BTCUSD is in downtrend currentlly consolidating. Like all other asset classes, its price is being affected by negative market sentiments prevailing with Tariff war.
Präsident Trump rudert bei den Zöllen zurück und läßt diese für 90 Tage aussetzen. Vorerst. Die Nasdaq zeigt daraufhin einen bullischen Impuls und endet zum Wochenschluss bei 18690 Punkten. Die Intermarketindikatoren drehen schon in der Unterbewertung. Das ist ein positives Zeichen. Bei der Saisonalität geht es statistisch auch aufwärts, nur wird das ganze durch unvorhersagbare Zölle des US-Präsidenten ad absurdum geführt. Es tut sich viel an der Nasdaq und auch an der Börse insgesamt. Sollte unsere neutrale Handelsmarke bei 20500 Punkten erklommen werden, dann würde sich die Lage deutlich aufklaren, insbesondere mit den drehenden Intermarketindikatoren. Aber die Kuh ist noch nicht vom Eis: sollte der bullsiche Impuls wieder zurückfallen, dann ist äußerste Vorsicht geboten. Wir wünschen Ihnen viel Erfolg Ihr Team der TradingBrothers
Der DAX konnte sich mit dem Aussetzen der US-Zölle für 90 Tage etwas erholen und liegt jetzt bei 20697 Punkten. Damit schwankt er um die 200-Tagelinie und handelt diese aus. Unsere 3 Intermarketindikatoren sind auch in den letzten Tagen weiter stark abgekühlt und sind in den unterbewerteten Bereich eingetaucht. Sie fallen auch immernoch, jedoch weniger stark. Der April ist saisonal gesehen ein sehr starker Monat aber auch die folgenden 2 Monate sind statistisch positiv. Das trifft sich gut mit dem Aussetzen der US-Zölle für 90 Tage. Der DAX ist in den letzten Wochen stark abverkauft worden und zumindest eine technische Gegenreaktion wird wahrscheinlicher, besonders mit Blick auf die schon unterbewerteten Intermarketindikatoren. Diese Gegenreaktion kann bis an das Ausgangsniveau heranreichen, also bis 22250 Punkte. Sollte hingegen das Unterstützungsniveau an der 200-Tagelinie bzw. 19900 Punkte fallen, dann wäre das ein sehr schlechtes Zeichen begleitet von starken Verkäufen. Wir wünschen Ihnen viel Erfolg Ihr Team der TradingBrothers
Apple isn’t giving up on its mixed reality headset the Vision Pro, according to Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman. The company has been debating the best direction forward for the product after disappointing sales, Gurman says, but is now moving forward with two different models. One would address probably the two biggest complaints about the initial product […]
Mit den steigenden Temperaturen steigt auch der Wunsch nach weniger Kilos auf Hüfte, an Bauch oder Po. Doch viele klassische Diäten setzen auf radikalen Verzicht – dem kurzfristigen Erfolg folgt gerade bei Frauen meist ein umso schwereres Erwachen. Wie geht Abnehmen besser?
Seit über fünf Jahren rase ich nun schon in Mario Kart 8 Deluxe auf meiner Switch über die Rennstrecken. Entsprechend groß ist meine Vorfreude auf Mario Kart World. Neue Spielmechaniken, Modi, Strecken, Karts und Fahrer – ich bin mir jetzt schon sicher: Das wird ein Fest! Die wohl größte Neuerung lässt mich jedoch vollkommen kalt: die vermaledeite Open World.Ein Kommentar von Robert Kohlick
? Technical Analysis (Short-Term): The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend. CentralCharts The index is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential market weakness and possibly the start of a downtrend. Business Insider Key resistance levels are around $20,275–$20,382; a breakout above this range could signal a bullish reversal. TradingView Support is observed near $18,872; a break below this level may lead to further declines. TradingView ? Fundamental Analysis: The Nasdaq 100 concluded Q1 2025 with a loss of 8.6%, reflecting a challenging start to the year. Seeking Alpha Upcoming Q1 earnings reports from major tech companies, including Netflix and TSMC, are anticipated to influence market direction. FX Leaders Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve's target and signs of a weakening job market are contributing to economic uncertainty. Business Insider ? Sentiment Analysis: Investor sentiment is currently bearish, with the Nasdaq 100 having fallen over 8% in March, marking the worst monthly performance since late 2022. MarketWatch Concerns over trade tensions, inflation, and potential stagflation are weighing on market confidence. Business Insider Despite the downturn, April's historical performance as a strong month for U.S. stocks may offer buying opportunities amidst volatility.
