In the 4-hour chart, GBPUSD stabilized and rebounded, and the short-term market is expected to continue to rise. At present, we can pay attention to the resistance near 1.2700 above, which is a potential short position for the bearish bat pattern, and this position is in the previous common area.
Guys Keep holding BTC next buy zone 92000, don't trap please keep holding for perfect Buy entry
SXPUSDT (SolarNetwork) Daily timeframe range. PA got long way to go. this is a high risk and reward alt you can see that on binance. for now its trying to reach 0.4694. not much of hold up here if retail interest keeps up. recent support at 0.2941.
Outlook for crude oil prices in 2025 is a complex interplay of various factors. China’s fiscal & monetary policies, Trump’s energy agenda, OPEC+ strategies, and geopolitical developments will collectively sway oil prices. For now, the outlook for 2025 remains bearish. Analysts expect persistent oversupply, driven by rising non-OPEC+ production. Demand growth will remain tepid. T RUMP’S PRO-OIL STANCE TO DRIVE PRICES LOWER Trump’s pro-oil stance is expected to pressure oil prices by increasing US energy production in an already oversupplied market. In his victory speech, Trump vowed to halve energy costs by maximizing domestic US production, calling its reserves “liquid gold.” His plans include expanding drilling on federal lands, easing lease access, and fast-tracking energy infrastructure. In 2023, federal lands accounted for 26% of US oil output. Exploration & production slowed under the Biden administration due to reduced lease sales, higher royalties, and bond requirements. https://www.tradingview.com/x/JpfHGZHQ/ Source: Visual Capitalist & U.S. Department of the Interior – Bureau of Land Management During Trump’s first term, federal land lease issuances averaged 1.62 million acres annually compared to 138k acres under Biden, marking a whopping 91% drop. Trump’s first term saw US oil output rise by a record 3 million bpd, the largest increase under any administration. A second Trump term and a “Drill, Baby, Drill” mantra is expected to boost oil production. US producers require an average oil price of USD 64 a barrel for profitable drilling as per the Dallas Fed Energy Survey . However, reduced regulation, streamlined approvals, tax incentives, & potential reversals of Biden-era policies could lower production costs & encourage more drilling. TRUMP’S TRADE & GEOPOLITICAL POLICIES TO WEIGH DOWN ON OIL PRICES Escalating trade friction risks remain high, as Trump’s tariffs warnings on imports from Mexico, Canada, & China have fuelled uncertainty in global trade. Retaliatory measures, like those seen during 2018, could resurface. Rising supply and shrinking demand will press prices lower. For example, Chinese buyers shunned US crude due to tariff risks, widening the WTI-Brent discount from USD 3/b to over USD 11/b. However, with China’s share of US crude exports dropping from 25% in early 2018 to 7% in June 2024, spread divergence will be less pronounced. https://www.tradingview.com/x/jTJGt8nM/ Source: ING Research Trump promises to swiftly end the Ukraine-Russia war and reduce tensions in the Middle East. For now, the specifics remain unclear. Success in easing geopolitical risks will significantly reduce the oil market’s “war-risk” premium, potentially driving prices even lower. Conversely, Trump’s staunch support for Israel and a hawkish stance on Iran may exacerbate tensions in the Middle East. In his first term, he re-imposed sanctions in 2018 that led to a sharp drop in Iranian oil exports. Under Biden, these sanctions remained but were loosely enforced, allowing Iran to boost output to 3.4m bpd from 2.5m bpd in early 2023. Trump’s return could bring stricter enforcement against Iran, potentially removing 1m bpd from the market. However, with most Iranian exports now directed to China, disrupting these flows may prove challenging. ING analysts expect Iranian supply to stabilize at 3.3m bpd through 2025. OPEC+ REMAINS WARY OF TRUMP’S SECOND TERM OPEC+ in its latest meeting delayed the phased return of 2.2m bpd of supply from January to April and extended some cuts through 2026. While these measures are expected to slightly narrow the surplus production in 2025, continued output growth from non-OPEC+ will weigh on prices. US oil production has surged by 11% between 2022 and 2024 to 21.6m bpd, eroding OPEC+ market share to its record low of 48% in 2024 from 55% in 2016 when the group was formed. OPEC+ fears a further rise in US output under Trump, which could diminish its ability to sustain prices. The extended cuts of OPEC+ in 2025 risk further declines in its market share. Prolonged low prices