://www.tradingview.com/x/VbIM0W8d/ 1. Key Levels: * High Positive Gamma (Resistance): * $256.00: Strong resistance zone with 80.76% of gamma exposure concentrated here. * High Negative Gamma (Support): * $245.00 and $240.00: Key support levels with significant put support. 2. Options Oscillator Insights: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 31.2, indicating moderately low implied volatility compared to historical levels. * GEX: Negative (-5.38%), suggesting that dealers may sell into rallies, which could add downward pressure. 3. Options Trading Strategy: * Bullish Option Play: * Buy a Call Debit Spread: * Buy the $252.50 call and sell the $260.00 call, targeting a breakout above $256.00. * Expiration: 2-3 weeks out to capture potential upward momentum. * Breakeven: Near $254, with maximum profit at $260.00. * Bearish Option Play: * Buy a Put Debit Spread: * Buy the $245.00 put and sell the $240.00 put, targeting a breakdown below $245.00. * Expiration: 1-2 weeks to capitalize on quick downward moves. * Breakeven: Near $243.00, with maximum profit at $240.00. Conclusion: AAPL is currently in a consolidation phase within a descending channel. A breakout above $252 or breakdown below $245.74 will provide directional clarity for both stock trading and options strategies. Monitor volume and key gamma levels for confirmation of the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
After a good rally the pair needs a correction. Support broken on 4H timeframe. SL triggers if a daily candles closes above the support (break up).
Ah, the elusive 80/20 candle... I've been talking about the 80/20 candle quite a lot and there are of course different types. One is red which is starting to form on VARA's weekly chart, it has not confirmed there yet but on SHIB's chart we have a full fledged 80/20 hammer candle and because the candle is green the candle can exceed 20% and still be considered confirmed. The way it often works is a large wick forms off of support level which in this case is that massive order block just below the wick. This indicates that traders, especially bargain traders have chosen that is the best price in that session and thus everyone buys in. The result is often a very quick V recover similar to what we often see in the stock market following any random crash. While the 80/20 candle doesn't guarantee a reversal it has a very high statistical success rate of 80% plus depending upon the asset class you are looking at. Just be warned that the success rate in this specific asset class is a little lower on the lower time frames but very high on the weekly and monthly candle chart. I am not a financial advisor. Trade safely my friends.
SCRT ~ 1W #SCRT So far it still maintains its bullish structure. This is wave 2 of the Eliot Wave pattern. buy in stages with a minimum target of 20%+
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1-Hour Chart Trading Analysis Current Observations: * Trendline Analysis: GOOGL is trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows, signaling a bearish trend on the 1-hour timeframe. * Support and Resistance: * Current resistance near $192.50 aligns with prior support-turned-resistance. * Support levels at $183.92 and potentially lower at $180.00. * MACD: Indicates weakening bearish momentum as the histogram bars decrease, suggesting a potential for short-term consolidation or reversal. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold on the hourly chart, indicating the potential for a bounce in the short term. Trade Suggestions: * For Long Position (Bounce Play): * Entry: Near $184.00, if the price forms a bullish reversal candle and breaks above the descending channel. * Stop Loss: Below $182.00, to limit risk. * Target 1: $192.50, as the nearest resistance. * Target 2: $195.50, if bullish momentum sustains. * For Short Position (Continuation Play): * Entry: If the price fails to break above $192.50 or rejects from the descending channel trendline. * Stop Loss: Above $194.00, to manage risk. * Target 1: $183.92, near the lower boundary of the channel. * Target 2: $180.00, if the bearish trend persists. Daily Chart GEX (Options Analysis) for GOOGL https://www.tradingview.com/x/vkVj1eDT/ GEX Insights: * Highest Call Wall (Resistance): $200.00, which aligns with psychological resistance and a significant gamma level. * Highest Positive NET GEX (Support): $187.50, acting as an interim support level based on call/put positioning. * Highest Put Wall (Support): $175.00, indicating strong downside protection by option traders. Options Strategy Suggestions: * Bullish (Bounce Above $187.50): * Trade Setup: Buy a Call Option. * Strike: $195.00. * Expiration: 2-3 weeks out for momentum to build. * Target: Profit if the price approaches $200.00. * Stop Loss: Exit if GOOGL drops below $185.00. * Bearish (Break Below $183.92): * Trade Setup: Buy a Put Option. * Strike: $180.00. * Expiration: 1-2 weeks out, expecting rapid movement. * Target: Profit as price nears $175.00. * Stop Loss: Exit if GOOGL rises above $187.50. Confluence Analysis * Volume: Watch for a significant volume increase near $184.00 or $192.50 to validate breakout or rejection trades. * Indicators Alignment: Ensure MACD aligns with the trade direction, and the Stochastic RSI confirms momentum before entering. * Options Flow: Monitor unusual options activity around key GEX levels to anticipate potential moves. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risks effectively before trading.
