ARKG looking to breakout of year-long accumulation period. My thinking below. Tightly coiled starting April of '24 50EMA crossed on weekly Volume rising Biotech has been beaten down over last year Sentiment positive with US based companies Looking at daily candles for confirmation on the break Looking at volume shelf around $31.76 as first target, but has good room to run.
Pinning after abnormal activity. ?Purpose: 8.956 I'll let you know when I record it manually. ‼️Risk per trade: 1% of the allocated funds for spot trading. Thank you!
Price has rejected at a major resistance zone creating a triple top resistance The market has also broken out of our ascending trendline signaling chances of a bear run occurring in the near future Price can pullback to retest our broken trendline before falling further down
Over the next 12-24 months, USD/JPY is likely to trend higher due to: 1. Monetary Policy Divergence: The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a relatively hawkish stance compared to the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which will likely keep its ultra-loose monetary policy intact. 2. Interest Rate Differentials: Higher U.S. Treasury yields compared to Japanese government bond (JGB) yields make the USD more attractive for carry trades. 3. Economic Growth: The U.S. economy is expected to outperform Japan’s, driven by strong consumer spending, innovation, and a resilient labor market, while Japan faces structural challenges like aging demographics and weak domestic demand. 4. Global Risk Sentiment: If global uncertainty eases, the JPY may weaken as safe-haven flows diminish, further supporting USD/JPY. Key Drivers 1. Fed Policy: Even if the Fed pauses or cuts rates in 2025, U.S. rates will remain higher than Japan’s, supporting the USD. 2. BoJ Policy: The BoJ’s commitment to yield curve control (YCC) and negative rates limits JPY strength. Only recently, have they moved to positive rates, but nothing significant to cause massive interest in the Yen. Any policy tweaks are likely to be gradual and minimal. 3. Growth Differential: The U.S. economy’s resilience contrasts with Japan’s sluggish growth, favoring the USD. 4. Technical Trends: USD/JPY has been in a long-term uptrend since 2012, with key support levels (e.g., 140.00, 135.00) providing attractive entry points. Risk 1. BoJ Policy Shift: An unexpected tightening by the BoJ (e.g., exiting YCC or raising rates) could strengthen the JPY. 2. Global Recession: A severe downturn could trigger safe-haven flows into the JPY, weakening USD/JPY. 3. Fed Rate Cuts: Aggressive Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD relative to the JPY. --- Finally!! The MEAT!!! **Trade Execution** 1. Entry Point: - Enter on dips toward key support levels (e.g., 140.00 or 135.00) or on a breakout above resistance (e.g., 152.00). 2. Position Sizing: - Allocate 5-10% of your portfolio to manage risk. 3. **Stop-Loss**: - Place a stop-loss below key support levels (e.g., 134.00) to limit downside. 4. **Take-Profit**: - Target 160.00-165.00 over the long term, based on historical ranges and USD strength potential. 5. **Hedging**: - Consider hedging against JPY strength using JPY-denominated assets or options strategies. --- **Monitoring the Trade** - Track U.S. and Japanese economic data (e.g., inflation, GDP, employment). - Monitor central bank communications from the Fed and BoJ. - Watch for changes in global risk sentiment and geopolitical developments. --- This long-term play on USD/JPY is grounded in fundamental and technical analysis but requires flexibility to adapt to changing conditions. By focusing on monetary policy divergence, growth differentials, and risk sentiment, this trade offers a robust framework for capitalizing on USD strength against the JPY. Not Financial Advice. I strong advocate for doing your own research. If you've any comments, questions, or concerns The Konsigliere is always ready to listen and strategize with like-minded individuals. Let's Get This Money.
So, the Power Law Bitcoin Rainbow Wave is calling the top in May. What say you?
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Ever seen a more beautiful uptrend than this 15 min gem? ?? And yes I alerted to buy it And yes still holding and riding it for as long as uptrend continues to support ? Simply doesn't get any better than being in fat profit already and continuing to stay PAYtience for as long as it wants to give more into uptrend NYSE:BBAI
The strength is fantastic due to strong fundamentals and user growth. The recent dip was not as bad as other coins, once we flip MO, then this should not take much time to reach new ATH. Easy trade on spot as well. On a higher timeframe fractal, you can see price forming a U shape. Bullish.
BTCUSD chart Anylisis 15mint idea 30mint ago Buy zone pick 60pips running
To close the day, I am aiming the 161.8% of the Fibo Extension as the previous TP got hit at the 100% level.