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? BUY bei Gold (XAU/USD) Einstiegspunkt: 2.913 (aktueller Bereich nach Breakout) Stop-Loss (SL): 2.895 (aggressiver SL unterhalb der letzten Unterstützungszone) Take-Profit 1 (TP1): 2.933 (oberer Widerstand aus H4) Take-Profit 2 (TP2): 2.948 (nächster Cluster-Widerstand im Daily) Wahrscheinlichkeit für TP1 nach Breakout: 78 % Wahrscheinlichkeit für TP2 nach TP1: 65 % Begründung: Starker impulsiver Ausbruch aus der Range über 2.903 und 2.912. Doppelboden im Bereich 2.865/2.885 bestätigt. H1 und H4 Kerzen zeigen klare bullishe Struktur, Higher High wurde gerade gebildet. Volumenanstieg bestätigt den Ausbruch. Pullback auf 2.903 würde den Buy bestätigen, solange er hält. Wichtig: Falls Gold unter 2.902 fällt und dort schließt, wird das Setup invalidiert und wir drehen zurück auf Short-Szenario.
H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Lp1mXWl/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/IAalMZrc/
BTC Crab to 129k. Point C could come a little lower but IMO i think the lower high is in.
Well, here we go again—another CME gap filled like clockwork. On Friday, BTC closed at $85.7K on CME, only to open on Monday with a big jump at $94.5K, leaving a massive weekend gap. And what happened next? Within the next 24 hours, the price fully covered the gap, even dropping further down to $82.8K before stabilizing. ? Statistics Historically, these gaps have shown a high tendency to be filled, with studies indicating that approximately 95% of CME gaps eventually close. ? Why does this happen? CME gaps occur because the Bitcoin futures market on CME is closed during weekends, while crypto trades 24/7. When CME reopens on Monday, price often corrects to “fill” the gap left between Friday’s close and Monday’s open. ? What’s next? Now that the gap is filled, we’ll have to see if bulls can regain momentum or if we get another leg down before continuation. Watching the next key levels! Stay sharp!
OANDA:XAUUSD market has broken above the key level of 2900 and is heading toward higher highs. Looking back, we can see that it previously consolidated around this level, suggesting that the price may move sideways in this zone, forming a range. It appears that the price is positioned to retest the area above the double top and potentially previous month high. I think the price may revisit the resistance zone of 2940-2950. I expect it to break through the upper boundary of the channel and retest the middle of the consolidation zone. My goal is resistance zone around 2942 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ??
Brent Crude Price Breaks Key Support Level Today, Brent crude is sliding towards the psychological $70 per barrel mark, with the XBR/USD chart showing a break below a key support level (marked in blue) that had been holding since autumn last year. Why Is Brent Crude Falling? The bearish sentiment in the market is driven by OPEC+’s decision to increase oil production, contrary to analysts’ expectations that existing output cuts—designed to support prices—would remain in place. According to the Wall Street Journal, analysts now predict: → Oil production will rise by 137,000 barrels per day from April 2025 to September 2026. → Brent crude may drop below $70 per barrel. https://www.tradingview.com/x/rqbf6jg8/ Technical Analysis of XBR/USD From a long-term perspective, Brent crude is forming a descending channel (marked in red), connecting the April and July 2024 peaks. The break below this support level could signal a renewed downtrend following a prolonged period of consolidation. If XBR/USD sees a short-term recovery from its yearly lows, key resistance levels to watch include: → The midline of the descending channel. → The former support level (marked in blue). Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Plotting all the previous trade tariffs against the SPY
This chart represents USD/JPY using Elliott Wave analysis: Wave 2 correction is complete: Price has retraced and found support. Bullish setup: A strong wave 3 rally is expected to follow. Potential upside: The market is positioned for an impulsive move toward higher levels. ? For more Elliott Wave insights, visit ElliottWaveUnite.com ?
BTCUSDT Spot Buy cycle Tp@108913 % bubble Price in a negative bubble and the midterm fair value is at 108913. Spot trading plan: Entry 1: 76239 Entry 2: 65348 Entry 3: 54456 TP@108913