Analysis of gold market trends: The gold market showed an extremely complex trend this week. Since the plunge from the high of $2,950 last week, the market has repeatedly fallen and rebounded. It is worth noting that the gold price in the US market bottomed out and rose sharply on Friday. The US market also rose sharply after Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The US market also rose slightly on Thursday, and the US market rose strongly again yesterday. In this series of fluctuations, each time the key position is touched, it can trigger a rebound to varying degrees, which fully demonstrates the tenacious resistance of the bulls. From the analysis of the market, the gold price experienced a sharp drop on Friday, and then rebounded strongly. The daily line finally closed with a medium-sized Yin line with a lower shadow of nearly 30 US dollars. In terms of the weekly line, it presents a large Yin line pattern, and a bearish engulfing pattern appears. A Yin line directly engulfs the previous two Yang lines, and successfully ends the nine-week continuous Yang trend. The monthly line is a medium Yang line, but the upper shadow is as long as 97 US dollars. At present, the prospect of the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks is overshadowed, and the subsequent trends have attracted much attention. This is also one of the important driving factors for the rise in gold prices at the end of Friday. Looking ahead to next week, the United States will release non-agricultural data, and the eurozone will also announce interest rate decisions. In addition, US manufacturing data and the Federal Reserve Beige Book will also be released one after another, all of which will have a significant impact on the gold market. After a sharp drop in gold this week, there is a need for a rebound correction in the short term. From the monthly line, the longer upper shadow line indicates that there may be a move to fill the upper shadow line in the early stage of the decline. The bearish engulfing pattern on the weekly line and the closing of the negative line after nine consecutive weeks of gains have significantly suppressed the bulls. However, the long lower shadow of the daily line on Friday shows that there is strong support below. On the 4-hour chart, after a short-term sharp drop, it has shown a serious oversold signal, so it is bound to usher in a rebound correction. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average, which were originally used as support, have turned into pressure points for subsequent rebounds after being broken. It is expected that gold prices will face downward pressure again when they rebound and test these two moving averages. Taking all factors into consideration, the impact of Trump's tariffs has been basically digested. In the absence of new tariff news, the relevant tariff news is likely to be regarded as a factor that induces more buying. Next, the focus will be on whether there will be any new news from the U.S.-led Russia-Ukraine peace talks over the weekend, as well as the release of U.S. non-agricultural data. From a technical perspective, gold is expected to rebound before the $2835-2840 range is broken next week. If the Russia-Ukraine conflict does not deteriorate further, the overall trend of gold is expected to be mainly high and then fall, and the high-level short-selling strategy can continue to be adopted in terms of operation. However, it should be noted that if the situation between Russia and Ukraine deteriorates further, the market trend may change significantly. The upper resistance levels are $2880-2885, $2890-2895, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average; the lower support levels are $2835-2840, $2805-2810, and $2785-2770.
DXY fractal from 2017 is playing out nicely. Looks like it will retest $108 mid-March and break $106 in early April (hopefully before). This lines up perfectly with the Global M2 (12-Week Lead) liquidity injection.
Thoughts on these entries for long-term ? Uncertainty of tariff's effect on risk assets and recent token unlock have me feeling bearish, could see a little more to the downside I think before upper move. Or is the corrective move done with? Thoughts?
Ethereum (ETH) is currently in a strong bearish trend ?, but it has traded into a key support zone ? and seems overextended, in my opinion. Looking at the price action and market structure on the daily and four-hour timeframes, we’re now seeing Ethereum form higher highs and higher lows on the four-hour chart ?. While it’s still early, if we see a break above the current range high on the four-hour timeframe, there could be an opportunity for a counter-trend trade ?, targeting equilibrium ⚖️ and a previous imbalance highlighted in the video. As always, this is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice ?.
ORDI had a nice drop since the upper golden pocket, as mentioned in the previous TA. Price also had a good local drop since the last post, but bears are just about to begin. Locally I am also bearish and want to see continuation. The previous high confirmed trapped longs but buyers stepped in at the range POC. Now the price is in the same zone of the previous high with the trapped longs. The previous high had lower OBV than the beginning of the range. The current high is even having lower OBV than the previous high. Imo this is just a retest / upthrust to trap more longs into the distribution setup. Another interesting fact is that the range had the LVN (low volume node) at the top of the range above the range POC, which is a sign of weakness. That never changed but at the end of the range ones longs started to build above the range VAH (value are high). Then the LVN could have been found at the bottom of the range, below the POC. This was the first early sign for me for trapped longs even before the trapped longs of the previous high got confirmed by breaking back into the range (failed auction). We still want to see much lower.
Hedera just tested its long-term baseline support. Guess what level this support matches perfectly? You guessed right my dear friend, it is the 0.618 Fib. retracement level for the last bullish wave; Boom! What does this means? Well, if you don't know please allow me to be the one to tell you that you are a rookie, but also let me tell you that you are about to learn. We all start from scratch, from nothing, and with practice and persistence we grow. The 0.618 Fib. retracement level is a major level when it comes to Crypto. When a pair finds support at this level or near it, you can bet that prices aren't likely to move much lower. Here we have HBARUSDT weekly and the test of this support happened twice on a wick. After the support was tested, we have a move above 0.5 Fib. with a full green candle, this is simply bullish. The grey line I drew on the chart is our baseline. This level worked as support in late 2021. When this level failed HBARUSDT entered a strong bear-market. The bear-market consolidation and accumulation phase happened below. Then HBAR recovered and produced really high volume to move back above it and now, after a strong rise, the same level works as support. In short, Crypto is going up. Namaste.
Have an odd feeling that dollar will dive before it goes strong throughout the year. Orange man wish to have a weak dollar, but I doubt he'll make it.
0.786 resistance strong resistance ;) Talking now 2 March 2.20 am
Y’all ready for this crazy run? 5.5x target for etc/eth
It is the first time that MA200 gets tested as support coming off a major high since July 2024. Would you like to call for lower prices? Ok, but, when such an event happens there is always a price bounce. So we get a minimum of a move toward resistance before Bitcoin can produce a lower low. Another but. But, once the pullback is in and a new decline starts, this decline will end in a higher low rather than a lower low. That's just my speculative opinion of course and we cannot trade, move nor take action based on speculation. We can do take action based on price action and the signals coming from the charts. The rise that is starting now can have an initial, short-term target, of around $94,000 to $97,000. That's just to start. Depending on how this level is handled we can consider the rest. We are going up though, but I am giving you the benefit of the doubt, I am staying open to all scenarios, even though market dynamics are as clear as day. What is your opinion about all of this? If you agree, leave a comment. If you disagree, leave two comments, a follow and a boost. Thanks a lot for your continued support. See you at the top. We are winners now, tomorrow, yesterday and forever more. Thank you for reading. Namaste.