Gold prices are testing the key resistance level of the uptrend channel at 3040. In the short term, they may rise to test the resistance at 3070. However, gold prices have the potential to face profit-taking at the key resistance level, pulling back to test 2920 or 2860.
? Market Sentiment: Strong bullish bias amid geopolitical tensions & FOMC event risk ?⚠️ ? Key Levels: ? Resistance Targets: 3055 ? | 3061 ? ? Support Zone: 3015 – 3018 ? ? Technical Analysis: ✅ Trend: Bullish continuation ? ✅ Indicators: EMA & RSI confirm strong momentum ? ✅ Key Zones: Demand area at 3015 – 3018 for potential long entries ? ✅ Market Structure: Higher highs, bullish order flow remains intact ? ? Trading Plan: ? Entry: Buy within 3015 – 3018 zone ✅ ? Targets: 3055 & 3061 ? ? Stop-Loss: Below 3005 to manage risk ? ? FOMC Strategy: Expect sharp moves post-announcement—adjust SL & TP accordingly ⚠️ ? Risk Management: Scale out profits near resistance, monitor price action closely before & after FOMC ?? ? Stay alert for Fed statements & geopolitical headlines! ??
During past bull markets, a simple HODL strategy worked wonders. Bitcoin and Ethereum set the market trend, and altcoins followed with explosive gains. If you bought the right project before the hype wave, the profits were massive. However, today’s market is vastly different: ✅ Liquidity is unevenly distributed – Only a handful of major projects attract serious capital, while many altcoins stagnate. ✅ Investors are more sophisticated – Institutional players and smart money dominate, making retail-driven pumps less frequent. ✅ Not all coins pump together – Only projects with real utility and solid tokenomics see sustainable growth. ________________________________________ 2. What Matters Now? Strategies for the New Crypto Era To succeed in the current market, you need a more calculated approach. Here’s what you should focus on: ? Technical Analysis You can’t just buy blindly and hope for a moonshot. Understanding support and resistance levels, price patterns, trading volumes, etc. is crucial. Example: If an altcoin has surged 50% in a few days and reaches a strong resistance level, it’s not a buying opportunity—it’s a sell signal for short-term traders. ? Tokenomics and Supply Mechanics In 2017 and 2021, as long as a project had a compelling whitepaper, it could attract investors. Now, you need to analyze total token supply, distribution models, utility, and vesting schedules. Example: If a project has an aggressive vesting schedule where early investors and the team receive new tokens monthly, there will be constant selling pressure. No matter how good the technology is, you don’t want to be caught in a dumping cycle. ? Market Psychology and Speculative Cycles Crypto is driven by emotions. You need to recognize when the crowd is euphoric (time to sell) and when fear dominates (time to buy). Example: If a project is all over Twitter, Telegram, and TikTok, it might already be near the top. On the other hand, when a solid project is ignored and trading volume is low, it could be a prime accumulation opportunity. ________________________________________ 3. Realistic Expectations: 30-50-100% Are the New "100x" If catching a 10x or 100x was common in the past, those days are largely over. Instead, 30-50-100% gains are far more realistic and sustainable. Why? • The market is more mature, and liquidity doesn’t flood into random projects. • Most "100x" gains were pump & dump schemes, which are now avoided by smart investors. • Experienced traders take profits earlier, limiting parabolic price action. Recommended strategy: 1. Enter early in a solid project with clear utility and strong tokenomics. 2. Set realistic profit targets (e.g., take 30% profit at +50%, another 30% at +100%, and hold the rest long-term). 3. Don’t wait for a “super cycle” to make money—take profits consistently. ________________________________________ 4. Conclusion: Adapt or Get Left Behind The crypto market has evolved from a “HODL Paradise” where almost any coin could 10-100x into a speculator’s playground, favoring skilled traders and informed investors. To stay profitable, you must: ✅ Master technical analysis and identify accumulation vs. distribution zones. ✅ Pick projects with solid tokenomics and avoid those with aggressive unlock schedules. ✅ Set realistic expectations—forget about 100x and aim for sustainable 30-100% gains. ✅ Stay flexible and adapt to market psychology and emerging trends. Crypto is no longer a game of luck. It’s a game of knowledge and strategy. If you don’t adapt, you’ll be stuck waiting for a 100x that may never come. So, at least this is my opinion. But what about you? Do you think crypto is still a "HODL paradise," or are we fully in the era of skilled traders and speculators? Will we ever see another cycle where almost everything pumps together, or is selective investing the new reality? I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below and let’s discuss
Market Overview: According to the current market structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward movement. The focus will be on identifying key zones of interest for potential long trades. ? Key Zones for Long Positions: Order Block (OB): The price is currently testing the OB zone. However, since this zone has already been mitigated, the lower boundary of the OB becomes significant. A retest of the lower part of the OB could provide a high-probability entry point for long trades. Liquidity Zones Below OB: If the price moves lower, watch for liquidity grabs in these areas. A full-bodied breakout of liquidity would open the path to the IDM OB (Initial Drive Momentum Order Block) , which will be our next target. ? Short Positions (Low Probability): Short trades are less likely at this stage, as the market structure suggests upward momentum. To consider shorts, we would need to see liquidity building above the PDH (Previous Day High) and a break in the current structure. Until then, I will focus on long opportunities unless there is a clear shift in market dynamics. ? Trading Plan: Monitor the interaction of price with the lower boundary of the OB. Retest Scenario: Enter long if the price confirms support at the lower OB boundary. Liquidity Grab: If price moves lower and sweeps liquidity, wait for a breakout before targeting IDM OB. Avoid short positions unless the price builds liquidity above PDH and breaks the structure. ⚠️ Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders just below the nearest key level for long trades. Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively. ? Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Technical Perspective USOIL pared recent gains following a reversal below the descending channel's upper bound and resistance at 6850. If USOIL sustains its bearish momentum, a further drop toward the following support at 6500 may occur. Conversely, a break above the resistance at 6850 could prompt a further rise toward the following resistance at 7000. Fundamental Perspective Oil prices declined as the American Petroleum Institute reported a 4.6 million barrel increase in US crude stockpiles, highlighting concerns over growing inventories. This rise in stockpiles pressures oil prices as supply continues to outpace demand. Geopolitical risks also weighed on sentiment, with Russian President Putin rejecting US President Donald Trump's request for a ceasefire in Ukraine, further escalating tensions. Additionally, Trump has ramped up pressure on Iran over regional instability, adding to the volatility in oil markets. Meanwhile, OPEC and its allies are considering increasing production, which could increase global supply. On the demand side, weak consumption from China and ongoing trade tensions threaten to dampen risk sentiment, potentially weighing further on oil prices in the short term. With these factors combined, oil markets face a challenging outlook, marked by a delicate balance between rising supply and uncertain demand dynamics. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
The uptrend is expected to move along the specified path and advance to the specified resistance levels.
USDCAD is obviosly on down trend making lows and highss after it broke the recent up trend, connencting the two previous highs is the easiest way to identify where the continuation will begin. if price aligns with the trend on the liquididty area and give us nice price action rejection ,wewill bodly ttake sells.
Gold trading insights for today: Explore our zones for informed decision-making.
This is all made up. It is my thesis that BTC has never had a 4 year cycle. This started as a though quite a few years ago and culminated into a tangible, rules-based cycle theory based on the lunar eclipse cycles - ironically the night of March 14, 2025. bid.llbtc
Pairs on Watch - FX:AUDJPY OANDA:UK100GBP FX:AUDCHF FX:USDJPY A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!