If we get the ball rolling I gaurentee a first leg straight into $2893 first. LFG Traders ?
Market drop will begin to form temporary bottom, to start final leg up to complete ending diagonal 5, Then back down for a larger Cycle wave 4, then up. So we are officially in 4-5. 4-5, ending diagonal land.
In this example on Crude Oil I give some insight into how trendlines and traditional support & resistance theories may be used by "smart money" for the purposes of facilitating their positions via inducing liquidity. Basically, trendlines are drawn along the highs or lows of price movements and help to identify the direction and strength of a trend. They serve as visual guidelines for traders, highlighting potential turning points or continuation patterns. Support and resistance levels are areas where the price historically finds a floor or ceiling, leading many market participants to place their entry and exit orders around these zones. Because these levels are based on historical price action, they hold significant psychological value among retail traders. The Mechanism of Liquidity Manipulation Liquidity Pools and Stop Loss Clusters: Retail traders often cluster their stop losses near prominent support or resistance levels. Smart money is aware of these liquidity pools and can engineer price moves to trigger these stops. For example, by intentionally nudging the price through a known support level, institutional players can trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders. This “stop run” injects a burst of liquidity into the market, which can then be absorbed as positions are liquidated at less favorable prices for retail traders. False Breakouts and Reversals: Another common tactic involves creating false breakouts. A price move that breaks above a resistance level (or below a support level) might initially appear to signal a new trend. However, smart money can deliberately drive prices just past these technical barriers to trigger stop-loss orders and entry orders. Once sufficient liquidity is collected from the triggered orders, they may reverse the move. This reversal traps traders who anticipated a sustained breakout, leaving them with positions that quickly turn against them. Exploiting Herd Behavior and Market Sentiment: The widespread reliance on technical analysis means that many traders have similar expectations about where price will reverse or accelerate. This collective mindset, or herd behavior, creates predictable zones of liquidity. Smart money can capitalize on these self-fulfilling prophecies by anticipating the mass reaction around key trendlines and support/resistance levels. They use this insight to position themselves ahead of the crowd, executing large trades that move the market in their favor. Strategic Benefits for Smart Money By manipulating these common technical levels, smart money participants can: Maximize Efficiency: Accumulate or distribute large positions with minimal market impact by tapping into pre-existing liquidity pools. Control Market Direction: Influence short-term price movements to create advantageous conditions for larger trades. Enhance Risk-Reward Profiles: Trigger stop losses at critical junctures, effectively reducing their own risk while capitalizing on forced exits from retail traders. Conclusion While trendlines and support/resistance are invaluable tools for assessing market structure and potential price movements, they also serve as instruments for liquidity manipulation by experienced market participants. The predictable nature of stop-loss placements and entry orders around these levels creates opportunities for smart money to trigger cascades of orders, generating liquidity in their favor. As a result, retail traders must be aware of these dynamics and consider them when planning their trades, acknowledging that what appears to be a genuine breakout may, in fact, be a carefully orchestrated move to capture liquidity. This nuanced understanding highlights the double-edged nature of technical analysis tools in modern trading. By appreciating both their utility and potential for manipulation, traders can better navigate the complex interplay between market psychology and institutional strategy.
updated key of 9 charts as you can see we are moving down right on schedule
Market Structure Overview NVDA has been in a strong downtrend, forming a descending wedge pattern. The stock is currently hovering around a key support zone near $120, with increasing sell volume. A breakdown could lead to further downside, while a reversal from this level could spark a short-term rally. Key Support & Resistance Levels * Support: $120, $118, and $115 (GEX Negative Zone) * Resistance: $129, $136, and $143 (GEX Call Wall) * Major Gamma Exposure Levels: * CALL Resistance: $140, $145, $150 * PUT Support: $120, $118, $115 Indicators & Momentum * MACD: Bearish, but showing early signs of a potential crossover. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, signaling a potential bounce. * Volume: Elevated selling pressure with a possible exhaustion phase. GEX Analysis & Options Flow https://www.tradingview.com/x/q0J5CmgA/ * IVR: 47 (moderate implied volatility) * Options Sentiment: CALLs at 13.7%, indicating bearish sentiment in the near term. * GEX Levels: Highest negative NETGEX support at $120, suggesting a possible bounce zone if demand returns. Trade Plan: Scenarios to Watch 1. Bullish Scenario: If NVDA holds above $120 and breaks $129, a reversal towards $136-$140 is possible. * Entry: Above $129 * Target: $136, then $143 * Stop Loss: Below $118 2. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $120 could trigger a move to $115 or even $110. * Entry: Below $120 * Target: $115, then $110 * Stop Loss: Above $125 Final Thoughts NVDA is at a pivotal point. If it holds above $120, bulls might regain control. However, failure to sustain above this level could bring more downside. Watch for a volume increase to confirm direction. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
