XAUUSD/GOLD Long 1:2 Looks good long, gold is strong. Hey, be careful, its GOLD not some easy instrument. Use proper risk management Looks like good trade. Lets monitor. Use proper risk management. Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Trend: Short-term bullish channel developing Price: $157.09 Structure: Price is currently grinding upward inside a rising channel with support around $150 and resistance near $159.50. Key Support & Resistance Levels: * ? Support: $150.04 → confluence with lower trendline and previous demand zone * ? Resistance: $159.51 → upper trendline, testing prior intraday rejection level Volume: Rising steadily with every test of the lower channel support—buying pressure is evident. RSI: Slight bullish momentum but approaching mid-range (not yet overbought) ? Trade Idea: * Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and closes above $159.50 with volume, the next leg toward $162–$165 is possible. * ⚡️ Entry: $158 breakout * ? Target: $162.50 / $165 * ? Stop: $155 * Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $155 may trigger a move toward the $150 and $144 zones. * ⛔️ Entry: Below $154.80 * ? Target: $150 → $144 * ? Stop: $158 ? Options GEX & Sentiment Insights IVR/IVx: * IVR: 70.6 (elevated, traders are pricing in movement) * IVx Avg: 58 → implies option prices are above historical norm Options Flow: * Puts: 27.1% dominance (moderate hedging activity) * GEX Bias: Strong Gamma Wall at $157, suggesting price may gravitate toward or stall here unless a breakout occurs. * Call Walls: * $160 – Mild resistance * $162.5 – Potential profit-taking zone * Put Walls: * $150 – Strong support area due to GEX negative cluster * $145–$140 zone – Loaded with high negative GEX: bounce likely if it dips there ⚠️ GEX Highlight: * The Highest Positive NETGEX is near $157, suggesting market makers prefer pinning price near this zone unless there's a volatility jolt. ? Final Thoughts & Strategy GOOGL is currently in a tight spot where price is climbing within a narrowing channel, and the GEX walls are aligning perfectly around it. It’s a gamma-neutral zone where market makers may suppress volatility short term unless external catalysts break the structure. Scalp Idea: Use break/retest around $157 or $160 for quick directional trades. Options Strategy: * Neutral-to-Bullish: Consider selling a put credit spread above $150 if expecting price to consolidate. * Directional Call: Buy 0DTE or 2DTE calls if price breaks above $159.50 with volume.
Price Structure: AAPL has bounced from the recent low around $168 and is now climbing within an upward price channel. Price is attempting to reclaim the psychological $200 level, now acting as short-term resistance. Trendline Channel: A bullish channel has formed from the April 9th reversal, and the current price is near the midline. Price is showing consolidation just below a previous resistance level at ~$200.32, which aligns with the upper gamma levels. Key Support/Resistance Levels: * Resistance: $200.32 → key gamma and technical resistance * Support: $185.29 (confluence of HVL + breakout area) * Critical Support: $168.13 → the base of recent bounce Volume & RSI: * RSI is trending upward but starting to curve slightly at the 60 zone, showing bullish but cautious strength. * Volume during the bounce shows aggressive buying but has tapered off recently — signaling a possible pause or retest before continuation. Bias: Neutral-Bullish (watch for $200 breakout confirmation) ? Options GEX Analysis (For Option Trading) https://www.tradingview.com/x/FDvSNX0v/ Gamma Exposure (GEX) Levels: * Highest Positive GEX / Gamma Wall: $200 → A breakout above this may lead to a gamma squeeze toward $205–$220. * Resistance Levels: * $205 (12.8% GEX8) * $220 (35.5% / 2nd Call Wall) * Put Walls / Support: * $185.29 = HVL (04/17 expiry) * $180 and $170 have layered PUT GEX walls acting as support (–22% to –25%) IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank (IVR): 73.1 (elevated — premiums are rich) * IVx avg: 68.5 * Put/Call Skew: Puts at 33.2% dominance, indicating hedge pressure, but not panic. * Sentiment Flags: ??? → mixed signals: volatility + hedging pressure but potential support at $185+ ? Trading & Option Strategy Suggestions ? For Stock Traders: * Bullish Play: Watch for breakout and retest above $200 → Target $205, $220 * Bearish Play: Rejection at $200 + breakdown below $185 = possible fade toward $175–$168 * Neutral Range Play: Between $185 – $200, consider scalping intraday using EMA/VWAP confluence ? For Option Traders: * Bullish Strategy: * Debit Call Spread: Buy 200C / Sell 210C (cheap gamma play on breakout) * Short Put Spread (Cash-secured): Sell 185P / Buy 175P if price consolidates above 190 * Bearish Strategy: * Put Debit Spread if price rejects $200: Buy 195P / Sell 185P * Avoid naked calls — IV is high, and premiums are inflated ? Final Thought: AAPL is at a decision zone with significant option market activity clustered around $200. A breakout here could trigger a squeeze toward $220, but failure may bring a retest of the $185–$180 range. The GEX layout shows dealer positioning supports upward movement above $200 but is still hedged underneath. Be nimble — wait for confirmation, and don't chase unless the breakout holds. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Weekly: https://www.tradingview.com/x/ldx81KSe/ -Weekly lows. -Liquidity sweep. Daily: https://www.tradingview.com/x/0IYJKAWD/ -Inverse H&S pattern. 4H: https://www.tradingview.com/x/4tISliDQ/ -Inverse H&S pattern. -IC.
