Key Observations from GEX Chart 1. Call Resistance: * Key resistance levels are observed at $420 and $415, with a strong gamma wall acting as a potential rejection zone. 2. Put Support: * The strongest support is near $405, aligning with a high concentration of negative gamma exposure. Below this, $400 serves as additional support. 3. Gamma Pivot Zone: * $412.50 acts as a pivotal point. Holding above this level could lead to a bullish continuation, while rejection might favor bears. 4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): * IVR at 29.8, indicating relatively low implied volatility, making option premiums affordable for directional trades. 5. Implied Volatility (IVx): * IVx at 25.1, with a decline of -4.2%, reflects reduced uncertainty in the market. Option Trading Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If MSFT breaks and sustains above $415: * Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $415 (Buy Call) * Strike 2: $425 (Sell Call) * Expiry: 2-3 weeks out. * Reasoning: This setup aims to capitalize on a breakout above resistance with a defined risk-reward ratio. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If MSFT rejects $412.50 or breaks below $405: * Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $410 (Buy Put) * Strike 2: $400 (Sell Put) * Expiry: 2-3 weeks out. * Reasoning: Targets downside momentum toward the $400 support level. 3. Neutral Strategy: * For expected consolidation between $405 and $420: * Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor. * Sell Put: $405 * Buy Put: $400 * Sell Call: $420 * Buy Call: $425 * Reasoning: Profits from time decay within the identified range while limiting risk. Thoughts and Insights * Critical Levels: * Support: $405, $400 * Resistance: $415, $420 * Momentum Shift: A break above $415 confirms bullish sentiment, while a fall below $405 could attract more selling pressure. * Volatility Context: Low IVR suggests cheaper option premiums, suitable for initiating directional trades or range-bound strategies. Reminder: GEX data updates every 15 minutes. Always refer to real-time data for precise trading decisions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk effectively when trading.
Almost 35%+ corrected from Top Line: 1641, There are good buildup showing in 1day chart frame from bottom line 1034... Keep it on radar, it will surely blast in few weeks... Strong fundamental and Q3FY25 result was excellent..
GBPAUD 4H Timeframe Analysis Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, price remains in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. We observed a retest of two minor key support levels at 1.9900 and 1.9980, followed by a breakout above the minor key resistance at 2.0060. However, this breakout turned out to be a false move, as price retraced, hunting buy stop losses placed within the liquidity zone. Price Action Expectation: Now, price is attempting to break the minor key resistance again at 2.0060. Since liquidity has already been formed, our objective is to wait for a confirmed break of this level. Once that happens, we will place a buy stop order at 2.0070, with: Stop Loss (SL): 1.9963 Take Profit (TP): 2.0285 This setup aligns with the overall uptrend and liquidity formation, giving us a strategic entry point once confirmation is established. Fundamental Outlook: GBP: Strengthened by positive UK economic data and potential Bank of England rate hikes, supporting GBP demand. AUD: Weighed down by slower economic growth in China and a potential slowdown in RBA tightening, making the AUD weaker. Risk Sentiment: A risk-off environment could benefit GBP over AUD due to the latter's sensitivity to global market sentiment. Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risks. Always consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Simply put, yes , the Fed has appeared to switch its position on the FRED:FEDFUNDS remaining flat and are expecting further rate cuts. So what can we hypothesize the market's reaction will be? Well, you guessed it, the market will probably like the news and cash will flow into "risk-on" assets including crypto assets and, of course, stocks. Furthermore, we can infer that the market is not currently pricing in any rate cuts and we have yet to see a TRUE correction specifically in the TVC:DJI , TVC:NDQ , and the $SP:SPX. https://www.tradingview.com/x/H1SHGQeW/ The image above shows an example of the 200 EMA significance and how it can be used to buy the dip at the right timing. PLEASE do not try to buy each top and bottom as it's virtually impossible to perfectly time the market. However, it should be suggested that you buy the day after the underlying bounces off the EMA. This is the most effective way to avoid a "fake out" in the trend. When this EMA it touched and rebounded, it could imply that a correction has taken place and that momentary downtrend is about to reverse to continue its previous bull trend. This could look as shown below. https://www.tradingview.com/x/AHovwEUY/ Just because it is shown on the chart doesn't make it so. Please keep in mind an equal and opposite possibility, where the EMA is broken through and a Bear market begins. Even though the odds for this are less than likely, the market simply not getting a rate cut could lead to this situation becoming a reality. In this market, nothing is impossible so be ready for everything. https://www.tradingview.com/x/y7G6rhpa/ In conclusion, prepare for rate cut from not only the Fed, but ECB, and Bank of England as well. With this, we can expect rising markets as cash moves its way into risk assets. However, no one is a visionary, so if the markets don't get what they want (and we all know that it wants rate cuts more than anything), expect a lowering market and prepare to exit positions until a rebound appears reasonable.
