Hi friends, Today, we analyzed the TON chart in the Daily time frame. As marked on the chart, we had an important support level at the price of $4.63, which was broken two months ago. It had a short squeeze and later, with the news of Paul Dorov, it had a good recovery, which failed to activate the daily V pattern. Also, we have a daily resistance trend line that has rejected the price multiple times. With current price action, we have a good level for shorting it below $3.33.
Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 40540 Resistance Level 2: 41000 Resistance Level 3: 42000 Support Level 1: 38940 Support Level 2: 38175 Support Level 3: 37320 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 18435 Resistance Level 2: 18800 Resistance Level 3: 19580 Support Level 1: 17680 Support Level 2: 17300 Support Level 3: 17000 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation. The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,238 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary. As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary. Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support. Key Level: 3090 This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level. Bullish Scenario: A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term. Bearish Alternative: A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945. Conclusion: Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
This idea shall focus on the behavior and structure of PL Dot Shapes, which are crucial in identifying market trends, congestion phases, and potential reversals. Let's deep dive on how to interpret PL Dot formations and recognize patterns that signal market movements. 1. Understanding PL Dot Behavior - Trend: PL Dots form a straight line, indicating a clear market direction. A trend stops when the market enters congestion. https://www.tradingview.com/x/tECTL1dk/ - Congestion: PL Dots move horizontally or “snake” sideways, signaling indecision or balance between buyers and sellers. https://www.tradingview.com/x/NPy3GvWa/ - Higher Time Period (HTP) Influence: PL Dots from the HTP influence those in the Lower Time Period (LTP). Inconsistencies between them may indicate no clear pattern. - Dot Distance: Refers to the vertical price difference between consecutive PL Dots. - Increasing Dot Distance: Indicates trend continuation or strength. - Decreasing Dot Distance: Suggests trend exhaustion or potential reversal. 2. Key PL Dot Patterns ✅ Yes Pattern (Energy Termination Pattern) Indicates the end of a trend and potential reversal. This pattern is characterized by signs of exhaustion: 1. PL Dot Pullback: PL Dot moves off the main trend channel, and the angle starts sloping down. 2. Decreasing Dot Distance: Dots get closer together, signaling waning momentum. 3. Exhaustion Signs: The dot pulls within range, with closes moving towards the PL Dot, causing congestion entrance. 4. Block Occurrence: Price likely returns to the area of 2-3 dots back. 5. Crest Formation: A PL Dot crest forms, indicating a potential market top. 6. Directional Shift: Dot directions begin turning downward. 7. Challenges: Be alert to price challenging PL Dot crests and valleys. --- ❌ No Pattern (Non-Termination Pattern) Indicates that the trend is likely to continue without exhaustion: 1. Similar early behavior to the Yes Pattern but lacks signs of exhaustion. 2. No Significant Pullback: PL Dot may pull within range, but no congestion entrance signs appear (bullish). 3. Price Holds: Prices do not return to the 2-3 dots back area. 4. Weak Crests: No strong crest formation, or it's shallow. 5. Stable Direction: Dot direction struggles to turn down. 6. No Challenges: No challenges to PL Dot crests or valleys, confirming trend strength. --- 3. Trend Pattern (Trend Continuation Pattern) Describes the start or continuation of a trend, especially in the LTP: 1. Dot Opening: PL Dot opens up, with increasing distance between dots, signaling strong momentum. 2. No Exhaustion: Continuation without signs of exhaustion. 3. Energy Refresh: If price reaches the area of 2-3 dots back, expect high energy on any PL Dot refresh. 4. Dots Out of Range: PL Dots move outside the prior bar’s range, confirming a strong trend. 5. Strong Challenges: Challenges to crests only add momentum to the trend. 6. Stable Direction: Dot direction maintains strength with minimal reversals. --- 4. PL Dot Shapes in Congestion When the market is in congestion, expect the following: 1. Sideways Dots: PL Dots snake sideways, indicating market indecision. 2. Support/Resistance Holding: The 6-1 lines hold both sides of the congestion area. 3. Congestion Exit Signs: Look for signs indicating the market is ready to break out of congestion. --- Key Takeaways: - Trend Continuation: Increasing dot distance and out-of-range dots suggest a strong trend. - Trend Exhaustion (Yes Pattern): Decreasing dot distance, dot pullbacks, and crest formation signal potential reversals. - No Pattern: Indicates no exhaustion, suggesting the trend will continue. - Congestion Behavior: PL Dots snake sideways with key support/resistance levels holding firm. Understanding these patterns helps traders anticipate market behavior, identify trend reversals early, and manage trades effectively.
EUR/USD has finally given a change of character to the downside and is currently pulling back into a supply area. The dollar is gaining strength due to Tariffs and looks like it will rise. I will be selling EUR/USD with a sell limit order looking to catch over 200-300 pips over the next few days.
We have identified the following indicators for the SELL opportunity: • Low volume, suggesting a potential reversal from the current direction. • Reflection from the top of the parallel channel. • Return/re-test to the 3M high and 1M high. We have defined 3 target points (TPs): TP 1 = 80 pips TP 2 = 200 pips TP 3 = 400 pips *** Please pay attention to the scenarios from 2015 and 2020, when there were extreme peaks. However, these peaks were temporary, and it’s a matter of good money management, only.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC | 4h If we're gonna front-run the 78k level for a swing point retest and get a reaction at 80k level, then I'm considering this scenario, stopping out the early longers. Possible deviation below npoc, before sweeping the 4h range high at 94-96k
Bitcoin couldn’t hold above key resistance and broke down from its rising structure. Sellers are stepping in—watch this zone closely as momentum shifts bearish.