?Sound on!? ?Make sure to watch fullscreen!? Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
NASDAQ is currently reacting to a major support zone, aligning with the Elliott Wave structure. Based on this analysis, we are in the midst of a Wave 4 pullback, which is expected to complete soon. Once Wave 4 finds its base, we anticipate a strong impulsive move to the upside—Wave 5—pushing us toward a new all-time high (AHT). ? Watching for confirmation of support holding before entering long. ? Targeting a continuation toward new highs following the completion of this corrective phase.
? My Market Probabilities: ? 1⃣ 15% chance of a V-Shape recovery with a bottom at $410–$425 2⃣ 45% chance of a COVID-like Flash Crash resolving at $385–$400 3⃣ 33% chance of a 2022-level bear market down to $330–$350 4⃣ 5% chance of a 2008-level crash hitting $250–$260 5⃣ 2% chance of a crazy Dot.com-level crash dropping to $90–$110 ? No matter which scenario unfolds, it’s a blessing in disguise! These dips create incredible opportunities to invest in great companies or indexes like the AMEX:SPY or NASDAQ:QQQ paving the way for massive, life-changing wealth over the years and decades to come. ? Think long-term as an investor, friends, and stay focused on the bigger picture!
Arrows show possbile pattern candle can make Entry will be at the break and retest of trendline or wait to confirm bounce of the trendline.
On my last Idea Post i was anticipating for CADJPY to drop to the March's Monthly Low, Now that I've analyze more in depth i do believe CADJPY is gonna have a Meltdown and Price is gonna start trading between 100. and 90. Levels, The reason of this is because if we look at the CADJPY charts specifically the Monthly Timeframe chart we can see price rejected a Mayor Level ( 112.500 ) with a lot of sellers coming in after the break of the level, now with time price was hesitant to break back above 112.500 until the monthly candle closure of February, confirming a Shift in Mayor Market Structure to the Downside creating a Lower High, not only the market did a Lower High but also printed a beautiful H&S Pattern and a FIB set up and combining the H&S Pattern with the FIB most likely Price will fall to the 61 ext. ( 92.000 level ) giving us more confluences that price will have a mayor drop on the Long Term, if we factor in News and Data, its also pointing out that CAD hasn't have bullish data being released from its latest news data and now with President Trump and his Tariff Proposal/Plan i do believe it is not gonna go very well for the CAD.
Apple Inc. (NYSE:$ AAPL) faced a massive sell-off on Thursday, April 4th 2025, with its stock closing at $188.38, down $14.81 (7.29%). This marked Apple’s worst trading day since March 2020. The steep drop came after former President Donald Trump announced a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading partners. As a result, Apple’s market capitalization fell by more than $310 billion in a single day. These newly imposed tariffs, effective April 9th, include a 10% blanket duty on all imports, with higher rates applied to specific countries. China, Apple’s primary manufacturing hub, will face a combined 54% tariff—34% newly imposed, added to an existing 20% rate. Other affected regions include the European Union (20%), Vietnam (46%), Taiwan (32%), and India (26%). Analysts consider Apple especially vulnerable to these policies due to its heavy reliance on overseas production, especially in China, where nearly 85% of iPhones are manufactured. According to Dan Ives of Wedbush, future exemptions to these tariffs may depend on Apple’s efforts to localize its operations within the U.S., a move hinted at by the company earlier this year. However, no details have been confirmed regarding whether Apple’s U.S. expansion plans will qualify for tariff relief. The timing of the policy combined with Apple’s exposure to international supply chains, led to a bear shift in market. Technical Analysis: Apple Breaks Below Key $197 Support Apple’s price action shows an impulsive breakdown below the key $197 strong support level. The price is currently trading around $188, trading towards next support at $167 as the immediate support. A drop below $167 could push the stock lower to a long-term support around $125, which was lastly retested in Dec 2022. On the upside, any recovery would first need to reclaim the broken support at $197, which now acts as resistance. The all-time high around $260 remains far away from reach unless the overall stock market sentiment improves. Looking ahead, the chart outlines two likely scenarios. In the bullish case, Apple may find support around $167, bounce back and attempt to break above $197, possibly re-establishing it as a support zone. In the bearish case, failure to hold $167 could push the stock lower to test $125, and if that level breaks, the price may continue downward. The current market outlook suggests a wait-and-see approach, to what happens at key level, as both macroeconomic news and technical levels continue to drive Apple stock lower.
Price reacted strongly from the highs, showing signs of a shift in momentum. Watching the green zone closely—it’s an area of interest where the market might reveal its next intention. As long as the higher structure holds, there’s still room for continuation. No need to rush—sometimes, the best trades are the ones that come to you. Plan with patience. Let price lead. #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexForecast #MarketStructure
Waiting for a pullback to the demand zone around 1.72, aligned with the golden cross (50 EMA crossing above 200 EMA). Looking for a bullish bounce from the zone targeting the previous high near 1.96. Setup confirms momentum shift and potential continuation.
Friday drop came about a hair length from invalidating my current count. But a strong reversal is keeping it intact still. We do not have a full 5 waves moves up to confirm a wave 1 yet. So, it is possible that Monday might sell off again and invalidate this count. If we lose the minor degree wave 2, then it will mean the Intermediate wave 2 is still on going. It will also mean there will be 2 more waves to complete a five waves move for wave C to the downside. Right now, market will need to prove the bottom, even though I nibbled in again at the low. I have a stop loss right at the $6.4 bottom if market decides to go down for some more. To have any confidence for a real reversal, we need to see price break above $8.24. Markets are very emotional and highly volatile. But Bitcoin is showing something out of character that is more aligned with its ethos rather than acting as a rick on asset. It could be history in the making, but now is too early to tell. If Bitcoin does become the safe haven asset to hide from recession as it was indented to do, then RIOT and other miners will surely benefit from it.
FUNUSDT(FUNToken) Daily timeframe range. while other alts going banana this thing doing pretty well till now. continuous push till 0.010245 which is local resistance. if it can have a confirm close above 0.006676 it will retrace back to 0.010245.