Dubai, UAE, 22nd March 2025, Chainwire
Gamers are a passionate bunch, and we’re no exception. These are the week’s most interesting perspectives on the wild, wonderful, and sometimes weird world of video game news.Read more...
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Live forecast for WC 24th March 2025. A great week ahead!
Bitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity. This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup. 1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge Formation of the Rising Wedge The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape. The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure. As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control. The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion. The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon. Why This Pattern is Bearish The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off. A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure. If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated. Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone This support level has held strong multiple times. If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling. Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts. This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs. Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point. This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup ? Entry: Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance. Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation. ? Stop Loss: Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance. This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts. ? Take Profit: First target: $78,000 (psychological support). Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target). Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade ✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown. ✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum. ✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside. 4. Risk Management & Considerations Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable. Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action. Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering. 5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook? Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios: ? Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies? If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case: ✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+. ✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal. ? In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades. 6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary ? Current Bias: Bearish ? ? Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected) ? Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation ? Stop Loss: Above $88,062 ? Target: $75,718 Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts. ? Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! ?
WTI Crude Oil bearish & oversold, the key trading level is at 69.50 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD movement in two scenario, Due to Sharp's upward movement, these two corrective movements are not far from expected