In our latest Elliott Wave analysis of Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) on the 30 minute chart, we observe a clear 5-wave impulse structure unfolding to the downside, originating from the February 5, 2025 peak. This decline aligns with the broader corrective pattern, and we believe NASDAQ:GOOGL is now in the final stages of this bearish move before a larger recovery takes shape. Let’s break down the structure and what to expect next. Wave Structure Breakdown The chart below illustrates that NASDAQ:GOOGL reached a significant high on February 5, 2025, at 209.51. From this peak, the stock initiated a 5-wave impulse decline: - Wave ((1)): The first leg down concluded at 156.72, marking a sharp initial decline from the February 5 high. - Wave ((2)): A corrective rally followed, retracing part of the decline and peaking at 171.28, completing wave ((2)) as the 30 minute chart below shows. - Wave ((3)): The decline resumed with wave ((3)), which extended lower to 150.66. - Wave ((4)): A counter-trend rally unfolded in a 3-wave structure, labeled (W)-(X)-(Y) on the chart, reaching a high of 159.23 on April 3, 2025, as indicated on the chart. This peak marked the completion of wave ((4)). - Wave ((5)): The current leg lower began after the April 3 peak at 159.23. As of the latest data on April 3, 2025, NASDAQ:GOOGL has reached 152.76, as shown on the chart, and appears to be in the final stages of wave ((5)). Current Position and Invalidation Level The chart highlights an invalidation level at 171.34 (the “RIGHT SIDE+” line in red). As long as NASDAQ:GOOGL remains below this level, the bearish outlook for wave ((5)) remains valid. With the current price at 152.76, wave ((5)) is likely approaching its conclusion soon. It should not go below 138.7, otherwise wave ((3)) will be the shortest wave. Alphabet (GOOGL) 30 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart What’s Next: A Larger 3-Wave Rally Upon the completion of wave ((5)), we expect NASDAQ:GOOGL to initiate a larger 3-wave corrective rally. This should be end a higher-degree wave b. The rally should unfold in a 3-wave pattern (A-B-C) and could target a retracement toward the 170.6 area, where prior wave ((2)) levels may act as resistance.
50-day MA: 61.94% (Notable Support Level) 200-day MA: 59.21% (Strong Support) Trend: The chart shows a bullish trend in BTC dominance since the beginning of the year, with higher lows forming. Resistance Level: A key resistance area lies around 63%, which the price is currently testing. Support Level: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages provide solid support below current levels. Update Points Short-term outlook: If BTC dominance stays above 62%, it could reach 63% resistance. Long-term indicators: Continued support at the moving averages suggests bullish sentiment if BTC can maintain its position. Market Conditions: Monitor fluctuations in altcoin performance, which could impact BTC's dominance positively or negatively. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
? Macro Context: In the wake of the Trump tariff announcement, market-wide risk aversion hit big tech hard. GOOGL is now sitting on a crucial $150 gamma support zone, where both technical and options flow converge. The market is indecisive: is this a base or a trap? ? Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Market Structure: * GOOGL has been in a consistent downtrend, rejecting lower highs. * Attempted recovery stalled at the HVL around $152.50, and now price is back down to support near $150.66. * The short-term trendline from the late March breakdown has held, acting as dynamic resistance. Key Levels: * Support: * ? $150.66 = Recent session low * ? $149 = PUT wall / breakdown risk zone * Resistance: * ? $152.50 = HVL rejection zone * ? $155 = First GEX resistance area * ? $160 = Massive Gamma Wall / Call Resistance Indicators: * Selling volume continues to be elevated. * No real sign of divergence or bottoming pattern yet, but price is coiling near a gamma pivot. ? GEX & Options Flow Analysis GEX Map (Options GEX ): * GEX: ??? — heavy short gamma positioning means dealers are sellers into strength, adding fuel to downside momentum if $150 breaks. * Highest Net Positive GEX / Call Wall sits around: * $160–162.5 = Gamma resistance cluster * Put Support: * $150–149 = Highest PUT density. A break below could trigger dealer hedging flows, accelerating losses. Options Oscillator: * IVR 75.3 → Elevated risk expectations. * IVx 40.6 avg vs 3.48% daily → Volatility is rising but hasn't spiked. * PUT$ 0% → Either the data is delayed or retail isn't hedging — could mean more downside is possible. ? Trade Scenarios ? Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Trigger: Clean break below $150.60 with volume * Target: $149 → $147.50 * Stop: Above $152.50 (tight control) * Edge: GEX confirms no real support below $149 ? Gamma Bounce Setup: * Trigger: $150 holds and price reclaims $152.50 * Target: $155 → $160 (scalp to swing) * Stop: $149 breakdown ? Summary: GOOGL is coiled at the gamma pivot zone ($150). If it breaks, the lack of strong PUT interest and dealer short gamma could trigger a fast move down to $147 or lower. On the flip side, a strong bounce and reclaim of $152.50 can open up a path toward $155–$160. ⚔️ Suggested Plays: ? Buy $150P 0DTE/2DTE on breakdown — ride momentum ? Buy $155C 1-week expiry only if $152.50 is reclaimed with strength Stay nimble — we’re in a gamma battlefield. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade your own plan, manage your risk, and stay objective.
Gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23200 level then possible sharp downside rally upto 23000 level. Any bullish side rally can face resistance at 23450 level. Expected reversal from this level. Major upside movement only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 23500 level.
? Market Context: Following the Trump tariff announcement, risk-off sentiment is dominating tech. MSFT, while usually defensive within mega-cap tech, has cracked below its short-term HVL and is now testing a key gamma pivot zone at $370, right where the PUT Support is clustered. ? Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * Price has formed a lower high and broke down from the $377.50 HVL area. * Multiple rejections near $387–390, which aligns with GEX call resistance. * It's now hugging $370, a key support level that could turn into a breakdown zone if breached. Levels: * Support: * ? $370 = PUT Support (Gamma Cluster) * ? $367.24 = recent low * ? Below $367, air pocket to $360 zone * Resistance: * ? $375 = minor supply & failed bounce spot * ? $377.50 = HVL * ? $385–390 = heavy call resistance Indicators: * Elevated selling volume on each lower high suggests distribution. * If $370 fails to hold, expect continuation toward $367 and possibly $360. ? GEX & Options Flow Analysis GEX Map: * GEX: ??? → Dealers short gamma below $375 * Put Support: * $370 = Highest Gamma PUT Support * $367.24 = Real market low from March 28–29 selloff * Call Walls: * $385–390 = Dealer sell zone * $392 = Gamma ceiling * $396 = Major rejection level from recent highs Options Oscillator: * IVR 71.2 → Traders are buying volatility, indicating fear. * IVx avg 32.3 vs IVx 3.32% → Still rising vol, near-term bearish bias * PUT$ 10% → Surprisingly low, but this could reflect late hedging, not bullishness. ? Trade Scenarios ? Bearish Breakdown: * Entry: Break and close below $370 * Target: $367 → $360 * Stop: $374 (tight risk control) * Confirmation: Watch SPY and QQQ breakdowns in sync. ? Bullish Gamma Bounce: * Entry: Hold above $370 + reclaim $375 * Target: $385 → $390 (scalp target) * Stop: Close under $369 ? Summary: MSFT is hanging by a thread — the $370 zone is the battle line. GEX shows it as a PUT-heavy support, but with dealers short gamma, any break could cascade into forced sell hedging. A bounce could trigger a dead cat rally toward $385, but bulls will need to reclaim $377.50 to make that happen. ⚔️ Trade Idea: Buy $365P (1-week expiry) if $370 breaks with volume Buy $385C only on confirmed reclaim of $377.50 + strength in QQQ This is a dealer-controlled zone, so price will likely whip around until gamma flips. Disclaimer: This breakdown is for educational purposes only. Always trade with proper risk management and do your own research.
? Macro View: The Trump tariff shock sent waves across the market, particularly hitting growth and export-sensitive sectors. While NVDA and tech names dumped earlier, TSLA showed relative strength, bouncing near its high volume node — but this could change fast. ? Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * Price bounced from ~243 back toward 260, reclaiming key HVL. * But it failed to break through the 265–285 supply zone (Gamma Wall zone). * Now sitting on 260, a key equilibrium level. Levels: * Support: * ? 260 (Current HVL zone) * ? 250 – Gamma Put Support * ? 243.36 (recent low, key for invalidation) * Resistance: * ? 280 → Call Resistance / GEX Wall * ? 285–293 → Gamma ceiling, extremely difficult to break without institutional help Indicators: * Volume spiked on rejection from 280+, suggesting profit-taking or hedging. * TSLA must hold above 260 to avoid slipping into a liquidity vacuum toward 250 or lower. ? GEX + Options Sentiment GEX Positioning: * GEX: ?? — mixed but leaning negative * Call Walls: * 280 = Gamma Wall + Call Resistance * 285 = major rejection zone * Put Walls: * 250 = key dealer support * 245 & 240 = deeper magnets if panic resumes Options Oscillator: * IVR 67 → High implied volatility rank, meaning traders are buying premium. * IVx avg 87.2 vs current IVx (-0.35%) → indicates elevated fear is still embedded. * Call$ 23.6% → neutral-to-bearish skew (not heavily bullish) ? Trade Setups ? Bearish Breakdown: * Entry: Breakdown below 260 + confirmation with volume. * Target: 250 → 243 (Put wall & previous swing low) * Stop: 266+ * Catalyst: Further macro deterioration (tariff escalation, weak futures) ? Bullish Bounce: * Entry: Bounce from 260 with reclaim of 265. * Target: 280 → 285 test (but high risk) * Stop: Close below 258 * Watch: Strength in QQQ or SPY supporting the move ? Final Thoughts: TSLA is at a tipping point. The Gamma wall at 280 caps upside unless we see an unwinding of fear. Dealers are likely short gamma below 260, and if 260 cracks, their hedging will