Looking at this chart as you can see there is a lot of demand where I have highlighted with the circles. it has came down out bounced back off the SR line. now we can wait until it hits our other SR line and wait for either retest and bounce back, or break through and carry on a bullish trend
All entries demand confirmation on M5 or M15; Snipers don't chase—they wait for the market to come to their scope; You’re not “late,” you’re loading up for a legendary entry. ? SELL ZONE ? 3045–3055 ? SL: 3065 Why: M15–H1 OB + imbalance fill from previous BOS Liquidity grab probability during London ? TP1: 3015 | TP2: 2971 | TP3: 2943 ? SELL ZONE ? 3094–3109 ? SL: 3122 Why: D1/H4 OB + unmitigated FVG + resting equal highs Textbook supply raid + swing short ? TP1: 3055 | TP2: 3015 | TP3: 2965 ? BUY ZONE ? 2965–2950 ? SL: 2948 Why: H1 demand + FVG + trendline bounce RSI recovery + bullish CHoCH M15 ? TP1: 2990 | TP2: 3022 | TP3: 3044 ? BUY ZONE ? 2922–2904 ? SL: 2890 Why: Unmitigated Daily OB + final imbalance Psychological trap zone if swept ? TP1: 2943 | TP2: 2982 | TP3: 3022 ? BUY ZONE ? 2885–2894 ? SL: 2870 Why: Breaker + extreme OB + fib 0.786 Liquidity grab scenario with high RR ? TP1: 2950 | TP2: 3000 | TP3: 3050 ? Bonus Notes ? Watch 3060–3080 – strong base area. ? Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. ? If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow. ?
That’s a very well-structured breakdown— short setup on GBP/USD from 1.28000 down to 1.25500 and 1.22700 looks well thought out, especially in the context of a bearish trend. Here’s a concise technical reinforcement and a couple of things to tighten your plan: --- Trade Overview Pair: GBP/USD Position: Short Entry: 1.28000 TP1: 1.25500 TP2: 1.22700 Suggested SL: 1.28650–1.29000 (above recent swing high or resistance zone) --- Technical Breakdown 1. Price Action & Structure: 1.25500 has been a strong pivot zone historically—if it breaks cleanly, it could accelerate toward 1.22700. Look for signs of lower highs and lower lows on the H4 and Daily charts for continuation. 2. Moving Averages: A confirmed 50/200 MA death cross on H4 or Daily would give a strong bearish confirmation. Price staying below the 50 EMA also supports short bias. 3. RSI / Momentum: RSI < 50 = bearish. RSI near 30: caution for potential short-term bounces. Look for divergence as a clue for exhaustion. --- Key Events to Watch UK Data: Watch for GDP, Services PMI, and BoE tone. Dovish BoE could accelerate the drop. US Data: Strong NFP or CPI could boost USD strength and help push toward your TPs. --- Bonus Tip – Scaling: Consider partial profit at TP1 and adjust stop to breakeven for TP2. Or use a trailing stop once TP1 hits to lock in profits if the move accelerates.
Die gestern erwähnte untere Target-Box aus H1 (siehe Link) wurde inzwischen bei ~16730 erreicht. Auch das obige Ziel bei 18579 wurde versucht auszuloten. Letztlich drehte der Nasdaq aber am Hoch vom 07.04. wieder nach unten ab. Der Nasdaq ist weiterhin gefangen in einer sehr volatilen "Angst-Range". Kurse unterhalb von 16000 sind kritisch zu beäugen, da sie schnell weiteres Abwärtspotenzial hin zu 14939 (62er Retr.) entfachen. Das große Fibo beginnend im Herbst 2022 ist gut sichtbar und hat einen bedeutenden Stellenwert. Nicht umsonst machte der Nasdaq am selbigen 50er Retr. am 07.04. zunächst kehrt. Von unten stützt also nun die 16006 als erste wichtige Instanz, für den Fall das 16330 fallen. Die Target-Box aus H1 ermöglicht kurzfristig problemlos tiefere Ziele. Von oben wiederum sind 17382 ein leichter Widerstand und darüber hinaus wäre 17925 und nicht zuletzt 18260 für heute nur sehr schwer überwindbare Ziele. Es geht heute vermutlich wieder volatil seitwärts bis abwärts. Aus meiner Sicht ist es nach wie vor eine schlechte Idee, in dieser Phase (in großen Zeiteinheiten) mit StopBuy bzw. StopSell zu arbeiten, um einen Trade zu eröffnen. Da kann man schnell auf dem falschen Fuß stehen. Solange sich keine "zollistische" Deeskalation andeutet, wären m.E. Shortversuche nach Zwischenkorrekturen zu bevorzugen. Disclaimer: Der Autor ist im Wert zum Zeitpunkt der Analyse investiert.
