My EUR/USD technical analysis suggests a bearish outlook with downside targets at 1.08400, 1.07888, and 1.07500, while maintaining a stop loss at 1.09500. Key Levels & Analysis: Resistance: 1.09500 (stop loss level) Support Levels: 1.08400: Minor support, potential retracement zone 1.07888: Stronger support, aligns with previous price action 1.07500: Major support zone, potential bounce area Indicators to Watch: 1. Moving Averages: Check if the price is below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for a stronger bearish confirmation. 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index): If RSI is below 50, it supports bearish momentum. If near 30, be cautious of a reversal. 3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A bearish crossover below the signal line confirms downside momentum. Trading Strategy: If EUR/USD breaks below 1.08400 convincingly, it could accelerate towards lower targets. Any bounce from 1.08400 or 1.07888 should be monitored for a possible trend reversal. Keep an eye on fundamental events (e.g., Fed & ECB news, economic data) that could impact volatility.
Price is at pullback resistance level and there’s high tendency we could experience a sell off around that price level. I’d be monitoring price movements so as to spot a possible sell opportunity around that area. A sell opportunity is envisaged!
Here are my simplistic zones that price has been respecting and will most likely follow. Do you think Bitcoin will pull down to the support levels below? I see price making a slight move towards the support levels then contesting resistance for new highs. Based on history, we know how crypto tends to move in these months. COINBASE:BTCUSD
By Ion Jauregui, ActivTrades Analyst The Russell 2000 small cap index has experienced a marked deterioration in positioning, with a significant increase in short positions over the past week. Investor confidence in small caps has weakened markedly, in contrast to the S&P 500, whose positioning has returned to neutral after the sharp pullback from January's bullish highs. Recent flows have been dominated by new short positions in the Russell 2000, raising its bearish positioning considerably. This suggests that investors are taking a more defensive approach against the backdrop of economic uncertainty and tightening monetary policy in the US. While the S&P 500 has experienced a rebalancing with mixed flows and an increase in short positions, the Nasdaq has shown a slower liquidation of long positions, maintaining some support in mega-cap growth stocks. In contrast, confidence in the Russell 2000 continues to deteriorate, which could indicate that investors are anticipating increased volatility in the small-cap segment. Technical Analysis Putting the chart in the spotlight we can observe two price constructions, the one initiated on December 13 until July 9, 2024 which was subsequently continued with another price construction that took the index price to highs, and this deconstruction initiated on February 19 until returning to the middle zone of that previous construction which was located between 1927 and 2117 points. Although currently the control point on the daily chart is well above the 2284 points, the reality check of the US market has led the Russell to correct to 2050. It would not be strange to see the index fluctuate in the range with the strong zone of 1924 points as the current floor zone, and supporting itself at the 1989 points of the current support. It is possible to see a bullish breakout towards 2114 points, as the RSI is currently very oversold at 33.29 after the strong correction of the last few days. Looking at the cross of averages we can see a bearish reinforcement in the session of March 13 indicating a bearish consolidation where the 200 average is above the 100 and 50. So this price contraction can and will test again in the coming weeks the area of the current momentum support and perhaps retest the area of the current floor. The deterioration in the positioning of the Russell 2000 underscores concerns about the resilience of small caps in the face of macroeconomic conditions. With increased risk aversion and the possibility of further credit tightening, the index faces additional pressure. If the downtrend persists, we could see further weakness in the small-cap sector in the coming weeks. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Hi traders I think we're still in a bull market but now we're in a range where the winrate isn't a good place to enter so it's better to wait until the entry point reaches around 3005 otherwise I think it's better to watch than to enter a trade with a bad winrate This chart is my opinion on the market? How much do you think it can happen?
