1. Current Market Position: Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours. Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000. Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum. VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal. 3. On-Chain Insights: Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity. Open Interest: Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B. Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias. Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment. 4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis: Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation. Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm. Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment. 5. Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%) Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure. Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum. Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%) Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions). Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%) Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts. Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction. 6. Trading Strategies: Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management. Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000. 7. Conclusion: BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Wednesday’s Analysis Results Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/K2pcCZKA/ Buy Perspective: No buy signals were provided. Sell Perspective: The first signal for a sell was the break below the ascending trendline, as mentioned earlier. After the Asian session ended on 25.01.23, the ascending trendline was broken, triggering a sell. The price dropped by approximately 71 points after the breakdown, yielding a $1,400 profit per contract. Following Up on Yesterday’s Setup Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/1091v2YE/ The rising wedge pattern did not fully complete. Instead, the NASDAQ created a new trend in the red box, pushing even higher than the previous pattern. It eventually re-entered the pattern but has not yet confirmed a full breakout. A more conservative trading approach would be to wait for a break below the blue zone to confirm a trend reversal. NASDAQ on the 4-Hour Chart Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/TKDqZIjd/ As previously noted, the NASDAQ broke above the upper boundary of the orange box, rallying to 22093 (near the next supply zone’s upper boundary) before a pullback began. The uptrend remains intact for now. However, there are some red flags: The NASDAQ’s momentum appears to weaken, as corrections are becoming more prominent during the end of the U.S. session and in the Asian + European sessions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/UFOTQXGK/ On the daily chart, the current candle is an inside bar following three consecutive bullish candles. Key Levels: Resistance: ~22000 Support: ~21806 How today’s daily candle closes will likely play a critical role in determining the market direction for the rest of the week. Today’s Trading Strategy Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/zcqHWKK0/ Buy Recommendation: None. Reason: The price has risen significantly, and it seems prudent to observe the market for now. While the uptrend is still intact and the price could continue higher without offering clear entries (as seen yesterday), preserving your capital is just as important as making profits. Sell Recommendation: Entry: Upon breaking below the orange ascending trendline. Reason: Breaking this key trendline could signal a major shift in the market structure. If this happens, it’s unclear whether the price will test the purple resistance trendline or if a full trend reversal will occur. Regardless, entering a sell near the highs offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity. Conclusion The NASDAQ has displayed strong upward momentum but also signs of weakening, especially in the non-U.S. sessions. For buyers: Observe from the sidelines and avoid chasing the price. For sellers: Look for a trendline breakdown to enter positions near the highs, as this could signal the start of a broader reversal. Stay disciplined and focused. ?
Servus Trader das Batman Pattern wurde erfolgreich abgewehrt, da es vermutlich nicht am Top liegt. Es wartet natürlich ein weiteres größeres Batman Pattern auf uns und wenn wir das übergeordnete Bild sehen ist dies auch gut möglich... https://www.tradingview.com/x/lJIQ6WtF/ Beste Grüße, euer SwingMann