will shrink OPEC+ producers' oil revenues and increase the risk of disagreements within the cartel. Disagreements will result in OPEC members supplying more crude in breach of their production cuts. CHINA SHIFTING AWAY FROM CRUDE WITH WIDESPREAD EV & LNG TRUCK ADOPTION Deflationary pressures, persistent property market crisis and a rapid shift to EVs & LNG trucks are dampening crude demand in China, the world’s largest crude importer. It has been the key driver of global demand growth for two decades. According to China National Petroleum Corporation’s Economic and Technological Research Institute (ETRI), Chinese oil demand is projected to peak at 770 million tonnes in 2025. This is driven by growing adoption of EV, LNG trucks, and high-speed rail. Sluggish oil demand in China has led the EIA, IEA, and OPEC to lower their global oil demand forecasts several times. In December, OPEC revised its 2024 forecast downward for the fifth consecutive time. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Rising non-OPEC+ production & tepid demand are expected to amplify an oversupplied oil market in 2025, putting downward pressure on prices. Donald Trump’s energy policies are likely to exacerbate this imbalance further widening the gap between supply and demand. Portfolio Managers and Traders can express this bearish view using CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures. CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures offer the same exposure to crude oil price movements as standard WTI futures, but at 1/10th the contract size, making them a more accessible and flexible option for traders, enabling more granular hedging. https://www.tradingview.com/x/4NmizlBB/ This paper posits a short position in CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures expiring in March 2025 (MCLH2025) with the following trade setup: • Entry: 70.50/barrel • Target: 65.70/barrel • Stop: 72.00/barrel • P&L at Target (per lot): +480 ((70.50 – 65.70) x 100) • P&L at Stop (per lot): -150 ((70.50 – 72.00) x 100) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3.2x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NAS 100 TO 25,000 , DOWN 15000, UP 23500, DOWN 18900, UP 42000 Current rise willl top at 25000-DEC 2024. or slightly below. Deep to 15000- FEB 2025. Rise to 23500--MARCH 2025, drop to 22199- MAY.....Then all time 42000. JUNE-DEC 2025 MARK THOSE LEVELS....Best to buy for generational wealth ......14899. FEB15TH-28TH 2025
EUR/USD uptrend formed a pullback and waiting for break to the upside.
Good day traders, hope you have all been well. Lets take a look at BTCUSD. As you can see on the chart above we have been quite bullish/long on btcusd and i believe price will continue bullish due to critical technical analysis. However the simplest way to look at it is that price has created it's support and resistance and you know the principle buy at support and sell at resistance, so since price is quite bullish i would advice buying at the support indicated by the blue zone. Use proper risk management.
Please note that the BN is approaching Breakout line...Please see chart..once 5 min candle closes above break out line...Buy with Cup and handle pattern tgt calculated and mentioned on chart...Please see the chart for clarity..
GBP/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. EUR/GBP Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it. NZD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
The gold price (XAU/USD) is in a consolidation phase around $2,620.00, showing a recovery session from previous declines, although trading volumes remain light due to the upcoming New Year holiday. On the support side, key levels are found at the exponential moving averages ($2,625 and $2,630), with a risk of further bearish pressure if these levels are breached, potentially driving the price toward the monthly low of $2,580. Uncertainties tied to the economic policies of the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts for 2025 represent a mix of potential bullish and bearish catalysts. The precious metal could benefit from safe-haven demand in the context of escalating geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and ongoing unrest in the Middle East, which continue to fuel risk aversion sentiment. Gold closed 2024 with a 27% gain, driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions, and accommodative monetary policies. However, the strengthening dollar and higher U.S. Treasury yields have capped further advances. The Dollar Index (DXY) remains near its highs, but the decline in 2- and 10-year Treasury yields could support the metal despite the outlook for more limited rate cuts in the coming year.