Price is still bullish overall but retracing to induce sellers to get into the false bearish bias. Price is still overall bullish but a retracement is inevitable.
EURUSD April 30 Trade Executed Previous session Price delivering in a discount, Price only expanded rebalancing a FVG. Price came to the 50 level. Coming into Asia breaks down. I suspected for Price to lower to gravitate to equal lows target. When price hit the equal lows and in a discount I suspected for Price to come to rebalance the FVG and possibility expand to the 50 level. Elements to my set up *liquidity taken *in a discount PD array *inefficiency target identified FVG to rebalance, equal highs *risk to reward calculated *22:05 candle creates FVG *22:40 candle taps the CE of created FVG 22:05 candle *22:40 entry *2:35 candle exit 4 hours for this trade to achieve. 33 pips
Nifty 24334 - Has hit the trend resistance. Though tried to pass many times it closed below the magic 24349. 24280 would be the gate for bear zone to 23300. Well Played Bulls .. All the best Bears..
SWING TRADE SETUP] – TVC:GOLD (4H Analysis) We’re nearing a high-probability long entry on Gold. Price is completing an ABC correction targeting the 0.618–0.786 fib zone (3164–3072), perfectly aligned with a Daily Fair Value Gap (DFVG). Confluences: • 4H FVG & DFVG • Fib retracements • ABC corrective wave Watch for confirmation: Bullish CHoCH, SMT divergence, or Order Block reaction in the zone. Be patient. The apes don’t chase—we ambush.
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Epic Games notched a win in an ongoing legal dispute with Apple. The result could be Fortnite returning to the U.S. iOS app store as early as next week. Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers said in a ruling Wednesday that Apple was in “willful violation” of a 2021 injunction that prohibited the company from anticompetitive pricing. […]
BTCUSDT Calendar Outlook (May–August 2025) May 1–4 Current Zone: $94K–$95K (testing cup rim resistance). Likely consolidation; possible final squeeze before pullback. May 5–12 – Reversal / Handle Formation High probability of short-term pullback into: $86,000–$79,000 (ideal handle zone). RSI cools down on daily, low-volume decline expected. Watch for bullish reversal candles, especially hammer or engulfing. May 13–20 – Breakout Window If BTC holds the handle support and reclaims $94K: Breakout confirmed above $95K with volume. Target 1 activates: $102,000 A daily close above $96K with strong volume = signal to re-enter or add. May 25–31 – Target 1 Zone BTC could reach $102,000, testing first measured resistance. Expect minor rejection or consolidation. RSI likely to re-enter overbought territory. June 10–20 – Target 2 Zone BTC pushes toward $110,000 if trend holds. Momentum from ETF inflows, miner accumulation, or macro risk-on can help. Partial profit-taking advised here based on risk. July – Consolidation or Extension If BTC holds above $100K, sideways action likely. Handle breakout confirms strong cup pattern. Watch for breakout of new short-term bull flag. August 1–20 – Target 3 Zone Full measured move of cup completes: $125,000–$130,000 Strong macro confirmation needed (e.g., Fed dovish, ETF flow continuation). Expect heavy resistance and possible macro topping structure. Bearish Scenarios to Watch May–June: Close below $79K = risk of deeper retrace. Hard Invalidation: Weekly close below $72,000 = cup and handle invalid. If $61,000 is revisited = long-term base rebuilding likely until Q4. What are your thoughts on "Sell in May - Walk away"? Cheers Mr Pine ?
Wheat Futures Update – Focus: Spring Setup + Multi-Timeframe Convergence ? RSI RSI on both 1H and 4H charts bounced from oversold in March and continues to rise. This shows improving momentum with no signs of overbought stress yet. Bullish divergence at the lows confirms the current rebound. ⚡️ Momentum MACD and short-term oscillators have flipped up after a corrective dip. Momentum made a higher low alongside price, confirming a possible trend shift. The ADX is low but ticking up, hinting at a trend reawakening. ? Volume Big volume spikes occurred during March’s capitulation and early April’s rally — signs of accumulation. Pullbacks have had weaker volume, a bullish signal. A breakout above $5.55–$5.60 on rising volume would confirm a larger rally. ? Candlesticks & Patterns Bullish reversal candles formed at $5.17 and $5.25. Price is carving out higher lows and forming a falling wedge — bullish if price breaks out above $5.60. Support remains firm in the $5.20–$5.25 zone. ? Moving Averages Short-term MAs (like 20 and 50 on the 1H) are curling up, while the 4H 50 MA is about to challenge the 200 MA. A golden cross could emerge if prices stay firm. We’re in a trend transition zone — watching for confirmation. ? Elliott Wave The March low likely marked the end of a 5-wave downtrend, and wheat may now be in the early stages of a new 5-wave uptrend. The rally to $5.69 counts as Wave 1, the dip to $5.25 as Wave 2. If valid, Wave 3 could target $6.00–$6.50. ⏳ Cycles 2024 likely marked the bottom of the 8-year wheat cycle. Shorter cycles suggest a rally into late Q2 or early Q3 is probable. Cycle timing aligns with seasonal tailwinds for May–June. ? Seasonality Wheat tends to rally from April through June. We’re now entering the strongest seasonal window, historically associated with weather-driven price spikes. The recent pullback looks like a textbook seasonal buy. ? COT Positioning Funds are still near record net short, while commercials (farmers, users) are heavily long — a classic contrarian bullish setup. Any positive catalyst could ignite a major short-covering rally. Sentiment remains max bearish, which is often bullish. ? Wheat vs. Corn vs. Soybeans Wheat offers the best risk/reward setup now. It’s technically basing with signs of reversal and has the most room to rally. Corn and soybeans look healthy too, but wheat is the laggard with the most explosive upside if it catches up. ? Summary of Indicators (1H + 4H) RSI: Rising ✅ Converging Momentum (MACD): Turning up ✅ Converging Volume: Accumulating ✅ Converging Candlesticks: Bullish ✅ Converging Moving Averages: Mixed ⚠️ Diverging Elliott Wave: Uptrend start ✅ Converging Cycles: Bullish phase ✅ Converging Seasonality: Spring rally ✅ Converging COT Positioning: Contrarian ✅ Bullish ? Invalidates Bullish Setup If: Price breaks below $5.17 Lower high forms under $5.50 and breaks $5.25 Bearish fundamental shock (e.g., supply surge) Seasonality fails to lift price by June ? Trading Plan Short-Term: Buy dips $5.25–$5.35 or break above $5.60. Target $5.70–$6.00. Stop below $5.17. Medium-Term: Accumulate $5.20–$5.40. Target $6.00–$6.50 into summer. Stop below $5.00. Long-Term: Buy and hold in low $5s. Target $7–$8+ over 6–18 months. Stop < $4.80 or manage with small size.
Market break h4 structure now we gonna long in Nasdaq for 20290 20650 is my tp ?? Don't miss this opportunity to make some good profit ? More details message us
Gold Analysis Break Out Support waiting for retest and opportunity to short entry.