Just now hopped into pyth short. Targeting $0.1566 Stop: $0.1619 or higher daily is correcting. Lower tf trending down
Current Price (bid/ask) & Spread** | **191.26 / 191.29 Timestamp (EST)** | 2025-04-27 00:42 | Risk-Level Tag | **Medium** (post-week-end gaps possible) | Bias Confirmation Checklist** | **HTF trend ✅ • Confluence ✅ • Fundamentals ⚠️** | Trade-Confidence | **Technical Edge High / Event Risk Low ⇒ Overall High** | --- ## 1️⃣ Technical Outlook * **Weekly & Daily:** clear series of higher highs/lows since March; price holding above 20-DMA (189.90) * **H4:** bullish channel; last impulsive leg 190.00 → 191.75, minor pullback now testing 190.80 structure support. * **Structure & Liquidity:** clean OB @ 190.00-190.20; equal-high liquidity pool 192.50-192.70 waiting above. * **Volume Confirmation:** Friday NY close printed +32 % vs. 20-day H4 average, validating breakout. 3️⃣ Indicators Snapshot * **RSI (14) H4:** **60.3** — healthy momentum, not overbought * **MACD D1:** histogram expanding ↑, signal above zero (bullish) * **ATR (14) H1:** **≈ 30 pips** * **Tick/Vol:** last breakout candle = +32 % vs. average --- ## 4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar | **Upcoming 48 h Events** | *None* for GBP or JPY until BOJ Core CPI (Tue 19:00 EST) – outside 24 h window | **COT Snapshot** | Spec longs in JPY futures remain net-short (-54 k contracts) – weak yen backdrop ( | **Retail Sentiment** | IG sentiment: ~63 % shorts → contrarian bullish bias (page cached) | | **Risk Mood** | Nikkei 225 up 0.8 % last session; global equity tone supportive of risk-on crosses | **Dollar Index (DXY)** | Flat at 99.58; neutral spill-over ( | **Currency Strength** | OANDA meter: GBP strong +/ JPY weak - (top-right quadrant) ( --- ## 5️⃣ Market Drivers & News Black-Out Zones * **Red-Flag Windows:** BOJ Core CPI Tue 19:00 EST; Fed speakers Wed AM — no new entries inside 6 h. * **Intervention Risk:** None flagged (MoF silent; ¥150 line well above) ( --- ## 6️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2) * **Entry Trigger:** M15 bullish engulf from 190.00-190.20 **with > 20 % vol spike**. * **Rejection Filters:** avoid round-number chop at 191.00 if Asia stalls; skip if RSI H1 > 75. ## 8️⃣ Execution Checklist - ☑ HTF trend aligned (W1/D1 up) - ☑ Trigger vol > 20 % - ☑ Outside 6 h red-flag window - ☑ Confidence = **High** - ☑ Price not inside 50 -pip no-trade zone --- ## 9️⃣ Smart Flow & Volatility Map ```mermaid flowchart LR Bias(Long) --> Trigger(M15 engulf + vol) Trigger --> Entry Entry --> SL & TP SL & TP --> Manage(Trail after TP1) Manage --> Exit ``` *Avg pip ranges:* Asia 45 | London 110 | NY 85 — best momentum **03-06 EST**. --- ## ? Scenario Planner | Path | Description | RR | |---|---|---| | **A – Clean Move** | London sweep 190 → drive to 192.50 | **1 : 3** | | **B – Deep Pullback** | Fake-break 189.80 then bounce | 1 : 2 | | **C – Failure** | H4 close < 189.50 ⇒ flip bias short | -1 R | --- ## ✅ Final Recommendation **Directional Bias:** **Long** GBP / JPY **Go / No-Go:** **YES** — Score 9 / 10 (meets BEES, fundamentals supportive; event risk low). **Mindset Reminder:** “Plan the trade, trade the plan — if volume & trigger don’t align, walk away.” ---
Gold is poised for super sprint upwards to the 3580-3600. Should we break through, then next stop will be 3730-3760. All the best.
