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I see a nice positive reaction from buyers at an important daily support level on the ?USDJPY chart. Following a test of the highlighted blue zone, the price began to consolidate and formed a tiny horizontal range on the daily timeframe. The resistance if the range was broken, indicating strong buying momentum. We anticipate further bullish movement, with a target of at least 151.51.
Expecting next daily candle on Monday to be a green candle.
**Timeframes Covered:** - **30-Minute (M30)** - **1-Hour (H1)** - **4-Hour (H4)** - **Daily (D1)** **Key Observations Across Timeframes:** **1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis:** - **Short-term:** (M30, H1) Price is trading near **equilibrium (~189.600 - 189.800)** with minor bullish structure. - **Mid-term:** (H4) Price is rejecting from a previous **liquidity zone**, but still inside a bearish structure. - **Long-term:** (D1) Overall, **GBPJPY is still bearish** with price bouncing from the **discount zone (188.000 - 187.500)** but failing to break above **key resistance (190.500 - 191.000).** **2. Supply & Demand Zones:** - **Premium Zone (~190.500 - 193.000):** Strong supply zone, price may reject if it reaches this level. - **Discount Zone (~187.500 - 186.500):** Strong demand zone where price recently found buyers. - **Equilibrium (~189.600 - 189.800):** Price is currently consolidating, meaning market is undecided. **3. Liquidity Areas & Key Levels:** - **Previous Daily High (PDH ~190.000) & Previous Weekly High (PWH ~192.000):** These levels may act as liquidity magnets. - **Previous Weekly Low (PWL ~187.500):** If price drops, this will be the next area of interest for liquidity. - **Weak High near 190.500:** If price struggles here, expect a reversal. --- **Probability-Based Scenarios:** **1. Bullish Scenario (Move Towards 190.500 - 192.000)** - **Probability: 50%** - **Reasons:** - Short-term bullish momentum (M30 & H1) suggests price might push toward the **premium zone (190.500 - 192.000).** - If price **breaks and holds above 189.800**, it could push higher. - Liquidity above **PDH (190.000) could be a target** before a potential rejection. **2. Bearish Scenario (Drop Below 188.500 Towards PWL)** - **Probability: 50%** - **Reasons:** - **H4 & D1 remain bearish**, meaning a continuation of the downtrend is still possible. - If price **fails to hold above 189.600**, expect a move lower towards **188.500 or even 187.500 (PWL).** - The **0.618 Fibonacci level (190.626) is acting as strong resistance.** **Final Thoughts & Trade Plan:** - **Market is currently in a neutral zone (50/50 probability)**, meaning it can go either way. - **Key Confirmation Levels:** - **Above 189.800:** Bullish towards **190.500 - 192.000**. - **Below 189.600:** Bearish towards **188.500 - 187.500**.
With the price showing signs of exhaustion and resistance forming around the gap's high, a short entry could be ideal as momentum fades. A move back towards the gap’s origin and potential support levels would be the target, with careful risk management in place. If the market continues to show weakness, this gap-up move could quickly reverse, offering a solid opportunity to take advantage of the pullback.
The weekly chart for ETH/USDT shows Ethereum trading within a descending triangle structure, with the lower support trend line indicating potential price stability around the $2,400 level. The upper resistance line is seen near $3,600. Currently, the price is at around $2,445, having recently declined by around 2.89%. The chart suggests potential upward movement if the price breaks above the resistance line, which could test the previous highs. Key Levels to Keep an Eye on: If Ethereum can break the resistance, the bullish momentum could strengthen; conversely, a drop below the support could indicate a bearish trend ahead. It will be important to monitor volume and market sentiment for the next action. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Chart Analysis: Major Event: "March 3, 2025 - Trump Announces USA Strategic Crypto Reserve" is annotated on the chart. Price Action: Sharp drop followed by consolidation around $90,000. Support Zone: Appears to be a 3-month support zone around $89,256. Long Term: Bullish https://x.com/TradeConsults | https://www.facebook.com/tradingconsults/
Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 150.04, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 151.15, which is a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 148.96, which is a multi-swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
The overall trend is bullish, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The price has been moving in a cyclical wave pattern, with corrections followed by strong upward movements. Possible Scenarios for March 2025 Bullish Case: If Gold follows its past pattern, it could retest the 3000-3030 level. Bearish Case: Break below 2820 will lead a deeper correction might bring it back to 2770 or lower before another rally.