Heading back to the low on the long-term trendline, as this stock has done so many times before. I've got my GTC order set to $42
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With our 1:1 profit target achieved, we'll now aim for a 1:2 ratio. To lock in some gains, let's secure half of the profits and allow the remaining position to run towards the full take-profit level.
But im not backing out yet! Observations from the Data Trend Confirmation via Moving Averages: Several key moving averages and trend indicators (EMA at 1.30829, DEMA, HT Trendline at 1.31043, KAMA, Linear Regression) are positioned well above the current market level of 1.28234. This indicates that, on an hourly basis, the longer-term trend remains bearish. Directional Indicators: The directional movement figures are very telling. With PLUS_DI at about 4.97 and MINUS_DI at around 31.38, sellers clearly dominate the market. A low DI(+) against a high DI(–) reinforces that the overall bias is to the downside. Momentum & Oscillators: The RSI is extremely low at ~15, indicating an oversold condition. In isolation, this might hint at a potential short-term bounce. However, other momentum indicators, such as the Chande Momentum Oscillator (-70.09) and a slightly negative MACD (-0.00185), suggest that the underlying bearish momentum has been strong. Oscillators like Williams %R (at -89.21) further underscore that the market is deep into oversold territory. Volatility Metrics: An ATR of 0.0043 and relatively low standard deviation indicate modest volatility, meaning your stop-loss and target levels can be measured with reasonable precision. Context and Rationale Overall Trend: The majority of your trend-following indicators (e.g., EMA, DEMA, HT Trendline, KAMA) are positioned higher, confirming a prevailing bearish bias. Even though the RSI shows an extreme oversold reading (around 15), in a strong downtrend like this, oversold conditions can simply trigger a temporary bounce rather than a reversal. My sell entry at 1.27752 aligns with staying in the trend. Directional Pressure: With the MINUS_DI (31.38) greatly outweighing the PLUS_DI (4.97), the directional movement clearly favors sellers. My entry at 1.27752 positions me within this selling pressure, assuming the bounce to fail and the downtrend to resume. Entry Timing: Instead of waiting for a higher bounce ideal for a pullback short, my entry at 1.27752 suggests that I chose to capture a move early in the downswing or perhaps because price action broke a key support level. This could be advantageous if momentum continues as anticipated. Why This Trade Setup Works Alignment with Trend: Maintaining a sell position aligns with the overall bearish structure indicated by your moving averages and directional indicators. Captchaing a Bounce Rejection: Even if a short-term bounce occurs from oversold conditions, your entry near 1.27752 could capture the early phase of a bearish continuation provided that the rally fails to sustain. Confluence of Technical Signals: The combination of oversold conditions (which in a downtrend often predict a short-lived bounce) and the strong directional indication from MINUS_DI and related momentum oscillators creates a setup where a rejection of a minor recovery can lead to further downside moves.
Based of range projections, and price respecting Apr,4 daily FVG -, price is not slowing down, Last year low of (4,702.00) will get ran. Come back when im right?
Gan Fan on the SPX. Looking all the way back to early 30s.
GATT and WTO was favorable to competitive nations goods and services make up the economy of countries and with the rise of demand on both TRUMP is looking at the LONG GAME
Stocks are pulling the entire market, every sector, down, as it approaches a final 4 year cycle low. Here are the criteria most probable to be met in anticipating a bottom
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices break a three-day losing streak but remain capped below the key $3,000 level, as rising US Treasury yields dampen the appeal of the non-interest-bearing metal. Despite optimism surrounding potential trade agreements among global partners, lingering tensions in the ongoing US–China trade conflict continue to keep investors on edge. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading flat around $2,980 per troy ounce. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price moves with large amplitude, in a downward correction phase. Continues to trade below 3040 waiting for the FED's move on interest rates and agreements on tariff levels of countries around the world. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: ?SELL GOLD zone : 3038 - 3040 SL 3045 TP1: $3028 TP2: $3015 TP3: $3000 ?BUY GOLD zone: $2958 - $2960 SL $2953 TP1: $2975 TP2: $2990 TP3: $3010 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSD is continuing to move within a clearly defined descending channel on the H1 timeframe. The price structure shows that the Bears still control the market as each pullback is rejected right at the upper trendline. Currently, price is reacting around the confluence zone between the dynamic resistance line and the previous distribution area. There is no sign that buying pressure is strong enough to break the descending channel. Instead, price action is showing weakness and hesitation from the buyers. The support zone around 2,955 continues to serve as the final foothold for the current downtrend. If this area is breached, the sell-off could accelerate sharply, pushing price toward the 2,880 region, where the lower boundary of the channel quietly awaits. Until the technical structure changes, the downtrend remains the main scenario. There is no reason to look for buying opportunities at this time.