Hallo zusammen! Recap von Gestern: Hallo zusammen. Das .786 Retracement des grossen bärichen legs war der Showstopper, kurzen grossen Wick beim NY Open gebaut und ab ging es runter, schnell die WeeklyOpen Gap geschlossen und das war es dann auch. Technisch: Es gab mehrere Versuchen, wieder über das Weekly True Open (18925) zu kommen, das wurde nicht geschafft und aktuell sind wir auch unter dem heutigen True Open (18773). Schlechte News aus China (Boeing) und auch schlechte US SentimentDaten geben kein gutes Bild für Bullen - ich bin tendentiell bärisch. Wir haben jedoch eine Mini Wöchentliche DealingRange, also kann das auch gut ein Mini PingPong Spiel werden um beide Seiten vor Ostern zu kicken. Um 17:30 steht noch ein FED-Speaker an, der kann sich ja auch immer mal verschlucken. Alle Kurse sind vom CFD US100 MarketsCOM, welcher +- dem CFD meines Brokers entspricht. Analog NQ1!/NDX/QQQ müsst ihr eben etwas anpassen. Viele Grüsse, Khan
Wallet Connect a platfrom known to be a mediator or connector to crypto wallets like metamask, Trustwallet, Phantom, etc., got listed on Binance, Bybit, OKX, and so many major exchanges today. The asset saw an 80% uptick in price prior data from Binance feeds. while presently down to $0.32, the 15-minute price chart depicts a symmetrical triangle pattern and a breakout above the ceiling could cement the grounds for a $1 move. While sitting on a market cap of $58.86M, NASDAQ:WCT is well feasible to bridged the the $1 resistant zone. For now, all eyes are set on the breakout of the symmetrical triangle pattern. With the asset testing weak hands, NASDAQ:WCT could be on a cusp of a breakout. What is WalletConnect and the WalletConnect Token ( NASDAQ:WCT )? The WalletConnect Network is the onchain UX ecosystem powering 150 million connections for over 23 million users across 600 wallets, 40K app projects, and all chains. It is the open and decentralized network that enables users to connect to apps onchain, designed for both utility and ownership without compromises. The WalletConnect Token (WCT) is integral to the WalletConnect Network — fueling the onchain UX ecosystem by empowering its community of users, apps, and wallets to contribute to a better onchain future through shared incentives. Launching on Optimism’s OP Mainnet, the token will employ Ethereum’s security and OP Mainnet’s speed.
This current structure on Bitcoin is giving us a beautiful narrative rooted in macro timing: we've regained the NFP day levels, and now we’re trading right inside the highs and lows of the FOMC date—a zone that historically acts as a decision-making pivot for the market. ? Why These Levels Matter: NFP and FOMC sessions are not just about volatility—they often define institutional positioning and sentiment shifts. We’ve already regained NFP day's range, showing bullish resilience and strength. Now all eyes are on the FOMC range: if we manage to break and retest the high of the FOMC candle, it can ignite momentum toward the monthly target. ? How I’m Thinking About It: I’m not jumping the gun. I’ll wait for lower time frame confirmations, ideally some clean breaks with supportive delta and CDV structure. If we fail to hold these levels and fall back inside, I won’t insist on any long idea. I’ll flip short the moment downside momentum is confirmed. ? Final Thought: We don't randomly mark levels. These are deliberately chosen based on price behavior during major economic events—something most traders overlook. That’s what gives us the edge. If you're following me, you're not trading noise. You're learning to understand the story behind price action. Watch these levels closely. They may be the starting point of something much bigger. ?I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. ?My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. ?If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. ?I have a long list of my proven technique below: ? ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry ? DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move ? RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month ? ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace ? BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge ? BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone ? WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential ? UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade ? XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones ? LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River ? BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones ? POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum ? PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision ? BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ? SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity ? 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked ? ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer ? IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One ? STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas ? TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence ? ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results ? IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB ? USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total ? FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction ? QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction ? BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely ? XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! ? BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
