Bitcoin is currently displaying a rebound pattern towards the 85,000 - 85,500 zone, which is crucial to maintain its bullish momentum. I suggest entering a short position in this range with tight stop-losses to capitalize on the anticipated movement. This analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, so we should expect results within 8 to 11 hours. If the expected price action does not occur within that timeframe, the trade will be considered invalid. Be sure to follow me for ongoing updates and to continue generating profits! We've successfully executed 6 trades in a row—let's aim for this to be the 7th, or we start fresh!
hello friends Due to the price correction, now is a good opportunity to buy in steps. Note that the best way to buy a ladder is to not suffer a loss if the price changes. We have specified price targets for you. *Trade safely with us*
The ADP data was a surprise, and the market's discussion on the Fed's interest rate cut expectations instantly heated up. The news of the unexpected plunge in the ADP employment data caused the gold price to stage a thrilling V-shaped reversal on the electronic disk. At this moment, the gold market seems to have become a battlefield without gunpowder, and the 2890 integer mark has become a battleground for strategists. The current market is in a delicate state of balance. The spark of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations was rekindled by the ADP data, which provided a strategic ammunition depot for gold bulls. But the geopolitical clouds have not dissipated, the prospects for economic recovery are confusing, and the market is experiencing an unprecedented long-short struggle. So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2020-2930. The target is the 2915-2905 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to get a stable trading opportunity, you can leave me a message and join my bottom article information.
The combination of waves (W), (X), and (Y) suggests a Double Zigzag pattern, a common type of complex correction. Current Situation and Potential Outlook: * Wave (C) of (Y): The chart labels the final wave down as (C), which is consistent with an impulsive wave. * MACD and Williams %R: The MACD is below the zero line, indicating bearish momentum. The Williams %R is at the bottom (-100), suggesting the market is oversold. * Potential Reversal: The oversold condition on Williams %R, combined with the completion of a potential five-wave impulsive move in (Y), suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective bounce is likely. * Confirmation Needed: To confirm a reversal, we need to see a break above the corrective channel (if one exists) and a sustained move above the recent swing highs. Important Considerations: * Alternative Counts: Elliott Wave analysis is subjective, and there could be alternative valid interpretations. * Timeframe: This analysis is based on a 1-hour chart. Longer timeframes might provide a broader perspective. * Fundamental Analysis: Elliott Wave analysis should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis for a more comprehensive view. In summary, the chart suggests a completed complex correction (Double Zigzag) with a potential for a reversal or bounce.
Ask ten traders where to place a stop-loss, and you’ll get ten different answers. Some swear by fixed-point stops, others use percentage-based levels, and then there are those who simply ‘feel’ where the market might turn. But traders looking for a more structured approach often turn to the Average True Range (ATR) —a volatility-based indicator that adapts to market conditions. ATR stops can be a great tool for trade management, but they’re not perfect. Let’s break down when they work—and when they don’t. Why Use ATR for Stop-Loss Placement? ATR measures the average volatility of a market over a set period, usually 14 days. Instead of setting a static stop-loss, traders use a multiple of the ATR to position their exit level. The logic is simple: a more volatile market needs a wider stop, while a quiet market can afford a tighter one. For example, if the ATR on GBP/USD is 50 pips and you’re using a 2x ATR stop, your stop-loss would be 100 pips away from your entry. In contrast, if volatility drops and ATR shrinks to 30 pips, your stop would adjust to 60 pips. This approach helps traders avoid getting stopped out by normal market noise while still maintaining a structured risk framework. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart https://www.tradingview.com/x/72C6GkKg/ Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results When ATR Stops Work Well Adapting to Market Conditions Markets aren’t static. Volatility expands and contracts, and ATR-based stops naturally adjust to these shifts. This makes them particularly useful in trending conditions, where price swings can widen over time. Avoiding Arbitrary Stop Placement Instead of guessing where a stop ‘feels right,’ ATR provides an objective framework based on real price movement. This helps remove emotional bias from trade management. Reducing the Impact of Spikes and Noise Many traders place stops just below recent lows or above recent highs—prime hunting grounds for liquidity grabs. ATR stops, positioned at a calculated distance, can help avoid these shakeouts. When ATR Stops Can Fail You Low Volatility = Tight Stops = Premature Exits ATR stops rely on recent price action. In quiet markets, ATR contracts, leading to tighter stop placement. This can be problematic when volatility suddenly picks up, as small price swings can take traders out of otherwise good trades. Doesn’t Consider Market Structure ATR is purely mathematical—it doesn’t care about support, resistance, or key technical levels. Traders who use ATR stops in isolation may find themselves stopped out just before price respects a critical level. Choppy Markets Can Whipsaw ATR Stops In sideways, erratic markets, ATR stops can lead to unnecessary exits. If a market is ranging tightly and ATR is small, stops may be placed too close to entry, leading to multiple stop-outs in quick succession. One Rule That Can’t Be Broken: Never Widen Your Stop One of the biggest mistakes traders make—whether using ATR stops or any other method—is moving a stop-loss further away once it’s placed. This usually happens when a trade starts going against them, and instead of accepting the loss, they ‘give it more room to breathe.’ The problem? This completely undermines risk management. A stop-loss should be a pre-determined level that, if hit, signals the trade idea was wrong. Widening it turns a small, manageable loss into a much bigger one—sometimes even wiping out weeks of gains. If a trade isn’t working and your stop is at risk of being hit, accept it, take the loss, and move on. Adjusting stops should only ever mean tightening them to lock in profits—not loosening them to avoid taking a hit. How to Improve ATR-Based Stops ATR stops work best when combined with other trade management techniques: Use ATR in Conjunction with Market Structure Rather than blindly placing a stop at 2x ATR, check if your stop aligns with key support or resistance levels. If ATR suggests a stop that sits just below a major level, consider widening it slightly to avoid getting shaken out. Adjust for Volatility Cycles If ATR is unusually low due to a period of calm, consider using a longer lookback period (e.g., 21-day ATR) to get a broader view of market volatility. Pair ATR with a Trailing Stop Strategy ATR-based trailing stops allow traders to lock in profits as a trend develops while still giving the trade room to breathe. Instead of setting a fixed stop, you can trail a stop at 1.5x ATR below the most recent high in an uptrend. Final Thoughts ATR stops provide a structured, volatility-adjusted approach to risk management, helping traders avoid common pitfalls like placing stops too tight in high-volatility markets or too wide in quiet conditions. But like any tool, they’re not foolproof. Used in isolation, ATR can lead to premature exits or misplaced stops. The best approach? Use ATR as a guideline, not a hard rule. Combine it with market structure, trend analysis, and an understanding of volatility cycles to refine your stop placement. After all, trading is about staying in the game long enough to capitalise on the big moves—without getting chopped up in the noise. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. 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? Welcome to Univers Of Signals ! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other key cryptocurrency indicators. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Before we start the analysis, let's review the positions we could have opened yesterday. I mentioned that if the area of 83151 was breached, you could enter a short position. As you can see, that happened, and the candle stabilized below this area, and I opened a short position which then hit the stop loss. ⚡️ However, after this occurred, we observed a very strong support candle at this level, which caused this break to be a fakeout, and the price started to move upwards. If you recall, I mentioned that if the price could stabilize above the ceiling, a new upward leg could start, which is why I had placed a stop buy above this area. With the fakeout of the lower support, this stop buy was triggered, and the price began its upward movement. ? Currently, as you can see, the price has also passed the 0.382 Fibonacci area, breaking through it and moving upwards. An important resistance that we had previously charted was at 89318, which, as you see, the price is stabilizing above. If this happens, we could see the price potentially reaching back up to 94355. It's challenging to give a trigger for today because our main trigger, the 0.382 Fibonacci area, has unfortunately been activated in recent candles. ? We need to wait for the market to form a structure now. If the break of either the 89318 area or the 0.382 Fibonacci turns out to be a fake, you could consider finding a trigger in lower time frames to open a short position. The reason is that the price is making a lower high compared to 94355. But overall, be cautious about opening risky positions on Bitcoin today and tomorrow because Trump's speech on Friday could move the market significantly, and the market might be less volatile in these two days. ? BTC.D Analysis Looking at the Bitcoin dominance, it continues to range between 60.40 and 61.41. As you can see, it's really hard to predict the movements of the dominance as it's mostly ranging between these two levels. ? Currently, it's moving towards the upper limit with a green candle. A higher low has been made compared to the 60.40 area, which increases the chances of breaking out from the top of the box. ? If this occurs, the next resistances are at 62.19 and 62.66. If Bitcoin dominance rises, and the market drops, altcoins will likely fall significantly. If the market rises, Bitcoin might perform better than altcoins. https://www.tradingview.com/x/PtL9FXi3/ ? Total2 Analysis As observed, we saw an upward movement in Total2 yesterday after consolidating above the 1.07 area, starting a new upward leg. Currently, this index has reached the resistance at 1.13, and we need to wait and see if it can break this area. Currently, the trigger for a long position is precisely this break of the 1.13 area. ? If this area is breached, the price could move to further resistances at 1.18 or even 1.23. However, if Total 2 is rejected from this area, we might expect another drop, potentially reaching back down to 1.01. https://www.tradingview.com/x/CN2luK6v/ ? USDT.D Analysis As seen, yesterday after USDT.D pulled back to the 5.30 area and failed to consolidate above it, we witnessed a significant drop. This initial downward leg saw the price even rise above the 5.08 area, and this morning, after pulling back to this area, as you can see, dominance continues to trend downward with the next significant support at 4.82, which I believe could be reached. ? I don't have much else to say about this dominance because I don't have any specific triggers for today. https://www.tradingview.com/x/DFYKyKIG/ ? Overall, I don't have any specific triggers in the market today; we had one yesterday that was activated, but today I can't specify any particular triggers for you, and it's better to be an observer and wait for significant news from the US, especially the meeting that Trump is expected to hold on Friday, which could be very decisive for the market's future. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Feel like the current price is "agreement" on a lower price range (boxs). Our new range high is old range low. 2024 Vwap is next interest point. Jobs are a bigger risk than CPI. EOQ / OPEX / FOMC are possible bottoms.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/YL8IgBPO/ On the today's live stream, we discussed a selling opportunity on GBPJPY. The market looks bearish after a test of a key horizontal resistance. A formation of a bearish engulfing candle confirms the strength of the sellers. I expect a retracement to 190.15 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
OANDA:EURCHF has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers regain control. If the price confirms resistance within this zone through bearish price action (e.g., wicks or rejection candles), we could see a move toward 0.95000, which represents a logical target based on recent structure. However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance area, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Bitcoin is currently trading at $88,720 (+0.76%), showing signs of exhaustion after a breakout attempt. The price action suggests a fakeout in the reversal area, which could lead to further downside if support fails. Key Observations: Fakeout in the Reversal Area: BTC briefly broke above resistance but failed to sustain momentum, indicating potential weakness. Short-Term Support Zone: If the price holds the recent consolidation area, another attempt at $92,000 could follow. Bearish Scenario: A break below $87,000 could trigger a deeper correction toward $82,000-$80,000. Outlook: Traders should monitor price action near $89,000-$90,000 for a decisive move. If BTC reclaims this level with strong volume, further upside is possible. However, failure to hold current support could accelerate downside momentum.