⚡ Important Clarification Before We Begin In professional trading, real hedging involves sophisticated strategies using derivatives like options, futures, or other financial instruments. Banks, funds, and major institutions hedge to manage portfolio risk, based on calculated models and complex scenarios. This article is not about that. We are talking about the kind of "hedging" retail traders do — opening an opposite position at the broker to "protect" a losing trade. It may feel smart in the moment, but psychologically, it can be a hidden trap that damages your trading discipline. Let’s dive into why emotional hedging rarely works for independent traders. ________________________________________ In trading, there’s a moment of panic that every trader has faced: "My short position is in the red… maybe I’ll just open a long to balance it out." It feels logical. You’re hedging. Protecting yourself. But in reality, you might be stepping into one of the most deceptive psychological traps in trading. Let’s unpack why emotional hedging is rarely a good idea—and how it quietly sabotages your progress. ________________________________________ ? 1. Emotional Relief ≠ Strategic Thinking Hedging often arises not from a solid strategy, but from emotional discomfort. You don’t hedge because you’ve analyzed the market. You hedge because you can’t stand the pain of a losing position. This is not trading. This is emotional anesthesia. You’re trying to feel better—not trade better. ________________________________________ ? 2. The Illusion of Control Opening a hedge feels like taking back control. In reality, you’re multiplying complexity without clarity. You now have: • Two opposing positions • No clear directional bias • An unclear exit strategy You’ve replaced one problem (a loss) with two: mental conflict and strategic confusion. ________________________________________ ? 3. Emotional Volatility Rises Sharply With two positions open in opposite directions: • You root for both sides at once. • You feel relief when one wins, and stress when the other loses. • Your mind becomes a battleground, not a trading desk. This emotional volatility leads to irrational decisions, fatigue, and trading paralysis. ________________________________________ ? 4. You Delay the Inevitable When you hedge a losing position, you don’t fix the mistake. You prolong it. Eventually, you’ll have to: • Close one side • Add to one side • Or exit both at the wrong moment Hedging here is just postponed decision-making—and it gets harder the longer you wait. ________________________________________ ? 5. You Build a Dangerous Habit Hedging out of fear creates a reflex: "Every time I’m losing, I’ll hedge." You’re not learning to cut losses or reassess your strategy. You’re learning to panic-protect. And over time, you start to rely on hedging as a crutch—rather than developing real confidence and discipline. ________________________________________ ✅ The Healthier Alternative What should you do instead? • Cut the loss. • Review the trade. • Wait for a fresh setup that aligns with your plan. Accepting a losing trade is hard. But it’s a sign of maturity, not weakness. Hedging may feel clever in the moment, but long-term consistency comes from clarity, not complication. ________________________________________ ? Final Thought Emotional hedging isn’t about strategy. It’s about fear. The best traders don’t hedge to escape a loss. They manage risk before the trade starts —and have the courage to close what’s not working. Don’t fall into the illusion of safety. Master the art of decisive action. That’s where real edge lives. ?
Attention: This is a risky and highly volatile meme coin. The correction of SATS started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. This correction appears to be an expanding triangle, as wave C is longer than wave A, and wave E is longer than wave C. Currently, a support zone has formed below the price. As long as this area holds, the price can move toward the flip zone or near it. Since the flip zone is fresh and untouched, the price may get rejected from this level. The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Respecting the EMA 50 wall here and keeping a close eye on key support levels as the setup continues to play out. Important observation: Price action has consistently failed at the EMA 50 resistance level -- a pattern that's played out multiple times now, including the most recent rejection. In the current skittish environment, no real reason to expect this time to be any different. I’ve also highlighted two key support levels: S-1 at $1.18 S-2 at the 52-week low of $0.88 I've traded in and out of this name a few times with solid profits simply by respecting the technicals and price action. Just sharing the setup, FWIW. Staying disciplined in this market matters. Stay tuned. ?
Einen der neuesten Guy Ritchie-Filme haben nur die Wenigsten auf dem Schirm, aber er lohnt sich allein schon wegen des Casts. Heute kommt er zum ersten Mal im TV.
After correction stock trading at very important level> Respecting as support on at horizontal and trendline.Risk Reward also looking favorable .Add this to your watchlist and see how it perform in coming days.
Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 94/61.80% Chart time frame: D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Weekly Bias https://www.tradingview.com/x/rQRjaIue Looking at how the week performed after reqching an all time high at around 3500 the price fell to close at around 3316. And that is lower that 3356 closing lower to prior week’s high. This tells me that next weeks possible target will be last week’s low (3259) or old weekly lows (3193) which happens to be a weekly fair value gap (W FVG) https://www.tradingview.com/x/LnSF0VcD