After President Trump instituted broad new tariffs on 2nd April 2025, corn futures initially wavered but then rallied sharply. While this may seem counterintuitive given tariffs' disruptive impact on trade, near-term support for corn comes from front-loaded U.S. exports, a weaker dollar, and lower-than-expected domestic supply. However, prices are likely to face downward pressure as the U.S. harvest season approaches. This paper examines the short-term bullish factors, outlines the potential risks ahead, and presents a hypothetical trade setup involving a calendar spread on CME Micro Corn futures. https://www.tradingview.com/x/TKTVdsO2/ CME Corn futures gapped lower on 3rd April but quickly recovered, jumping 4.5% over the next three trading days to six-week highs by 9th April. This move aligns with the typical spring seasonal trend, as corn often firms in late spring during planting & strong demand season. Surging Export Commitments Amid Tariffs Export commitments have surged post-tariff announcement. USDA reports that U.S. exporters had already booked about 85% of the 2024/25 season target by early April, according to Reuters , well above the 5‐year average. In the week ending 3rd April, net U.S. corn sales hit ~40.2 million bushels, reflecting heavy front-loading. Large private sales continue: for example, in early April exporters announced a 9.4-million-bushel sale of 2024/25 corn to Spain. These front-loaded sales (especially to Mexico & Europe) suggest buyers are rushing to secure supply before possible trade disruptions. Overall, extraordinarily strong export pace and large “flash” sales are underpinning the market. Supply is Weaker than Initially Thought USDA’s April WASDE cut U.S. 2024/25 ending stocks to just 1.465 billion bushels – a 75 million bushels reduction – implying a stocks/use ratio around 9.6%. For context, that ratio is near multi-decade lows for corn. The USDA simultaneously raised exports to 2.55 billion bushels, a full 100 million bushels above the previous estimate. On the supply side, USDA’s Prospective Plantings (March 2025) projected 95.3 million corn acres for 2025, roughly 5% higher than 2024, above expectations (highlighted by Mint Finance in a previous paper ). This suggests that while near-term stocks remain stressed the situation is likely to improve drastically following the harvest. Weaker Dollar Supports Increased Corn Exports A key bullish factor for U.S. corn exports is the recent weakness of the U.S. dollar. After the tariff announcement, the trade-weighted dollar tumbled – hitting fresh lows (e.g. a 10-year low versus the Swiss franc). Through April 10, the dollar was down ~2–3% on the week. A weaker dollar makes U.S. corn cheaper for overseas buyers, supporting export competitiveness. With dollar at multi-year lows, U.S. corn is more attractive globally, partly offsetting any Chinese retaliatory tariffs. https://www.tradingview.com/x/l8j0ZJno/ COT and Options Data Managed-money funds have dramatically pared back their long corn bets since the beginning of March. CFTC COT data show net long positions peaking around 364,000 contracts in early February, then plunging to ~54,000 by the 8th April report. However, the pace of decline has slowed dramatically over the past few weeks and seems to be signalling an end of the cutback by asset managers. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Yd2a30iO/ Interestingly, despite the tariff introduction (2/April) and the WASDE release (10/April), implied volatility (IV) moderated. IV has since normalized from the spike observed in March. During this period, skew also declined, reaching a negative value on 8th April - indicating that put options briefly became more expensive than calls. Although this trend has since reversed, skew remains near its lowest levels in 2025, suggesting sustained interest in put options among market participants. https://www.tradingview.com/x/s5QMp1It/ Source: CME CVOL OI shift over the past week also signals a cautious tone despite the rally. Near term options have seen an increase in put OI, suggesting participants remain cautious despite the rally. https://www.tradingview.com/x/qFgodiA4/ Source: CME QuikStrike Hypothetical Trade Setup While bullish factors have driven a sharp rally in corn prices over the past two weeks, there are dark clouds on the horizon. Tariffs risk disrupting trade and as most importers have already loaded up on US corn, they could slow the pace of future purchases. https://www.tradingview.com/x/khHnEUq6/ Additionally, a downbeat seasonal trend along with an expected bumper harvest signal that prices could reverse sharply from here. On the technical front, momentum remains solidly bullish but approaching a potential overbought level amid a slowing bullish trend. https://www.tradingview.com/x/3AIquD7k/ Corn prices remain pressured from a bumper harvest expected in September. Along with expected trade disruptions and a slowdown in the pace of US exports, prices are likely to decline during the summer. Regardless, prices remain bullish in the near term from a weakening dollar and near-term front loading. To express views on these converging trends, investors can deploy a calendar spread on CME Micro Corn futures consisting of a long position on the near-term May contract (MZCK2025) and a short position on the September contract (MZCU2025). A hypothetical trade setup providing a reward to risk ratio of 1.8x is mentioned below: https://www.tradingview.com/x/qKsKDSbr/ A calendar spread on CME Micro Corn Futures is highly capital efficient with the above trade requiring maintenance margin of just USD 23 as of 15/April. The position remains protected from near-term price increase but benefits from the eventual price decline in September during harvest season. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and Inflation This is a 3 year view (2022 - 2025 to date), 1 week comparison chart of Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and US cumulative rate of inflation. The most interesting part of this analysis to me is that the S&P 500 bounced off the cumulative rate of inflation slope. I did not know that until after I set up the comparison. Gold = +80% BTCUSD = +50% S&P 500 = +19% US cumulative rate of inflation: 2022 = +6.5% 2023 = +3.4% 2024 = +2.9% 3 yr = +10.8% 2025 = +2.4% forecast https://www.tradingview.com/x/UslEWK6u/