This one here for Polkadot in the coming months would be an easy wave. A bullish wave that reaches 580% profits from the current level, why is that? The Cryptocurrency market is set to enter uncharted territory. We still don't know how things will play out. Will the market really produce the classic 6-12 months bull market after such a strong bearish cycle? Or, will the market enter a new period where Cryptocurrency becomes a new monetary standard, the default global medium of exchange? Can a Cryptocurrency project grow for 2 years, 3 years or 10 years straight? Are there any laws in finance or nature that prohibits the market from growing really strong? Is there anything in this world that says, "Crypto mustn't grow!"? The truth is that such force existed and it was pretty obvious. When this force was live and active, Cryptocurrency was having a hard time just trying to survive. While surviving, Cryptocurrency still managed to grow and did so strongly. Right now things are different, we have the support of the biggest power in the world. Instead of surviving, we are entering a thrive phase. We are going up and it will huge, wild; who is to say that the bull market cannot extend? Anything goes. Everything is possible, that's why 580% is an easy target for this pair. Since the next All-Time High will go off this chart, such an easy target should happen within months, say within 90 to 120 days. That's it. The market will grow. Accept it and enjoy bottom prices. The best time to buy is when prices are low. Prices are low now. The time to buy is now. You will be happy with the results. Namaste.
Sentiment: Neutral. EV and AI optimism persists, but tariff risks and high valuation concern traders. Chatter split—bulls eye robotaxi, bears see pullback. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $250, with $240 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $245-$250 buys to $260 if $245 holds. Bearish below $245 risks $240. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $TSLA. Earnings: Q1 due late April; no update today. Chatter: Debates tariff impact vs. AI/EV growth. Mergers and Acquisitions: None; focus on internal projects. Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:TSLA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $252.31, 1M: +1%, 1Y: +38%. Range $240-$270, testing $250 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $260 (15,000, 60% ask), $270 (12,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $240 (10,000, 70% bid), $245 (8,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $245. Open Interest: Calls: $260 (40,000, +7,000), $270 (30,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $240 (25,000, flat), $245 (28,000, +4,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $260 (40%), $270 (42%, up 3%). $270 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $240 (35%, down 2%), $245 (36%). Falling $240 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $240-$270, 20% $250, $260 target. MSS at $245. 10-Minute: OTE ($249-$251, $250) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $245-$250 to $260. Options show $260 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $240-$270 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $240 possible with tariffs. $240 put volume grows.
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Lower low major trend reversal or continuing of the bear trend? This is the question we will get an answer to most likely when futures open in a couple of hours. My assumption is that we will see a mind boggling rally for the MAG7 while small caps will be crashed like there is no tomorrow. Orange face man want the companies come crawling and bending the knee begging for an exemption and so far for some it worked. Market has respected the bear trend line and daily 20ema last week but I doubt those will hold next week. If they do, it would be a very strong sign by the bears that they remain in full control and we will most likely retest the lows over the next days/weeks. current market cycle: bear trend but above 20046 it ends and we will be in a giant trading range key levels: 16000 - 20100 bull case: Bulls want this trend to end and crush the hopes for a third leg down. They have received another gift in form of more news helping them, like the bears did when this whole thing started. It’s tough to trade when 1 tweet can move the markets 5-15%. I normally lean towards volatility but this is insanity. Above 20050 I honestly don’t see a reason why market can not do a measured move up to 22000. Bears have to cover shorts latest at 19500 and the move up could become that violent. Invalidation is below 18000. bear case: Bears are fine if we continue with the lower highs and stay inside the bear channel but the probability after the big tariff exemption is low. I expect remaining bears to rush for the exits on futures open and we could see a complete capitulation higher. If they somehow manage to stay below 19500, that would be a very strong sign and we will likely continue the bear trend and the chance for a third leg down would be there. Invalidation is above 19500 (very low chance that 20000 is the big resistance if we make higher highs above 19500). short term: Above 19500 I will be max bullish for a meltup to 21000 or 22000. This will most likely be a pure momentum trade and we could see a 5-10% move down this week as well but for now, my assumption is max bullish if futures open strong. Bears would have to stay below 19400 and make lower lows below 18000 for me to turn bear again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. News have given bulls everything they dreamed of and if we make higher highs again, bear trend is over and my base case would be a trading range 16000 - 23000 for months if not years. current swing trade: Swing long above 19400 for 20000 and likely 21000+ chart update: Nothing