ACHC – 30-Min Long Trade Setup ?? ? Asset: ACHC – Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (NASDAQ) ? Timeframe: 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Bullish Breakout (Trendline Break + Momentum Shift) ? Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $29.55 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $28.68 (Key Support Level) ? Take Profit Targets (TPs) ? TP1: $30.95 (Previous Resistance Zone) ? TP2: $32.48 (Breakout Level & Strong Resistance) ? TP3: $35.00 (Major Resistance & Psychological Level) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation ? Risk (SL Distance): $29.55 - $28.68 = $0.87 risk per trade ? Reward to TP1: $30.95 - $29.55 = $1.40 (1:1.6 R/R) ? Reward to TP2: $32.48 - $29.55 = $2.93 (1:3.3 R/R) ? Reward to TP3: $35.00 - $29.55 = $5.45 (1:6.3 R/R) ✅ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio, strong breakout potential toward TP3 ? Technical Analysis & Strategy ? Trendline Breakout: Price has broken above a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum. ? Key Resistance Flip: $30.95 is a critical breakout level; reclaiming it strengthens the setup. ? Squeeze Momentum Shift: Histogram turning blue, indicating increasing bullish pressure. ? Volume Confirmation Needed: Look for high buying volume above $29.55 to confirm strength. ? Trade Execution & Risk Management ? Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong buying pressure before entering above $29.55. ? Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to break-even ($29.55) after hitting TP1 ($30.95). ? Partial Profit Booking Strategy ✔ Take 50% profits at TP1 ($30.95) and let the rest run toward TP2 & TP3. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($29.55) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Risks & Considerations ❌ Fake Breakout Risk: If the price falls back below $29.55, exit early. ❌ Confirmation Required: Wait for a 30-min candle close above $29.55 before entering. ? Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Strong upside potential. ✔ Trendline Break + Squeeze Shift – High confluence setup. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:6.3 toward TP3. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #ACHC #Stocks #Breakout #TradingView #ProfittoPath ??
? NIFTY Trading Plan – 21-Mar-2025 ? Reference Price: 23,190 (Close on 20-Mar-2025) ? Chart Structure: Price is nearing exhaustion at highs, so we need to observe for either continuation or reversal from resistance zones. ? Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points) ? Expected Open Zone: 23,270 – 23,330 ? If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 23,270: Watch for price action near 23,345 , marked as the last strong intraday resistance . If you see rejection (like wick rejections or bearish engulfing on 5m/15m), consider initiating short positions with a stop loss above 23,370. On clean breakout and sustained move above 23,345, target the Profit Booking Zone: 23,407–23,445+ . Be cautious chasing longs on a gap-up unless price consolidates and confirms breakout. ? Key Tip: Don't short just because it's a gap-up. Let the candle give confirmation through rejection patterns. ? Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening ? Expected Open Zone: 23,150 – 23,190 ? In case of flat to mild gap open: Watch 23,185 as the immediate Opening Resistance / Support . If price sustains above 23,185 with strength, you can look for a long entry targeting 23,345 and beyond. However, if price struggles and fails to cross 23,185 with rejection patterns, short toward 23,068 and 22,994. Breakdown below 23,068 may accelerate profit booking till the lower zone of 22,994–22,882. ? Key Tip: The first 15–30 mins are crucial. Avoid rushing into trades. Use the breakout-retest model for safer entries. ? Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points) ? Expected Open Zone: 23,050 – 22,950 ? If Nifty opens with a significant gap-down: Observe price action near Opening Support Zone: 23,068 – 22,994 . If bulls defend this zone with strong reversal patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing), it could be a dip-buying opportunity. Below 22,994, next major support lies at 22,882 . Breakdown of this zone could trigger sharp fall. Avoid shorting after a gap-down unless 22,882 breaks convincingly. ? Key Tip: Never knife-catch a falling market. Let the base build before entering reversal trades. ? Risk Management Tips for Options Traders ? Use defined risk trades: Prefer vertical spreads (bull call/bear put) instead of naked options. Avoid buying OTM options post 11:00 AM unless momentum is strong. Always risk less than 2% of your capital per trade. Trail your stop loss once the trade moves in favor to protect capital. Don't overtrade – quality setups > quantity. ✅ Summary & Conclusion: ? Nifty is trading near crucial resistance levels. ? 23,345 remains the make-or-break zone for bulls. ? Support zones: 23,068 → 22,994 → 22,882 ? React to price action at key zones rather than predicting it. ? Let the first 15–30 minutes settle before jumping into trades for optimal RR setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades based on this plan. Risk wisely and trade with discipline. ?
? Market Recap: On Thursday, BankNifty opened gap-up, dipped to a low of 49,771.65, and then rallied to a high of 50,155.30, penetrating deep into the Daily Supply Zone (49,703.10 - 50,641.75). It closed at 50,062.85, gaining 360 points over the previous close. ? Trend Analysis: Weekly Trend (50 SMA): Turned sideways from negative, but confirmation depends on Friday’s close. Daily Trend (50 SMA): Sideways. ? Demand/Support Zones Near Demand/Support (15m): 49,394.40 - 49,546.60 Near Demand/Support (15m): 49,249.15 - 49,309.55 Far Demand/Support (75m): 48,908.20 - 49,125.55 Far Demand/Support (125m): 48,288.30 - 48,481.35 Far Support: Around 47,850 (Multiple Daily Chart supports) Far Support: 46,077.85 (Low of 4th June 2024) Far Demand/Support (Daily): 44,633.85 - 45,750.40 ? Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance (Daily): 49,703.10 - 50,641.75 (Currently trading inside) Far Supply/Resistance (Weekly): 50,485.05 - 51,979.75 (Tested once) Far Supply/Resistance (Weekly): 52,264.55 - 53,775.10 ? Outlook: BankNifty is now inside a major Daily Supply Zone, making this a key resistance area to watch. If price sustains above 50,641, we could see a continuation toward the Weekly Supply Zone at 51,979. However, failure to break this zone could trigger a retracement toward 49,400 - 49,250. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in the stock market involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this analysis.
? Stocks Fall as Fed Rally Fades ? U.S. stocks declined on Thursday, reversing gains from the previous session after the Federal Reserve maintained its outlook for two rate cuts in 2025. ? Market Movement: ✅ Tesla fell 1% premarket, extending its March losses to nearly 20%. ✅ Alphabet and other tech stocks saw losses of around 1%. ✅ Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) also dipped by 1%. ? Gold Making Potential Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern ? Gold (XAU/USD) peaked at $3,057 after breaking the psychological $3,000 level. However, momentum is fading, and a potential bearish Head and Shoulders pattern is forming. ? Levels to Watch: Neckline Support: $3,025 – A decisive break below this level could signal further declines. Bearish Targets: ✅ $3,005 ✅ $2,993 ✅ $2,980 ? Outlook: A confirmed pattern breakdown could accelerate selling pressure.( $2960-$2940 Range) Failure to break the neckline may see gold remain range-bound or attempt a rebound.($3060-$3080 Range ) ? Traders should stay cautious and monitor technical signals for potential price shifts! ??
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