Gold 3030 Richtung Wasserscheide 4.9 Intraday-Handelsstrategie: Short-Positionen: Short im Bereich 3025–3030, mit striktem Stop-Loss bei etwa 3037. Ziel: 2985-2990-2970-2950 darunter. Long-Positionen: Gehen Sie im Bereich von 2970 bis 2980 Long-Positionen ein, mit einem strikten Stop-Loss bei etwa 2955. Schlüsselrisikokontrolle: 3030 Richtung Wasserscheide Technische Logik: Das 4-Stunden-Diagramm zeigt, dass sich im Bereich 3020-3028 eine Doppeltop-Unterdrückung gebildet hat und der lange obere Schatten-Crossover von gestern die Wirksamkeit des Widerstandsniveaus bestätigt hat. Nachrichten: Während die Frist für die USA, einen Zoll von 104 % auf wichtige Produkte aus dem Osten zu erheben, näher rückt, hat das Weiße Haus klargestellt, dass es vorerst keine Pläne für eine Ausnahme gibt. Zudem nehmen die Sorgen der Märkte, dass der Handelskrieg das globale Wirtschaftswachstum bremst, weiter zu. Gleichzeitig könnten ausländische Investoren, die große Mengen US-Schulden halten, ihre Anleihen verkaufen, um Zölle abzuwehren. Und da das US-Repräsentantenhaus auf Steuersenkungen drängt, geraten die langfristigen US-Schulden unter Druck. Zwar sind einige sichere Gelder in den Goldmarkt geflossen, doch wird die Intensität des Zuflusses durch den Liquiditätsdruck begrenzt. Wie in der Abbildung gezeigt: Der Goldpreis bildet eine volatile Beziehung im Bereich von 2955-3025. Die neuesten Nachrichten besagen, dass die Vereinigten Staaten einen Zoll von 104 % auf China erhoben haben. Diese Stunde wird die größte Variable für die nächsten Stunden sein. Gold befindet sich derzeit in einer mittelfristigen Anpassungsphase. Aus technischer Sicht fehlt es dem Markt derzeit an Anreizen, um den Übergang von stark zu schwach voranzutreiben, sodass es am Mittwoch und Donnerstag zu einer neuen Runde von Marktausbrüchen kommen könnte. Wie in der Abbildung dargestellt: Vierstündiger Dreieckskonvergenzschwingungsbereich. Zweitens: Wenn Sie mit einer volatilen Denkweise intraday mit Gold handeln, müssen Sie jederzeit auf eine neue Runde starker Rückgänge oder Anstiege vorbereitet sein.
What Are Smart Money Concepts? Introduction: If you’ve been trading for a while, you’ve probably noticed that sometimes the market moves in ways that just don’t make sense. You’ve got your technical analysis all set, but the market seems to go in the opposite direction. That’s where Smart Money Concepts (SMC) come in. At its core, SMC is all about understanding how big players in the market (think hedge funds, institutions, and banks) move prices. These players have massive amounts of capital and information, and they don’t trade like the average retail trader. Understanding their behavior can help you see where the market is going next before it happens. What is Smart Money? In the world of trading, smart money refers to the institutional investors who move markets with their huge orders. Unlike retail traders, who might be relying on indicators or patterns, smart money trades based on liquidity, market structure, and order flow. While retail traders are typically reacting to price movements, smart money is the one causing those moves. They’re out there seeking out places where they can accumulate positions or distribute them. The tricky part is that they’ll often make the market go in one direction just to trap retail traders and get them to take positions before flipping it back to where they wanted it to go in the first place. Key Concepts in Smart Money Trading 1. Market Structure Market structure refers to the way price moves in a trend. It’s essentially a pattern of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend. Smart money uses these patterns to their advantage. When they see the market creating a series of higher highs and higher lows, they’ll take advantage of that momentum to push prices further, knowing retail traders will follow along. But when they want to reverse the market, they’ll push it in the opposite direction, creating a market structure shift or a break of structure, which signals that the trend is over and a new one is starting. https://www.tradingview.com/x/7JGxmr7A/ 2. Liquidity Liquidity refers to the amount of orders available to be filled at different price levels. Smart money knows exactly where retail traders are likely to place their stops or buy orders. They’ll often push the price to these levels, triggering those stops and collecting the liquidity. Once that liquidity is grabbed, they’ll reverse the price and move it in the intended direction. A common way to spot liquidity is by looking for equal highs or equal lows, where traders often place their stop-loss orders. These are often areas smart money will target. https://www.tradingview.com/x/TdTVdXIR/ 3. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas on the chart where institutions have placed big orders. These are key levels that represent where price might return to later, and they can act as areas of support or resistance. Order blocks are usually found after big price moves. Institutions place these orders to either accumulate positions or offload them, and price often comes back to these levels to fill orders that were left behind. https://www.tradingview.com/x/rV55BkVq/ 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Fair value gaps, or imbalances, are price areas where the market moves quickly, leaving gaps between candlesticks. These gaps represent areas where the market has moved too fast for regular orders to fill, and price tends to return to these levels to fill the gaps. Smart money knows that these imbalances are critical areas for future price action, and they’ll use them to re-enter the market after a move has been completed. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ceVVoXZF/ Why Does Smart Money Matter? Understanding smart money concepts is like learning to think like an institution. Instead of chasing after price based on typical retail indicators, you start looking for the big moves that smart money is making. You begin to notice when the market is setting traps for retail traders, and how these large players accumulate positions before pushing price in a big way. With SMC, you stop guessing and start anticipating. By looking for liquidity zones, order blocks, and market structure shifts, you can get in sync with the big players and follow their moves, not fight them. Conclusion Smart Money Concepts are all about shifting your perspective. Instead of thinking like a retail trader looking for quick breakouts, oversold/overbought conditions, or chasing trends — start looking at the market as the big players do. Pay attention to where the liquidity is, identify key order blocks, and use market structure shifts to guide your trades. By learning to spot these key signs, you’ll stop being the one who’s trapped and start being the one who’s in sync with the smart money. Ready to trade smarter? Keep an eye on those order blocks and liquidity zones — they’re where the real money is made. Next Steps - Start practicing by reviewing charts through the SMC lens. - Keep refining your understanding of market structure, liquidity, and order blocks. - Stay patient, smart money trades aren’t about quick wins, but about positioning yourself for big moves. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like ? and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! ? Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! ?
Price waves show a possible end of 5 waves moves up, entered short. Will add more when price closed below trendline. Good luck
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