Key Observations from GEX Chart 1. Call Resistance: * Key resistance is at $420, with additional resistance at $412.5. Breaking through these levels could trigger further bullish momentum. 2. Put Support: * The highest negative gamma support level lies at $365, which serves as a critical support. Below this, additional support is visible at $350. 3. Gamma Pivot Zone: * $390 acts as a pivotal zone, balancing calls and puts. Holding above this level strengthens bullish sentiment, while breaking below could lead to bearish activity. 4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): * IVR at 44.4 indicates moderate implied volatility, suggesting a balanced risk-reward setup for option traders. 5. Implied Volatility (IVx): * IVx at 62.7, coupled with a decrease of -9.58%, indicates a reduction in market uncertainty, favoring directional trades with lower premium costs. Option Trading Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If TSLA sustains above $390: * Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $390 (Buy Call) * Strike 2: $410 (Sell Call) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Aims to capitalize on potential upside to resistance at $412.5. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If TSLA breaks below $390: * Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $390 (Buy Put) * Strike 2: $370 (Sell Put) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Targets downside movement toward $365 support. 3. Neutral Strategy: * For consolidation between $365 and $410: * Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor. * Sell Put: $365 * Buy Put: $360 * Sell Call: $410 * Buy Call: $415 * Reasoning: Captures premium within the expected range while capping risk. Thoughts and Insights * Momentum Check: Holding $390 is crucial for bullish continuation. A breakdown below $365 may trigger accelerated bearish momentum. * Volatility Context: Moderate IVR and declining IVx support directional trades with manageable premium costs. * Key Levels to Monitor: * Support: $390, $365 * Resistance: $412.5, $420 Reminder: GEX data updates every 15 minutes. Always monitor real-time data to adjust your trading plan accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and ensure proper risk management when trading.
Key Observations from GEX Chart 1. Call Resistance: * Significant call resistance at $250, with additional resistance at $240. These levels act as major upside barriers for AAPL unless there is a strong bullish catalyst. 2. Put Support: * The highest negative gamma concentration is seen at $220, providing solid support. Breaking below this level could signal further bearish momentum. 3. Gamma Pivot Zone: * $230 appears to be the gamma pivot point, where the balance between calls and puts shifts. Sustaining above this level indicates bullish sentiment, while dropping below could lead to bearish pressure. 4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): * IVR at 42.8 shows moderate implied volatility, suggesting balanced opportunities for both buyers and sellers of options. 5. Implied Volatility (IVx): * IVx at 29.9, coupled with a decrease of -3.78%, indicates relatively stable volatility, favoring directional trades with lower premiums. Option Trading Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If AAPL holds above $230: * Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $230 (Buy Call) * Strike 2: $240 (Sell Call) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Targets the resistance at $240 while limiting costs. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If AAPL breaks below $230: * Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $230 (Buy Put) * Strike 2: $220 (Sell Put) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Aims to capitalize on downside momentum toward $220 support. 3. Neutral Strategy: * For consolidation between $220 and $240: * Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor. * Sell Put: $220 * Buy Put: $215 * Sell Call: $240 * Buy Call: $245 * Reasoning: Captures premium within a well-defined range while capping risk. Thoughts and Insights * Momentum Check: Holding $230 is key for any bullish continuation. Breaking below $220 may lead to bearish acceleration. * Volatility Context: The moderate IVR supports flexible strategies, while the IVx drop suggests reduced risk of unexpected price swings. * Key Levels to Monitor: * Support: $230, $220 * Resistance: $240, $250 Reminder: GEX data updates every 15 minutes. Always check real-time data for adjustments before executing trades. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before trading.
⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The US 10-year Treasury yield declines by 1.5 basis points to 4.537%, while real yields, measured by 10-year TIPS, remain steady at 2.095%. Meanwhile, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for January climbs to 50.9, exceeding expectations of 49.8 and improving from December’s 49.2, signaling stronger business activity. A deeper look into the data reveals rising input costs, with the prices paid sub-index increasing from 52.5 to 54.9. Additionally, the employment index jumps from 45.4 in December to 50.3, indicating improved labor conditions in the sector. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is maintaining above $2800, long-term uptrend, fomo from the market creating ATH has not stopped ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: ? SELL GOLD zone: $2843 - $2845 SL $2850 TP1: $2838 TP2: $2830 TP3: $2820 ? SELL GOLD zone: $2829 - $2831 SL $2834 scalping TP1: $2824 TP2: $2818 TP3: $2810 ? BUY GOLD zone: $2772 - $2770 SL $2765 TP1: $2780 TP2: $2790 TP3: $2800 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE : Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
H5 Trade of the Week: NASDAQ:CRWD Check it out ? Not financial advice
Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44,589.66, which aligns with a strong resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 44,078.74, near a previous support level, where price may find buying interest. The stop loss is placed at 44,913.22, above the previous swing high and above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Key Observations from GEX Chart 1. Call Resistance: * Strong call resistance at $210, indicated by the highest positive gamma concentration. This level is likely to act as a ceiling unless there's a strong bullish breakout. 2. Put Support: * Significant put support is observed at $185, with additional support near $180. These levels are critical for maintaining bullish momentum. 3. Gamma Pivot Zone: * $200 appears to be the gamma flip zone, where the gamma exposure transitions between negative and positive. Holding above this level suggests bullish sentiment, while falling below could signal bearish pressure. 4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): * IVR at 61 indicates moderately high implied volatility, presenting an opportunity for premium-selling strategies. 5. Implied Volatility (IVx): * IVx at 45.8 suggests stable volatility expectations, which may favor directional or neutral strategies depending on the market structure. Option Trading Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If GOOGL sustains above $200: * Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $200 (Buy Call) * Strike 2: $205 (Sell Call) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Targets the resistance at $205 while reducing cost and risk. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If GOOGL fails to hold $200: * Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $200 (Buy Put) * Strike 2: $195 (Sell Put) * Expiry: 1-2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Aims to capture downside movement toward the next support at $195. 3. Neutral Strategy: * For a range-bound movement between $195 and $205: * Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor. * Sell Put: $195 * Buy Put: $190 * Sell Call: $205 * Buy Call: $210 * Reasoning: Captures premium within the expected range while limiting risk. Thoughts and Insights * Momentum Assessment: The $200 level is critical for maintaining bullish momentum. A breakout above $205 could open the door to $210. * Volatility Context: Moderately high IVR suggests that premium-selling strategies like Iron Condors could be effective. * Key Levels to Monitor: * Support: $195, $185 * Resistance: $205, $210 Reminder: GEX data updates automatically every 15 minutes. Always check real-time data before making trading decisions to ensure accuracy and adjust for any new developments. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and risk management before trading.