Hello everyone! Today one of the web hot topic - all the 7 stars align and there must be something happen! What do you think? "Bulls took profits, bears took chances—HSI took a nap before the next round!" ??? Here you go...now come with this news ? https://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:449646:0-hong-kong-stocks-under-pressure-but-set-for-strong-monthly-gains/ **Shares in Hong Kong plunged 309 points or 1.3% to 23,415 on the last trading day of February, marking a second session of losses. The Hang Seng fell further from its highest in over three years, set earlier in the week, and was on track for its first weekly drop in seven weeks, with all sectors posting sharp losses. Still, markets were on course for solid monthly gains, up around 15% so far, marking a third month of rises as hopes mounted that China’s 2025 Two Sessions meeting next week will outline key policy priorities, including potential support measures for the economy.** Look at the HSI D Chart https://www.tradingview.com/x/U2n2Hl9L/ - posted 25Feb2025 https://www.tradingview.com/x/hWgD2S8V/ - posted 26Feb2025 https://www.tradingview.com/x/wtvYr7RP/ - posted 27Feb2025 https://www.tradingview.com/x/nfc6qk8e/ - posted 28Feb2025 at point of writing; the index broke the key support level of 22900-23000 (the strong level of 23000 which is the 10MA level; let's monitor closely next week the new start for the month and see this level can be maintained. (this level has been retest 3 times) Trading volume: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/history/?frequency=1d Date Volume Feb 27, 2025 6,257,000,000 Feb 26, 2025 5,138,100,000 Feb 25, 2025 4,449,800,000 Feb 24, 2025 5,264,600,000 Monthly Feb 1 2025 - 87,382,400,000 Jan 1 2025 - 52,385,800,000 Dec 1 2024 - 56,349,200,000 Avg past 3 months : 65.3Bn ; current as of todate / month volume > past 3 mnths avg (i.e 57.98bn) Look at the 4H chart (main chart) PEPPERSTONE:HK50 The last Oct Hi @ 23241 has been broken hence retracement is not a surprised! With the month closing today, the strong pullback is inevitable for institute and whale to take profit. Please trade cautiously today! ? ? ? Now, what's next? As updated:- Next level that we are looking at to break and steadily staying above this level - 23525, 23990, 24101, 24385 ? as of ✍️ it seems break the first support level this morning- and let's see if it could rebound today else it will go down ⬇ ? to 23175-22990 level, then 22741. ?️ support level : 23500 (broken) , 23175 (broken), 22990 (testing), 22741 MACD - last marked WAS deadcross and curving down as marked in YELLOW. After 8 bars-it reversed as marked in GREEN. and NOW it formed Deadcross again (as marked in YELLOW) KDJ - Now reversed turned into bearish red zone. It remained in bearish zone. BB - It is now entered lower BB channel and testing to break the lower BB and create new Lo. Today Trade Plan: 23000-23504 Buy into support : 22795- 22900 (confirm with the indicator if its on reversal mode otherwise stayaway) Sell at resistance : 24040,23454,23250 (short and TP within shorter timeframe, cross-check and wait for confirmation) Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator. Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan! Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect. Let's follow our own strategy and zen with ? and ?. Happy Trading everyone! ? Start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point. ? DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. HKEX:2800 - 22.90-22.82 if it happens to retrace back to this level, otherwise anytime NOW is entry point! It's confirmed by the 200MA (above in W chart) ; also the W chart MACD GoldenCross. Cross-check it; if need helps let us know. HKEX:2823 - 13.17-14.75 can start to open position and start accumulate, is allowed to wait for confirmation once it breaks 14.75 level. But you will be getting at higher cost... HKEX:2801 - open position at price : 23.73-23.80 or anytime NOW! if ever retraced back to 23.36-23.66 accumulate more. HKEX:3067 ** Please Boost ?/LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea or need help! *
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my entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise Entry; $0.00008071 Take Profit; $0.00009372 Stop Loss; $0.00007651
Flat opening expected in nifty. It is consolidating in between the range of 22500-22550 level. Major directional rally only expected if nifty give break and sustain this range breakout. Strong downside movement expected below 22500 level. For bearish rally 22300 will be next support level. For bullish rally upside 22750 will act as a major resistance in today's session.
This BTC move has been long in the works. See previous charts. New low today after a brief respite to $87,000 as forecasted yesterday. $72k - FWB:73K is the buy zone. Murrey Math, Elliott wave, Kumar wave in effect.