Liebe Tradingview - Community! ? Der Bitcoin-, bzw. der Kryptomarkt an sich hat gerade ein wenig mit der Schwerkraft zu kämpfen... Es gab in Sachen Krypto bisher noch kaum Bewegung von der neuen Regierung in den USA, hier fehlt es eindeutig an Zündstoff. Sollten wir beim Bitcoin den Support oberhalb $100.000 verlieren, müssen wir als nächstes mit dem POC bei $97000 rechnen. Der 50er Daily EMA kommt zur Verstärkung gerade an diesem Level rein, hier können wir im Falle eines weiteren Abverkauf mit einer nächsten Reaktion rechnen. Immerhin machen die traditionellen Märkte Grund zur Hoffnung, der Nasdaq stand gestern kaum mehr 1% von seinem Allzeithoch entfernt... Krypto-News: ? Der CEO von BlackRock, Larry Fink, hat gestern bei einem Interview für das Weltwirtschaftsforum in Davos prognostiziert, dass der Bitcoin-Kurs auf $700.000 steigen könnte. ? Er betonte die „Absicherung gegen Unsicherheiten“, die der Bitcoin darstellt. Er sei ein internationales Instrument, das Anlegern Schutz vor Währungsabwertung bietet. Er bezeichnete Bitcoin als eine „Währung der Angst“ und argumentierte, dass in Zeiten globaler Unsicherheiten die Nachfrage nach Bitcoin als Wertaufbewahrungsmittel steigen könnte. Fink erklärte zudem, dass institutionelle Investoren wie Staatsfonds zunehmend Interesse daran zeigen, Bitcoin in ihre Portfolios aufzunehmen. Er berichtete von Gesprächen mit Staatsfonds, die überlegen, 2 % bis 5 % ihrer Vermögenswerte in Bitcoin zu investieren. Sollte diese Strategie breite Akzeptanz finden, könnte dies den Kurs auf 500.000 bis 700.000 US-Dollar treiben. ? Michael Saylor hat vor zwei Tagen übrigens den nächsten Bitcoin-Kauf von MicroStrategy bekannt gegeben. 11.000 Stück sind es diesmal geworden, zu einem Durchschnittspreis von $101.200 US-Dollar. ETF-Flows: ? Es sind gestern fast 250 Millionen USD bei den Bitcoin SPOT ETFs übergestanden, ein weiteres mal ist BlackRock´s IBIT dafür zu danken. Der Fonds konnte die leichten Abflüsse seiner Marktbegleiter ausgleichen und wiedereinmal einen drauf setzen. ? Wirtschaftskalender: 14:30 —— Erstanträge zur Arbeitslosenhilfe 17:00 —— Donald Trump WEF - Rede ? Heute gibt es Business as usual für uns, wäre da nicht die Rede von Donald Trump für das Weltwirtschaftsforum in Davos. Er nimmt virtuell daran Teil, der Auftritt ist der erste internationale, seit seiner Amtseinführung. ℹ️ Mögliche Themen könnten Handelspolitik, Ukraine-Konflikt, Klimapolitik und Künstliche Intelligenz werden. Das Hauptthema des Treffens vom WEF ist dieses Jahr „Zusammenarbeit für das intelligente Zeitalter“, Technologie liegt also im Schwerpunkt des Meetings in der Schweiz. Lass uns gerne ein Abo da, wenn dir unsere Updates gefallen! ?
Was mich zu dieser Analyse bringt: -Absolut überverkauft -Verliert an Aufwärtsmomentum >Deutung auf Trendumkehr -Abwärtstrend wird eben etwas stärker nach unten Ausfallen wegen des extremen vorherigen Kurswachstums Auf Jahrelanger Sicht dennoch starker kommender Aufwärtstrend
Was mich zu dieser Analyse überzeugt sind folgende Aspekte: -Offensichtlich weiterhin intakter Abwärtstrend -Keine signifikanten News die AMD beflügeln könnten -ähnliche Kursverläufe vergleichbarer Aktien -Indikatoren lassen eine kurzweilige Fortsetzung des Abwärtstrends zu > leicht überverkauft aber noch viel Luft nach unten > Bollinger Bands weiterhin mit viel Platz zum unteren Band Aussagen ohne Gewähr.
Instagram-User:innen meldeten, dass sie nach der Amtseinführung von Donald Trump in seiner Follower-Liste gelandet seien – ohne ihm je aktiv zu folgen.
Analyis made from higher timeframes, overall downtrend of this pair. triggers and signals of moves can analysed on the 15min or lower than the 1H to know exactly what is going on. The pair is currently trading near a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple), where sellers have previously dominated. I’m waiting for a potential rejection from this area, which could be confirmed by a candlestick pattern or a clear formation, such as a double top or a strong bearish engulfing candle. If the price reacts as expected, I anticipate a break below the ascending trendline (in white), opening the path for a deeper move toward the support levels around 1.1100. This setup aligns with the idea of selling from a strong resistance zone while looking for confirmation before entering the trade. However if not, we could see a reversall of the trend Patience is key
USDJPY is signaling a potential reversal following a prolonged downtrend. A decisive bullish breakout above a key intraday resistance level suggests strong buying momentum. I expect further recovery in the market, with a potential target of 157.10 in the short term.
I have a very strong Long position Analysis... Let me explain. Starting in the Higher Time Frames. On the current weekly time frame is very simple to see that we are Bearish, but... Lets check out the Daily. Firstly I notice we have made a double top acting in my opinion as a magnet for price to sweep out. We have also have a lot more volume in this market of Buyers at the strong support area that we are in the long term. Checking out the 4H we are making strong HH's and price clearly has been making successful pushes off the Mitigation Blocks repeatedly. On the most recent push we can measure out using the Fib that price has NOT returned back into the Discount zone as of yet meaning we have spotted a nice potential setup for a long position. Looking for our ENTRY: Once again I would like to make a trade opportunity taking positions off the mitigation blocks. As long as we dont take out the Daily Strong Low im happy to take long positions. I will be keeping a close eye on Price action in this Market Good luck to all the traders the decide to follow