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Kawumm'sche MORGENANALYSE zum Dienstag, den 25.03.2025

Da hing unser Dax am Montag ja direkt wieder Kopf über in seinen Seilen... Guten Morgen :) Marken mit Wichtigkeit und hoher Reaktionsfreundlichkeit für heute und die nächsten Tage sind meiner Meinung nach: 23980, 23600, 23450, 23250, 22930, 22800, 22600, 22420, 22100, 21800, 21670, 21510, 21420, 21360, 21230, 21060, 20880 Chartlage: positiv Tendenz: aufwärts Grundstimmung: positiv Am Freitag hatte unser Dax unten raus ordentlich die Handbremse gezogen was ihm nun Erholungschancen am Montag verschaffen sollte. Insbesondere wenn er die 23000 nach 10:00 Uhr überwinden und halten kann sind dann wieder 23060 / 23140 und auch 23250 / 23270 möglich gewesen. Sollte er uns aber wieder nur wegrutschen und sich schwach runterdrücken wie am Donnerstag sind unten nochmal 22720 und darunter auch 22670 / 22640 wie auch 22550 und 22450 / 22420 drin gewesen. So die Zusammenfassung von gestern. Unser Dax kam dann sogar ziemlich optimistisch rein um die Erholungschance aufzugreifen und erreichte sogar 23000 und 23140. Von dort drehte er sich dann aber so deutlich wieder ein, dass er weder neue Hochs nach 10 Uhr schaffte noch die 23000 verteidigen konnte. Und somit begrub sich sein Fenster für ein schönes Rausschlagen nach oben. Man muss allerdings sagen, dass das runter zu nun auch nicht das Gelbe vom Ei war. Nicht mal 22720 konnte er erreichen und eröffnet sich damit zum Dienstag nochmal die Chance es oben zu versuchen. Er muss dafür aber klar über 22900 handeln, dann sind nochmal 23000, 23140 und auch 23250 machbar. Sollte der sich aber hoch zu einfach nicht aufgebaut bekommen wären unter 22820 dann auch nur wieder 22760, 22670 / 22640 und auch 22550 fürs Erste erreichbar. Denn auch wenn er unten raus am Dienstag nicht viel geschafft hat, nach oben ging ja eben auch nicht viel. Die Scheine bleiben gleich. Für Aufwärtsstrecken der GJ938A KO 20000 sowie PG70KW KO 18600 und für Abwärtsstrecken der MG510S KO 23920. Fazit: Zum Wochenauftakt ist unser Dax seine Erholung etwas zu optimistisch angegangen und gab alle Gewinne letztendlich wieder ab. Da wir runter zu aber recht träge gelaufen sind, bekommt er am Dienstag nochmal eine Chance die Erholung erneut aufzugreifen, dafür muss er über der 22900 rausarbeiten und die 23000 wieder einnehmen. Gelingt das, sind anschließend wieder 23140 und dann auch 23250 erreichbar. Liefert der aber wieder keine konstante Leistung nach oben, sollten neue Tiefs eingeplant werden. 22760, 22670 / 22640 und 22550 wären dann die nächsten Stationen.

SPY REPEATING THIS JANUARY 2022 PATTERN NOW !! (March 24, 2025)

This bearish pattern is repeating on AMEX:SPY let's talk abt it

Magic of statistical models and mathematics

Hey everyone! ? I wanted to share some of the magic of statistical models and mathematics with you. ✨ Check out how price reacts to Fibonacci levels, those levels are determined by using the VAR statistical model. ? It's amazing how numbers and patterns can reveal hidden insights in the market! It's like watching a secret code unfold right before our eyes. ? The way price respects those Fibonacci levels is truly fascinating. It's a testament to the power of these models and the beauty of mathematics. ? Enjoy the show! ?

let's talk Bitcoin!

