The market appears to be deviating from its usual patterns, with movements that do not align with established principles or traditional rules. This unpredictability has rendered technical analysis less effective in interpreting and predicting price actions. It is important to carefully observe these anomalies and exercise heightened attention to market conditions.
[/b Hi Dears Merry Christmas. Happy New Year in advance. I think gold is in a good position to buy, meaning I think gold will continue to rise in the next two months. I have identified a very important condition for the gold chart, that if the candles can close above that price and stabilize, there is a high probability of gold growth. Focus all your eyes on that price on the chart and after a certain failure, enter a buy trade with confidence. Considering the beginning of the new year, is it possible that the goals I set for gold will come true?
This analysis examines the wave structure of AAVE on the 4-hour timeframe. Based on Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels, the price appears to be in a corrective phase, with key support and resistance zones highlighted. Key Insights: Corrective Wave (ABC): The price has entered a corrective movement in the form of ABC after completing the third bullish wave. The support zone between $256–$235 is identified as a potential completion area for Wave 4. Fibonacci Levels: The 113% ($256.08) and 127.2% ($238.48) Fibonacci levels serve as key points for potential price reactions. Wave 5 Completion: Upon completing Wave 4 in the highlighted support zone, the price is expected to enter Wave 5. The target for Wave 5 could extend beyond $500, depending on the strength of the bullish momentum. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price finds support in the $256–$235 zone and reverses upward, Wave 5 may initiate, continuing the bullish trend. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the $235 support zone, followed by consolidation, could alter the Wave 4 scenario and lead to increased selling pressure. Conclusion: AAVE is currently in a corrective phase, with the $256–$235 support zone serving as a critical level to watch for determining the next move. Traders should closely monitor price reactions at this level and utilize confirmation tools such as momentum indicators. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don't forget to follow me for more detailed analyses!
And welcome to our last Weekly Rand Review of 2024! The Rand had a nightmare week after several weeks of gains, what with interest rate cuts and political shake-ups around the globe, coupled with South Africa’s first FDI outflows in four years. But it wasn't just the Rand that suffered, as global markets crashed mid-week before recovering somewhat
The stop losses were triggered at the support level. In the broader context,VEGI is in an uptrend. This could be a good buying opportunity.
If SSV holds 25 dollars and breaks the 27.50-28$ resistance, 28$ will be the next crucial support. Then around 31$ would be the first target before a pullback to 25 dollars and then 40$ will be in reach. Im bullish on SSV.
Here, starting to break my EWZ position (See Post Below) into its constituent pieces. The first piece involves shares I acquired way back at 31.65/share. (Ugh). Rather than go back and calculate trade to date break even, I'm going out far in duration to sell the short call at or above my break even. Sometimes, you have to go way longer dated than you'd like, but I'm fine with devoting some buying power to this, particularly since EWZ pays a fairly decently dividend, albeit only twice a year. The remaining legs are the January 17th 26 short put -- on which I'm pretty sure I'll be assigned shares, and the January 17th 23 short put, which is in-the-money by .50 or so. On assignment, I'll look to sell the call at the strike at which I was assigned and go from there ... .
Market Overview: External Range: Bearish (2651-2584) Internal Range: Bullish Key Observations: Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming: Price is showing signs of retracing to the right shoulder around 2623. Liquidity Zones: Multiple 15-min Order Blocks and liquidity levels identified. Trade Plan: Short Entry: Around 2623 (Right Shoulder Zone) Stop Loss: Above 2628 Take Profit: Targeting lower liquidity zones around 2604, 2598, and 2593 Confirmation Signals to Watch: Bearish rejection at 2623 Market structure shift on lower timeframes (5m/1m) Liquidity sweep above the shoulder zone This setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles, focusing on key order blocks and liquidity zones. ? Drop your thoughts below and follow for more trade ideas! ?? #SMC #TradingStrategy #Forex #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcepts
Hey Everyone, Please see update on our 1H chart idea from Sunday. We are still seeing sideways movement in the market. Generally when this happens, market leaves gaps open in both directions, which is typical of ranging market. We got our bearish target hit at 2618 and now left a open gap below. We also saw attempts to our bigger bullish gap above at 2647 and still remains open. We are comfortable buying dips from the retracement range, as part of our plans to buy dips rather then chasing the full target. Should we get the full open bearish gaps complete first, we will use the gap levels below to buy dips. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2647 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2668 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2691 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2719 BEARISH TARGETS 2618 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2595 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2595 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2570 - 2551 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
AUD/USD is currently moving in a classical bearish pattern, with the price taking temporary support at the lower trendline. However, this support appears weak and, as anticipated, has now broken down, confirming further downside momentum. The structure remains in favor of sellers, and more bearish movement is expected as the breakdown reinforces the selling pressure.