accelerate the downside to 250–243. This is a reaction zone, not a trend zone** — trade lightly and watch for traps. ⚔️ Trade Idea: Buy 250P (1–2 week expiry) on breakdown below 260 Alt: Scalper can try 260C if market shows strong bounce and reclaim 265 with volume Neutral bias till clear break of 260 or reclaim of 265+ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Der Goldpreis liegt über 3130, gehen Sie bei niedrigem Preis long Wie gezeigt 12345 bilden Kanaländerungen bzw., und der Trend beschleunigt sich nach oben Prinzip: Trends sind abstrakt Deshalb zeichnen wir spezielle Kanallinien, um den Trend intuitiv zu spüren. Es ist ersichtlich, dass sich der durch 1-5 reflektierte Kanalwinkel ständig erweitert. Goldpreistrend spiegelt sich wider: Stimmung wird stärker Der Goldpreis droht außer Kontrolle zu geraten Konzentrieren wir uns nun auf die Analyse der beiden Dreiecksschwingungs-Konvergenzmuster AB Prinzip: Wenn die Dreieckskonvergenzschwingung endet, ist es Zeit, eine neue Richtung zu wählen Jetzt sind wir am Ende des Schocks angekommen Wir können also eine Schlussfolgerung ziehen Der Goldpreis kann jederzeit steigen oder fallen Dann besteht die bestehende Strategie darin, dem Trend zu folgen Die einfachste und effektivste Strategie ist die Verwendung von 3130 als Unterstützung Gehen Sie zum niedrigen Preis zurück und gehen Sie long Der Stop-Loss liegt bei etwa 3130 (der Stop-Loss wird entsprechend Ihrer Bestellquote und dem erfassten effektiven Preis festgelegt). Sollte der Goldpreis in Zukunft einmal explodieren, ist es sehr wahrscheinlich, dass er die 3.200-Marke durchbricht.
My brothers in stablecoin finance: It is now, for the first time in its history in public markets: the time for CRV to win. Stablecoin wars of the 2020's rage on and now commence.... Contro-Founder liquidated fully carried out on stretcher Big winners for me, but not advice. I manage my own risk and ive got my hands full
? Pattern Identified: Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) We can see a classic IHS formation on the Nifty 50 Index (4H timeframe), which is a bullish reversal pattern. ? Key Observations: ✅ Prior Downtrend: A prolonged bearish move before the pattern formation. ✅ Left Shoulder: Initial low followed by a bounce. ✅ Head: A lower low, forming the bottom of the pattern. ✅ Right Shoulder: A higher low, signaling reduced bearish pressure. ✅ Neckline Resistance: Breakout above 23,500 could confirm the pattern. ? Potential Trading Plan (For Learning Purposes Only! Not Financial Advice) ? Entry: Above neckline breakout (~23,500) ? Target: Measured move projection (~24,500-24,700) ? Stop-Loss: Below right shoulder (~22,750) ? Risk-Reward: Should be favorable (minimum 1:2) ⚠️ Important Considerations: ? Volume Confirmation: A breakout should have strong volume to be valid. ? Retest Possibility: Price may retest neckline before moving higher. ? Market Conditions: Always check global cues and sentiments before executing trades. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly! ✅
As I write this futures are sharply down to 5440 and ViX is at 40. I expect to see a short technical bounce to about 5550, being at major trendline. The wedge formation is similar to 2022. A breakout from Wedge would be sharp either way. If it holds at this level for a couple of weeks then I expect to see a bounce to 5775.I had said earlier in my vix analysis we are in 2022 mode. Market could see a relief rally only to realise that there are still many unknowns. The impact on labour market due to immigration policies, retaliation of other countries and negotiation results thereof, impact on consumer sentiments and extent of inflations due to tariff. Weakening of US dollar will only add to inflation pressure. Trump has only accelerated BRICS agenda of moving away from USD Citadel,Millennium and many other hedge fund are having liquidity problems and FED is been asked to setup a bailout fund for these crooks. They are the highest leveraged entities. A weaker market will precipitate another financial crisis. So far the financial sector hasn't been devalued liketh tech and semi's. I think their turn will come once the market have finished dealing with tech valuations. Once market gets this, it will see a sharp selloff, which is better than slow grind down over months as far as I am concerned When trump says, he doesn't care about the stock market, I think he knows it is overvalued, just like Warren Buffet did last year and sold off most his positions and now sitting on largest cash in history, waiting for it to come to his level of expectation which to to my mind cant be just 10% bat rather like 30% write off in the en, to entice savvy investors like Buffet and Michael Burry to re-enter and clean out the garbage investors like the hedge funds