Technical Analysis (1H): * Trend Structure: MSFT is trading within a clean ascending channel. Price is currently hugging the upper trendline resistance, with higher lows confirming strong intraday buyer interest. * Volume: Buying volume picked up significantly during the breakout on April 10 and has since stabilized as price consolidates near resistance — a healthy sign of continuation if bulls hold. * RSI: RSI is trending above the midpoint and gradually rising, but not overbought — signaling room to move higher without immediate exhaustion. * Key Resistance: * 392.92 — Local high. If broken, potential to run toward 400 and 405. * Gamma Wall sits at 405, which aligns with highest positive NETGEX and may act as a magnet for price. * Support: * 377.50 — Nearest support from HVL (High Volume Level) and Gamma Support. * 367.80 / 348.29 — Stronger downside zones if price fails the channel. GEX & Options Flow Insights: https://www.tradingview.com/x/iSSTKdZM/ * GEX Walls: * 405 = Highest Positive NETGEX / Gamma Wall. * Multiple call walls layered at 400, 405, and 410 — creating a strong bullish magnet above. * Put walls concentrated below 377.5, but gamma intensity is lower until 355. * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 64.8 — moderately elevated. * IVx avg: 46 — showing increasing volatility expectations. * Put Positioning: 44.9% — almost evenly balanced with calls, slight lean toward downside hedging. * GEX Sentiment: ??? — Mixed, but still slightly favorable for upside as long as 377.5 holds. Trade Scenarios: ? Bullish Setup: * Entry: Break above 393–395 with strong volume. * Target: 400 → 405 (gamma magnet zone). * Stop: Below 386 (channel midline break). ? Bearish Setup: * Entry: Breakdown below 377.5 support. * Target: 367.8 → 348.2 * Stop: Above 386 to avoid getting trapped by a bounce. Option Trade Suggestion: * Directional Call Debit Spread (Apr 17 expiry): * Buy 395c / Sell 405c * Risk-defined setup aligned with gamma wall targets. * If bearish: Consider 375p / 360p put spread if MSFT rejects 393 and breaks below 377.5. Final Thoughts: MSFT is sitting on a powder keg of potential. Price is coiled under a resistance zone where gamma exposure aligns with bullish targets. If macro sentiment aligns, the breakout toward 400–405 could trigger a short-term momentum rally. But failure to hold the channel would mean a quick retest of 377–367 range. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
In this video, we will analyze the GOLD & Silver Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week of April 14-18th, and look for the best potential setups. Gold is still bullish, making new ATH's. Silver is not as strong, but had a very strong previous week after sweeping the range lows. I would take valid buy setups in Gold, but not in Silver. I would prefer sells in Silver. Trade one, not both. The stronger for buys and the weaker for sells. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Potential Drop in the Euro Hello everyone, today I’m sharing my analysis on the Euro (EUR), as I see a potential drop in the short term. Below, I’ll outline the reasons behind my bearish bias and my entry strategy. Let’s dive in! Why I’m Bearish on the Euro Institutional and Retail Activity My indicator shows a short-term increase in long contracts from retail traders, while institutional players are also selling. Although this isn’t an extreme reading, it’s actionable enough to take a position. Open Interest My open interest indicator also shows a clear trend of increasing short contracts, which supports my bearish outlook. Valuation My valuation indicator indicates a clear overvaluation of the Euro compared to the US Dollar and gold, suggesting a potential correction. Technical Analysis I’ve identified a key zone on the weekly timeframe using an indicator that highlights candles I call "Base" in my technical analysis strategy. These candles have a body smaller than 50% of their total range and tend to accumulate orders before an explosive move. Within this zone, I’m looking for an entry to anticipate the drop that my indicators are forecasting. My Entry Strategy I’ll be entering a short position in this identified zone, expecting the downward move my indicators are predicting. I’ll keep this idea updated as the price evolves, so stay tuned for more details. Disclaimer This is my personal analysis and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries risks, so always conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making decisions.
According to Dealroom data cited by the Financial Times, British start-ups raised just £16.2 billion last year, far less than the more than £65 billion raised by their counterparts in Silicon Valley during the same period. In fact, the U.S. appears to be pulling further ahead each year. In 2024, 57% of global venture capital […]
seems like we are done with those lower prices; this week´s target is $305. as you can see the SL and TP GL https://www.tradingview.com/x/xODQ4on9/
Gold is still on parallel channel on D1 &H4 .I'm expecting the Drop one more to respect the previous BOS AT 3180 where we have possible Buy opportunities towards our Targets as I mentioned in my weekly Episode. Bullish scanario: if the H4 candle CLOSES above 3232 Resistance ,then target will be 3260 in first round then 3270 milestone. Bearish Scenario On the other hand, If The current H4 closes below 3220 and break of this structural support then have again Bearish momentum towards 3190-80. My position: I'm on sidelines and waiting for confirmation of Selleing pressure then Enter. Keep in mind above 3232 Don't look for sell If H4 closes above Additionally :BUY THR DIP