Zum Mittwoch konnte unser Dax seine Gewichte nicht mehr halten und ging erstmal gut in die Knie. Guten Morgen :) Marken mit Wichtigkeit und hoher Reaktionsfreundlichkeit für heute und die nächsten Tage sind meiner Meinung nach: 23980, 23600, 23450, 23250, 22930, 22800, 22600, 22420, 22100, 21800, 21670, 21510, 21420, 21360, 21230, 21060, 20880 Chartlage: positiv Tendenz: aufwärts Grundstimmung: positiv Sollte unser Dax an seine Erholung anschließen können, wären 23220 / 23250 als nächstes dran gewesen. Sollte er da durchkommen, wären auch wieder 23350 und 23400 realistisch gewesen. Doch galt Vorsicht, die 23220 / 23250 sollte es gut in sich haben. Würde er sich dort volle Pulle nach unten abstoßen, könnte das eine neue Abwärtswelle wie in der Vorwoche lostreten, die dann bis nächste Woche Montag 22500 nochmal anpeilen könnte. So die Zusammenfassung von gestern. Die Erholung schob unser Dax dann am Mittwoch noch in die 23220 / 23250 rein und pralle dort volle Pulle nach unten ab. Durchlaufen haben wir dabei nun schon die 23100, 23000, 22860, 22720 und sind an der 22670 gelandet. Damit fehlt nicht mehr viel um die Bewegung zur 22500 komplett zu machen. Heißt unser Dax könnte sich sogar nochmal eine kleine Pause hoch zur 22800 oder auch 22860 gönnen um dann von dort nochmal mit Schwung zur 22500 aufzulaufen. Nur drüber sollte er nicht, sonst würde er über 22930 / 23000 die Abwärtsbewegung komplett erwürgen und wieder 23200 und höheres aktivieren. Macht unser Dax die Bewegung nach unten dann voll, wäre der Bereich zwischen 22500 / 22460 dann allerdings auch ziemlich gut geeignet um sich wieder richtig kräftig aufzudrehen. Da durchaus auch 22800 dann anpeilen. Rutscht unser Dax unten aber durch geht wieder Raum zur 22350 und 22250 / 22180 auf. Die Scheine bleiben gleich. Für Aufwärtsstrecken der GJ938A KO 20000 sowie PG70KW KO 18600 und für Abwärtsstrecken der MG510S KO 23920. Fazit: An der 23220 hat sich unser Dax ordentlich abgestoßen und schon ein großes Stück zum Ziel bei 22500 erledigt, da könnte er am Donnerstag sogar noch einen kurzen Umweg um 22800 oder gar 22860 machen, bevor er unten vollmacht. Nur höher als 22930 / 23000 sollte er nicht, das würde die Abwärtsbewegung sonst erwürgen und wieder 23250 und 23400 auf die Ziel-Liste ziehen. Kommt unser Dax unten aber am Donnerstag bei 22500 / 22460 ab, sollte man genauer auf die Reaktion achten. Stößt er sich dort kräftig genug ab, kann der locker schon wieder bis 22800 zurück schieben. Bricht er den Bereich unten aber, dürften dann 22350 und 22250 / 22180 folgen.
Hello, friends, to answer the above question, we need to check the chart. In the 4-hour chart, we see a strong downward trend and a slightly complicated correction, which can be a sign of the beginning of a price drop to lower levels in case of a strong failure of the price support at the level of $315. In addition, a negative hidden divergence in rsi increases the probability of its occurrence. If the price breaks the level of 355 upwards, this possibility will be ruled out.
The channel is still holding but gold failed to break 3030 resistance. I am expecting gold will experience a heavy drop today. if the channel is broken, we will see a retest of 3000 soon. we can try to catch the fall upon retest. If 3000 is broken, we can target 2980, or even 2930 today.