Yesterday, crude oil prices peaked and then witnessed a sharp decline, directly plunging through the upward gap that opened at the beginning of the week. The current market situation is at the initial stage of a downtrend. It is projected that after rebounding to the range of 67.00 - 67.80, the downward movement will resume. Moreover, the strength of today's rebound indicates relatively feeble upward momentum, and market sentiment leans towards caution. Consequently, today's trading strategy will mainly focus on shorting on rebounds. Traders should wait for the market to rebound to key resistance levels before entering the market. USOIL Trading Strategy: Sell@67.7-68.3 TP:66-65 I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
SELL 33.9000 | STOP 34.3000 | TAKE 33.3200 | We expect the price to move down from the local ascending channel near the medium-term maximums to the nearest support level in the area of 33.3200-33.0500.
Bitcoin has shown us a smaller liquidity grab where a smaller dip got eaten up pretty fast by buyers. We are now looking for today's market structure development to see if we see another similar movement or not. If we see then we can expect some high volume moves pretty soon, so we have to be careful! Markets are in a lot of uncertainty right now, but one thing is still clear for us: sooner or later we need to reach the major support zone at $70-73K. Swallow Team
the bitcoin price & RSI level is so get involved together. the RSI weekly level at 44 & weekly candles at 80k seems a very strong support now.
On the last round of trading, I took USDCHF and finally made a profit, after the first two rounds of losses on tradingview paper account. Now, another opportunity came up on USDCHF, again. Should I enter? I think, it is really risky. I manage to be just above breakeven on tradingview, and I made a net total of +2.8R profit on Oanda mt4 with the same trades taken, after a total of 3 trades in March 2025. Why would I continue to put myself at risk? 1st - I have exhausted USDCHF's opportunity, I feel. Reason being, I have already traded the USDCHF in the last trade, and I managed to make a profit. What are the odds of making a profit again? One might say it's 50 50, however, it isn't. The more something happens, the more unlikely it would happen the next round. That's the first. Especially when the trend and opportunity has been used up by traders who used that opportunity in the first place. Slowly, they would be looking to move their money elsewhere, to new opportunities. 2nd - Price is at a significant level of support. The support might not be the major of major on the higher time frame, but it is still significant because there might be traders who think they should take off all their profits and losses and take the opposite position instead, or new players could come in and decide to buy instead at the support area, we wouldn't know. --- The thing is, just take it and get lost. Some months you will be breakeven, or in a loss, or profit. Take it and move. If you are in a loss, and you want to try to take more trades to "max out your winrate", then you will only be maxing out your mental capital, as you see alot of "deaths" and "escapes", draining you out, and that's when you deviate from your trading technique, knowingly or unknowingly. "I have already made so many mistakes, Imma make more, just to see where it would take me to. I could always restart, because this is paper trading." Then get ready to lose in the long run, again. I have been there done there, even in my last trading entries I done that because I wanted to max out of winrate. why should I take 30 trades to make +2R when I could have taken 3 trades to make +2R? It's not to say that when you take your time, and less is more approach, you will only make +2R at the end of 30 trades, but that, why would you try to max out your win rate when you will only be depleting yourself and your time and mental capital? If you take your time, and focus on 1 to 3 trades, and take a break, you will go further, and gain more in the end, rather than trying to max out in the same amount of time, trading 10x the amount of trades. Opportunities come and go, and most of the time, you are taking the same opportunity at the same time on multiple different pairs. And that is over trading. Dividing your full profit over multiple pairs at a time range, and you wonder why it took you 30 trades to make +2R, when you could have held onto the +2R at the beginning, after taking just 3 trades. We shall see how this entry setup goes. I am not going to take it, but I want to keep myself in check with how the price is moving. This exact overtrading thing could be said on my previous trade on USDJPY. I made +2R on USDJPY, in my first trade but I lost -1R on it, on the second trade on Oanda mt4. If I held my breath under water instead of panicking, I would have been up, +3.8R now, instead of +2.8R on Oanda mt4, and I would have been up +1.004R on tradingview paper account instead of being up +0.004R only. 1547SGT 19032025