Alright folks, let's talk Bitcoin! ? So, today, our dear BTC tried to flex its muscles and stay above the mighty $88,000 mark. But alas, it seems like it's a bit too heavy for that altitude, and we're probably gonna see it settling around $87,000. ? Now, don't get me wrong, there's still a vibe of positivity in the air. We're on that slow and steady climb, not those crazy rollercoaster rides. Think of it as a gentle escalator ride to the moon! ? This gives some solid backup to our good old fundamental and technical analysis. You know, the classics! ? Personally, I'm chilling like a villain. ? Any little dip in the price? I see that as a golden chance to load up on more coins. It's like a flash sale for Bitcoin, and who doesn't love a good sale? ?? So, who's with me on this? Are we buying the dip or what? ? Let's hear your thoughts!

Calming of the market

The S&P 500 futures market daily chart reflects the anticipatory attitude of the market that the tariffs will not launch a trade for because of a more targeted Washington approach to tariffs. The expectation for tomorrow is an update but not another dramatic day higher,

Hourly Sell Divergence

There was supposed to be less tariffs, but by the close, it's more tariffs not less. The charts don't lie like politicians often do.

GOLD 4HOURS SHOWING FACED SELLING PRESSURE.

A resistance level is marked at the upper section, showing where the price has faced selling pressure. A support level is indicated at the lower section, highlighting where price has previously bounced back. 2. Chart Patterns and Price Movements The left side shows an uptrend channel with price making higher highs. A curved pattern in the middle suggests a rounding bottom formation, showing price recovery from a previous downtrend. The right side indicates a potential reversal as the price fails to break the resistance and starts to decline. 3. Entry and Target Zones An entry point is marked slightly below the resistance level, suggesting a potential short trade. A target zone is in the lower area (around 2,846.835), indicating where the price might drop if the bearish scenario plays out. 4. Indicators and Signals A blue circle marks the price rejection near resistance, signaling a possible sell opportunity. A red arrow points downward, indicating expected bearish momentum. 5. Current Price Levels The price is around 3,004.791, near the entry zone. The target level suggests a possible decline towards 2,846.835. Summary The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) may experience a bearish correction after failing to break the resistance level. The technical setup implies a short-selling opportunity, with a downside target towards support levels. Let me know if you need a more detailed breakdown!

BTC.DAILY.25.03.2025

The analysis for today focuses on short-term trading, particularly using the H1 and H4 timeframes to gauge BTC's price movements. Here's a breakdown of the situation: BTC's Movement: BTC has moved from the 83k level to 88k, following the recent price mappings. The H1 chart shows that BTC reached a peak of 87.9k. Short-term Expectation: BTC is expected to pull back towards the 85k region before potentially rising again. Short Scalping: With a price range of around 2k (from 85k to 87k), entry points need to be precise for a successful short scalping strategy, as exiting with profits could be difficult if not managed well. Long Opportunity: The preference is to wait for a potential long position around the 85k region. This is crucial since BTC is at an important price zone. However, if it doesn’t push up to 92k, the long opportunity might be limited. Strategy: It's better to wait for confirmation before entering any long positions. Alternatively, you could consider taking long positions on altcoins while BTC experiences a pullback. In summary, the safest option seems to be to wait for confirmation of a long entry at 85k or take advantage of altcoin opportunities. Best of luck with your trades!

#BTC/USD ANALYSIS. (BULLISH)

Bitcoin Price Action Analysis. The Next Big Move? Bitcoin is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum! However, a key decision point is approaching as the price nears a critical support zone (highlighted in blue). If BTC holds above this level, we could see a strong push towards the $91,500 resistance and potentially break into the $94,700 range. A well structured risk-to-reward setup is in play, with a potential bullish breakout targeting new highs. Will BTC sustain its momentum, or will we see a retracement before the next leg up? Stay sharp and trade wisely! We will execute our trades only after receiving bullish confirmation. Use proper stoploss and proper money management. This is just my analysis. Observe the behavior of price how it will react. #BTCUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.

SOLUSD Trade Setup

? SOLUSD Trade Setup ? ? Entry: 134.08 ? SL: 130.30 ? TP1: 152.91 ? TP2: 179.28 ? TP3: 209.13 The price is respecting the ascending trendline and forming a bullish structure. Watching the 4H FVG as a key demand zone for a potential long entry! ?? #SOL #Crypto #Trading #Forex #PriceAction