aside from all the potential this thing has with research backing for the US govt. this chart is absolutely beautiful
1-Hour Chart Analysis (For Trading) 1. Price Action: * NVDA is trading within a descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. * The price is near the lower channel boundary around $133-$134, suggesting a potential reversal zone. 2. Indicators: * MACD: Bearish momentum persists with increasing red histogram bars, but the MACD lines are near a potential crossover. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold, indicating a possible reversal in the short term. 3. Support and Resistance Levels: * Support: $133 (trendline support), $130. * Resistance: $137 (middle of the channel), $141 (upper channel boundary). 4. Trading Strategy: * Entry (Long): * Look for a reversal confirmation at the lower channel boundary near $133-$134. * Ensure Stochastic RSI begins to rise from oversold levels, and MACD shows a bullish crossover. * Entry (Short): * If the price breaks below $133, consider shorting with a target of $130. * Stop Loss: * Long: Place stop-loss below $130. * Short: Place stop-loss above $135. * Target: * Long: Initial target at $137, extended target at $141. * Short: Target at $130. Daily Chart Analysis (For Options Trading) https://www.tradingview.com/x/gYWq70yT/ 1. Options GEX Analysis: * Call Walls (Resistance): * $144 (3rd CALL Wall). * $141 (2nd CALL Wall). * Put Walls (Support): * $133 (2nd PUT Wall). * $130 (strong PUT support). * Highest Positive NET GEX: At $137, indicating key pivot resistance. * Highest Negative NET GEX: At $130, confirming strong support. 2. Implied Volatility and GEX Metrics: * IVR: 21.2%, indicating moderate implied volatility. * Options Oscillator: Calls at 21.2% and puts dominating at 26.4%, highlighting bearish sentiment. 3. Options Trade Strategy: * Bullish Scenario: * If NVDA reverses from $133, buy Call Options targeting $137-$141 with a strike price near $135, expiring in 1-2 weeks. * Bearish Scenario: * If NVDA breaks below $133, buy Put Options targeting $130 with a strike price near $132, expiring in 1-2 weeks. * Neutral Strategy: * Sell an Iron Condor with: * Upper Leg: $141-$144 calls. * Lower Leg: $130-$133 puts. 4. Risk Management: * Bullish Calls: Exit if NVDA fails to break $137 with momentum. * Bearish Puts: Exit if NVDA closes above $135. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. All trading carries risks; trade responsibly.
up about 500% on a 500x leverage long just waiting for my target to hit
1-Hour Chart Analysis (Trading Perspective) Key Observations: 1. Price Action: * TSLA is in a short-term downtrend, with the price respecting the downward-sloping trendline. * A key support zone is around $401–$403, which aligns with recent consolidation levels. 2. Indicators: * MACD: The MACD is bearish, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line and histogram bars increasing in the negative zone, indicating downward momentum. * Stoch RSI: The Stoch RSI is near the oversold zone, which might suggest a potential bounce if supported by price action. 3. Volume: * Volume has picked up during the recent bearish candles, confirming seller strength in the short term. Trading Strategy: Bearish Continuation: * Entry: If the price breaks below the key support at $401 with increasing volume, enter a short position. * Stop Loss: Place the stop above the previous swing high or near the downward-sloping trendline (~$410). * Targets: * Target 1: $395 * Target 2: $390 (psychological level and historical support). Reversal Opportunity: * Entry: If the price holds above $401 and forms a bullish reversal candle with confirmation from MACD flattening and Stoch RSI crossing upwards. * Stop Loss: Place the stop just below the support level at $399. * Targets: * Target 1: $410 (trendline resistance). * Target 2: $420 (major resistance and upper channel boundary). Daily Chart Analysis (Options Perspective with GEX) https://www.tradingview.com/x/OYtbeCF0/ Key Observations: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Key Levels: * Call Wall at $455: This is a significant resistance level, indicating where call sellers might exert pressure. * Put Wall at $380: Major support level where put buyers may defend. * HVL (Highest Volume Level): At $403, aligning with support on the 1-hour chart, making it a critical decision level. 2. Options Oscillator (IV and GEX): * IV Rank (IVR) is high at 73.1, indicating elevated implied volatility, which could favor premium-selling strategies for options traders. * Net Gamma is negative, suggesting that the market is leaning bearish in the short term. Options Strategy: Bearish Strategy: * Entry: If TSLA breaks below $401 (HVL) with momentum. * Option Play: Buy $395 strike puts expiring in 1–2 weeks for short-term bearish exposure. * Targets: * First target: $390 (Put Wall). * Second target: $380 (next major support). * Stop Loss: Exit the puts if TSLA reclaims $405 and holds above this level. Bullish Strategy: * Entry: If TSLA bounces off the $401 support and breaks above $410 with confirmation. * Option Play: Sell $380 strike puts or buy $420 strike calls expiring in 2–4 weeks. * Targets: * First target: $420 (resistance level). * Second target: $455 (Call Wall). * Stop Loss: Exit if TSLA breaks below $399. Conclusion * For trading, watch the $401–$403 support level for either a breakdown (short entry) or a reversal (long entry). * For options, leverage the Gamma levels by playing the Call Wall at $455 and Put Wall at $380 as key targets. * Always monitor volume and indicator confirmation to ensure alignment with the setup. Use disciplined stop-loss and risk management for all trades. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.