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE. Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition. I will talk about the ETHUSD chart. -------------------------------------- (ETHUSD 1W) https://www.tradingview.com/x/cRUumEcf/ If you look at the 1W chart, you can see how important the current price position is. If it continues to decline this time, it is likely to fall to around 1337.54. Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.236 (2089.91). In order to turn upward on the 1W chart, it must rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and maintain the price. - (1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/Zd2A5kd3/ Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the point of 1935.88, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near this area. If it does not and falls below 1871.55, it is highly likely to fall to around 1626.95. - The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is passing near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14). Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts and be maintained. To do so, we need to see if it can naturally rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts while maintaining the price by rising around 2271.0-2356.31. However, in order to continue the uptrend, it is expected that the price must rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and be maintained. - If the OBV does not rise above the upper line of the price channel and show an uptrend, it is likely that it will be difficult to sustain even if an uptrend appears. The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought zone. Therefore, if the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and maintains the price around 1935.88, it is expected that it will lead to an attempt to rise to around 2271.0. Therefore, when the competition started, - If the StochRSI indicator did not turn upward, - If the OBV did not rise above the upper line and showed an upward trend, - If it did not receive support near 1935.88, it is expected that the SHORT position would be advantageous. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/z7KccUWy/ Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/qnPyNIaV/ Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). https://www.tradingview.com/x/QXrexgiP/ If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
If this plays out it will be about a 20 point play as I have the target price measured to be $135.36. Wait for cross above and retest of the resistance line ($115.01) then enter. Stop at $109.35. Keep an eye on CCI and if line falls below the zero line the trade becomes invalid and exit immediately. I like the April 25 $115 strike options @ $3.15 R
? XAU/USD Daily Analysis – Bullish Continuation in Ascending Channel ? Market Structure & Trend Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance levels. The trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since late 2024. Currently, price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong bullish momentum. ? Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,153 – $3,200 (potential breakout target) Current Price: $3,020 (holding above key mid-range support) Support Levels: Channel Midline Support: ~$2,980 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$2,900 (potential corrective zone) Channel Bottom Support: ~$2,700 (strong demand area) ? Bullish Scenario ? A break and close above $3,153 would confirm a bullish breakout, opening the door for a rally toward $3,200 and beyond. Momentum remains strong, with price structure favoring continued upside as long as it stays above the midline of the channel. ? Bearish Scenario ? Failure to break above $3,153 could trigger a short-term pullback toward $2,980 - $2,900, where buyers may re-enter. A confirmed breakdown below the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish setup and expose $2,700 - $2,600 as potential downside targets. ? Conclusion & Trade Considerations Bias: Bullish as long as price remains inside the ascending channel. Entry Considerations: Retest of $3,020 - $2,980 as support could offer a high-probability long setup. Breakout Confirmation: A daily close above $3,153 strengthens the bullish case for continuation.
? Trend Overview: UK100 is currently consolidating between key support and resistance levels, suggesting a potential breakout scenario. ? Key Levels: ? Resistance: 8,727 – A breakout above this level could push price toward 8,818. ? Support: 8,627 – If broken, price may drop toward 8,475. ? Market Structure: ✅ Price is in a range-bound phase, with a possible breakout in either direction. ? Bullish scenario: Break above 8,727 → Retest → Target 8,818 → 8,912. ⚠️ Bearish scenario: Rejection at 8,727 → Drop to 8,627 → Break → Target 8,475. ? Trade Idea: Bullish above 8,727 with targets at 8,818 and 8,912. Bearish below 8,627 with targets at 8,475. ? Risk Management: Wait for confirmation of breakout or rejection before entering trades.
- Virgin Galactic reversed from the resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 3.000 Virgin Galactic recently reversed down from the resistance area between the key resistance level 4.45 (which has been reversing the price from February), the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from November, 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area started active wave 3 – which belongs to wave (5) from November. Given the strong downtrend, Virgin Galactic can be expected to fall to the next support level 3.000, which stopped the previous wave 1.
so alot is going on. when we gapped up and ran nonstop 3/25-3/26, i decided to look for reversal signals. tues was a tight range. it formed a doji; which was suspect. the move below the open print today was the second. and now i see we are up on a tweet and a prayer. this 3 candlestick pattern confirms that. however... the higher timeframes are in a wide range. so, if we reverse the bearish candlestick >5720 i believe we can retrace a bit... maybe revisit the sell fell off area. ***to invalidate the sell trigger, we need to bet above the doji. ***if we do keep rocking and rolling... note this area. it is an unfilled gap as of now. if it gaps down, wait to see how 1st 15-30mins react. looks like ES-emini gapped down a bit. that may be it, but this is an A+ set up for a trip back to take out short term lows at least. tootles! For more on the pattern... I love the breakdown/visual provided here: https://alchemymarkets.com/education/candlesticks/evening-star-pattern/
- GBPUSD reversed from resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 1.2800 GBPUSD recently reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 1.3035 (which has been reversing the price from October), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star which started the active wave 3. GBPUSD can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.2800, the former monthly high from December.