Market Overview The current market sentiment suggests a moderate bullish outlook, with a recommendation to HOLD or BUY the existing position. The asset is trading at $305.57, slightly below the open position price of $305.60, indicating a marginal decline but within a consolidation range. Key Technical Indicators Stop-loss: Positioned at $300.00, providing a safety net against potential downward volatility. Take-profit: Targeted at $310.00, reflecting a reasonable resistance level to maximize gains. Exit Point: Advised at $305.81, offering an opportunity for partial profit-taking just above the current price. Confidence Level The confidence level for this strategy is 75%, signaling cautious optimism. While the risk-reward profile is favorable, traders should remain vigilant for shifts in price momentum. Correlation with BTC The asset shows a neutral correlation with Bitcoin at 0.05, implying minimal influence from BTC's price movements. This provides room for the asset to move independently based on its own market dynamics. Position Analysis Current Open Position: One long position opened at $305.60, showing negligible unrealized loss. Short Positions: None active, suggesting a lack of bearish sentiment. Risk Management Strategy Tight stop-loss ensures downside protection at $300.00, while the take-profit level at $310.00 secures a favorable upside. Traders should monitor the $305.81 exit point for partial profit-taking and re-evaluate market conditions if the asset approaches this level. Recommendation Continue to HOLD the current long position, with a potential BUY opportunity if prices drop near the stop-loss level without breaching it. Monitor market trends closely and adjust risk management parameters as necessary to account for any changes in sentiment or volatility.
Price created LL and LH as it broke previous low. Expect current pullback to hit previous area of LH to sweep liquidity before making new low. Target most recent low as marked by the arrow.
Solid accumulation phase indicating sustained buyer interest. The chart displays promising growth potential, supported by a trend of rising lows and steady volume increase. Market sentiment leans bullish, with resistance levels under pressure. A breakout scenario seems likely if current momentum holds. Monitoring for a possible retracement to form a new support level before further upward movement is advisable.
Hello, traders, Here’s an update on BTC and USDT.D on the 2-week timeframe. BTC recently hit a new all-time high of $108k, followed by a 15% rejection. In my previous video, I clearly mentioned the possibility of this rejection, but many of you focused on cash inflow into BTC, institutional interest, and other factors. I’m not here to prove a point but to present the probabilities of what could happen. This 15% drop was enough to liquidate 419,670 traders in the past 24 hours. What’s next? According to the 2-week chart, BTC is likely to drop to $80k and potentially as low as $69k in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, USDT.D is expected to test the 4.8%-5% resistance level. This could provide enough room for BTC to undergo further correction. A rebound from support is anticipated, and if this chart plays out, we could soon witness another epic rally for BTC. I hope this update helps you make better trading decisions. Please remember to do your own research and analysis before investing. Trade safely.
As a seasoned observer of the cryptocurrency markets, I have developed a perspective on Bitcoin's (BTC/USDT) price action that blends technical analysis with historical observation. While the recent upward momentum has generated considerable optimism, a rigorous assessment of market indicators and past patterns suggests a high probability of a significant short-term correction, potentially bringing the price down to $75,000, before a subsequent ascent towards $150,000. This analysis will explore the evidentiary basis for this scenario, leveraging specific examples and technical indicators. Historical precedents serve as a critical foundation for this bearish short-term outlook. Bitcoin has consistently exhibited a cyclical behavior characterized by substantial price corrections following periods of rapid appreciation. A noteworthy example is the 2017 bull market, during which multiple 30-40% drawdowns were observed before the final surge to the all-time high. These corrections were not random market fluctuations but rather periods of market consolidation, during which excessive leverage was purged, and a more stable foundation for future growth was established. The current market conditions, while distinct in certain aspects, bear a notable resemblance to those preceding previous pullbacks, indicating a potential vulnerability to a similar pattern of price correction. Further supporting the likelihood of a correction is the emergence of bearish divergences across shorter timeframes. On the 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) charts, the price has moved below the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key trend-following indicator, signaling a potential shift towards bearish momentum. Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of price momentum, has dropped below the 50 level on the same timeframes, suggesting that the selling pressure has intensified. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators on these timeframes have exhibited bearish crossovers, with histograms declining into negative territory, confirming a decline in bullish momentum. Such conditions strongly suggest that an imminent retracement of the price is more likely than the continuation of the current uptrend. The longer-term outlook, while still bullish, does not negate the short-term correction. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above the 20-period SMA. However, the RSI has also started to move downwards and the MACD is showing signs of decreased bullish strength, suggesting that the upward momentum is potentially waning. Historically, such early indications of weakening momentum on the daily chart have often been followed by more substantial pullbacks. These pullbacks serve as essential market resets, creating a more sustainable base for subsequent rallies. The specific target of $75,000 is not arbitrary but rather a confluence of technical and psychological factors. This level is below recent levels of support, representing a potential “shakeout zone” where overleveraged or inexperienced market participants may be forced to liquidate their positions. A move to this level before reversal is also a common pattern in Bitcoin price action. The psychological level of $75,000 could also attract buyers looking for an entry point, which is a factor that would encourage a reversal to the upside from this price level. Looking ahead, the path to $150,000 remains clear, with significant macroeconomic factors and technical trends still supporting long term growth. However, the route to this price point is not likely to be linear and smooth; a move down to the $75,000 price level is likely and expected. The pull back, while unsettling, is likely to provide the next major catalyst needed for Bitcoin’s move towards the $150,000 target and beyond.
As much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin. I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now. Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/litecoin-activeaddresses.html#3y Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bitcoin-activeaddresses.html#3y As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent. It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come. Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn. https://www.tradingview.com/x/zvccf5Kz/ Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support. Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me. This meant for speculation and entertainment only. -Victor Cobra
Guys, here is a follow up to HBAR. I am reviewing the previous HBAR video and going into where we might go form here. Hope this helps.
XAUUSD Gold USD Chart Breakout Out Range Near 2610 With Current price 2625 . Here A Breakout Of Your Outlook. Buy Zone 2610 which Appears Price will Breakout From Here Current price will Moving 2625. Long Term 2640 to 2650 Which is Suggest to Bullish Momentum Price. You can find more details in the chart PS Support with like and comments for more insights.
Good accumulation phase observed, indicating strong interest from buyers. The asset shows a strong potential to grow, with consistent higher lows and increasing trading volume. Price action suggests a bullish sentiment, with key resistance levels being tested. Breakout opportunities are visible if momentum sustains. Watch for a potential pullback to establish new support before the next upward move. Strong potential to grow
Will be looking to short/sell when the price gets abovve 21768-21788