https://www.tradingview.com/x/0HVo64WQ/ EUR/GBP SIGNAL Trade Direction: long Entry Level: 0.856 Target Level: 0.869 Stop Loss: 0.847 RISK PROFILE Risk level: medium Suggested risk: 1% Timeframe: 3h Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
4 15 25 I wanted to do this video before the market moved any higher today. I don't know if it's a paradox or not but it looks to me like gold is going to go higher today after it's been coiling since last week and I explained the Dynamics of a coil and the expansion of a coil and hopefully I said it clearly enough that you at least understand my point of view... and then whether it works or not it's a matter of what the market does and I can't change the market. so gold is near an all-time high and it looks like the buyers are coming in to take it higher but as it stands it's hard to know what's going on because it's early in the morning and nothing's really happening ... and my explanation would be that as bullish as the pattern is for gold to go higher it's still contracted. on the other hand silver is not contracted at all it is so expanded that there's a possibility that if silver starts going higher it can have very impressive moves because it's an expanded Market... and they move a lot better with a lot more efficiency than a contracted Market. and the Paradox is that the goal looks like it's going higher to a new high and the silver might go a lot higher because it's expanded. and I'm going to tell you right now if you read this none of it may happen ... but I would be very surprised if gold doesn't go higher... it only takes a few ticks. what really is going to be important to me... his if the silver actually trades the ABC pattern that I put on that chart because that pattern creates a very large Target area that can have tremendous effects on the silver market because it would be driven much closer to its all-time high which is $50.... so if silver goes several points higher there's a good chance it can attract more buyers to drive silver closer to its all time high..... in effect this changes the silver market which is lagging compared to the gold market.
During the decline on Monday, the H4 cycle did not break the Bollinger middle rail support point. We will wait for the mid-term adjustment of gold to be completed. There will be another wave of rise with the changes in the H4 mid-term. The upper side will first look at the high points of 3235-3245. Yesterday, it started to rise at 3193-3195. If it continues to rise, it will look at 3235-3245. Don't look too much at the rising space in the future. After completing this wave of rise, there may be adjustments for the small cycle. Today's long position is likely to be around 3200-3205. If it falls back to this point, you can continue to go long. The European and American sessions will see 3235-3245 in turn. Gold operation strategy: short near 3235 above, stop loss 3245, target near 3200; long at 3200-3203 below, stop loss 3193, target 3220-3230;
I'm currently watching EURJPY for a potential long setup. Price is showing signs of bullish structure, and there’s a clean upside target sitting at 164.20, where equal highs rest on the weekly chart. That level also ends in a .20—an institutional number often used for stop placement—which adds confluence that price may be drawn toward it. Why I'm Bullish The Euro is showing strength across the board this week, supporting directional alignment. Structure is starting to build bullish pressure, especially as price grinds upward toward liquidity. We have weekly equal highs at 164.20, which is a clear magnet. (zoom out) This setup is pretty straightforward: I’m anticipating that price wants to make a move toward those untouched highs. No extra complexity needed. Recent Price Action Looking at structure from April 9th: Price sold off, took out a daily low, and then reversed sharply—classic manipulation and reclaim. The idea is that smart money will need to close those sell orders out if price returns to that zone. The April 9th move down into 160 created what I believe is an institutional footprint. This move took out liquidity, reversed hard, and left behind a zone I expect to be defended. On Sunday’s weekly open, price quickly ran last week’s high, then reversed hard during the Tokyo session—a likely short-term trap. This tells me we might see some short-term bearish pressure before a larger move up, which is fine since I want price to return to the institutional buy zone around 160.00–160.30. ? Key Levels Buy Zone: 160.00–160.30 This is where volume flooded in to drive the initial bullish manipulation move. If price returns, I expect heavy buying interest to step in. Trap Confirmation: 162.80 During London open today, price ran a low, then reclaimed a high, and retested 162.80—another institutional level (ends in .80). That area acted as a trap and likely marked the start of the move down. We should see price stay under this move for this idea to work. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ODNsfrYJ/ Target: 164.20 That’s the weekly equal high. Liquidity sits above there. If we return to the buy zone and bulls step in, I’ll be looking to ride the move up into that level. Summary I’m looking to long EURJPY on a retracement into 160.00–160.30, ideally after a stop hunt or false breakdown into that zone. The goal is to ride the volume push up toward the weekly target of 164.20, where stops likely sit from early sellers who might take a trendline break trade. If price respects the London trap at 162.80 and moves lower, I’ll be watching closely for reaction and confirmation in the buy zone. Let me know your thoughts below or if you're watching the same levels.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/tNzvxL5N/ Hello, Friends! USD/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.418 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