The larger structure of DEGO is bearish and has now reached the supply zone. It is expected to move toward the specified targets on the chart soon. The closure of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
The price of US crude oil broke a major technical support in April The price of oil gave a technical red alert at the beginning of April after breaking a major long-term support, all against a complicated fundamental backdrop: the so-called reciprocal tariff trade war, geopolitical tensions and internal divisions within OPEC+. The immediate consequence: a sharp fall in prices, the steepest since the health crisis of 2020. Does this fall reflect economic reality, or is it the result of excessive negative sentiment? WTI has broken the technical threshold of $65, a pivotal level which had been the market peak ahead of the health crisis in early 2020. This multi-year support gave way under the blows of a market frightened by the prospect of a global recession, whereas it had been preserved since last September. But therein lies the nuance: it's not the recession itself that's at work, but the anticipation of a slowdown, fuelled by daily political and commercial volatility. At a fundamental level, the fall in the price of oil represents several factors: - The increased probability of a global economic recession linked to the uncertainty of the prospective international trade framework. - The new all-time record in US oil production and the Trump Administration's intensive drilling policy. - Strong dissension among OPEC+ member countries, which ultimately led to an increase in oil supply of over 400K barrels/day from May onwards, i.e. three times the volume initially forecast - Uncertainty over the evolution of global demand and rising production, it was this new supply/demand ratio that led to the break of the $65 technical support on US crude at the beginning of April. https://www.tradingview.com/x/lI2MCtBy/ $65 is therefore the fundamental and technical pivot for the price of oil The message is twofold. Technically, the signal is crystal-clear: oil has broken a major support. Fundamentally, the scenario of a recession remains hypothetical, as the economic data have not yet validated it. The market is anticipating, often too fast, often too hard. An analysis of the historical price of US oil shows that the $65 threshold is a kind of frontier between optimistic and pessimistic economic expectations. Clearly, if the market holds below this resistance level, it will be a sign of a trade war that is still a long way off trade agreements. On the other hand, a return to the $65 mark would signal a return to a stable trading environment and a rise in the price of oil towards $80. Finally, from a macro point of view, an oil price below $65 could accelerate the disinflation process, bringing the FED closer to a pivot. April's fall in the price of oil on the commodities market would therefore be a blessing in disguise. https://www.tradingview.com/x/hwZwPXPS/ DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. 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Hey everyone, it's Tradevietstock again! The market is currently in an extreme fear state according to CNN Fear and Greed Index, which often signals a potential historical bottom across major trading assets, including the S&P 500 and Bitcoin. Additionally, the BTC Inflow to Accumulation Addresses peaks, which means more and more large buyers enter the market. https://www.tradingview.com/x/m5r28uHp/ According to my Quantum Flux model, we are now witnessing the end of Phase 1 for Bitcoin, as it discounted around 30% — typically marking the conclusion of a bearish cycle. https://www.tradingview.com/x/PjCURHpq/ This model is flashing entry signals, suggesting that we are on the cusp of a new bullish wave. Based on this, I recommend considering entry at the current price zone. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ei4VvS2N/ The future target for BTC remains around its previous highs — approximately $100,000. Looking back, we observed the exact same setup during the extreme fear period of June 2021. At that time, the Quantum Flux also indicated the end of Phase 1, and soon after, Bitcoin surged to its all-time high. https://www.tradingview.com/x/fqjmqOd2/ We are now seeing identical patterns emerge, which I believe presents a compelling mid-term investment opportunity. My signals: Positions: BUY Take Profit: 100k This is a mid-term investment. Please stay alert to every major signals and your risk management.
Today we’re starting a series on the main mistakes in trading. Feel free to ask questions in the comments and share your own tips and life hacks! Let’s get started: The mistakes are always the same, and they haven't changed over time. People traded in 1925 the same way they do now. They made the same typical mistakes then as they do today. The reason is simple — human psychology hasn’t changed. Trading is a battle with your own inner demons. I have made a huge number of mistakes, killed countless nerve cells, and lost a lot of money — that's why I truly hope this and the upcoming posts will help you at least a little and save you some pain. Mistake #1 No Trading Plan. Trading "by feel" without clear rules for entry, exit, and risk management. Treat trading like a business. Because that’s exactly what it is: your business. And as with any other business, success is only possible with a clear strategy (How much do I want to earn? How will I do it? What do I need? How much capital do I need? Why can I earn? What is my edge over others?), a deep understanding of the subject (study books and the experience of successful traders), persistence, patience, capital management, risk management, continuous analysis and adaptation of your trading strategy, and long-term thinking — focusing on a series of trades rather than any single success or failure. Losses are part of the business. Accept them. Do not identify yourself with your trades. Mistakes happen in any business. When building your trading plan, always think: "This trade can be a losing one." This shifts your mindset immediately — you start thinking about how much you can afford to lose without blowing up your account or experiencing heavy stress. Always set a stop loss immediately after opening a position. Limit your losses right away to a level you’re mentally comfortable with. If you get hit emotionally, it could take a long time to recover — and possibly deal with stress-related health issues. So what do we do? We create a detailed trading plan — both long-term and daily. Daily Plan: It doesn’t matter what timeframe you trade on — even if it’s 5 minutes. You should immediately mark your levels: Where will you buy? Where will you sell? Where is your stop loss? What position size? Will you add to the position or not? What will you do if the market opens down, up, sideways, or diagonally? The trading plan should cover all open and planned positions. Long-Term Plan: I make a plan for the coming year. It looks more like a business plan: How much capital do I have? How much can I theoretically earn? How will I earn it? Will I reinvest or withdraw profits, and how often? What are the commission costs (maybe it’s time to switch brokers)? What is the maximum size I can open per instrument? What is the maximum total exposure I can afford (especially if using leverage)? What are the tax implications? I usually review this plan once a month or as needed. Mistake #2 Lack of Discipline in Following the Trading Plan Great, you have a trading plan — now the task is simply not to break it. Solution: 1. Once again — trading is your business! Treat it that way. Don’t turn trading into a casino. 2. Before each trade, ask yourself: Why am I entering this position? or Why am I exiting this position? If you can't clearly and logically explain it — then don't enter the trade. Answers like "someone told me," "I saw a signal," "I feel it," or "I hope" — are NOT acceptable. 3. Create a professional trading environment: No distractions around you. No eating at your trading desk (drinks are allowed). No loud, distracting music. Keep your workspace clean and focused. Trading is a serious business — eliminate chaos. Mistake #3 Overtrading Taking too many trades driven by emotions, the urge to "win back losses," or FOMO (fear of missing out). In theory, if you have a solid trading plan and stick to it with discipline, overtrading shouldn’t happen. But we’re human — and sometimes it’s hard to resist the urge to jump back in. Solution: One very effective method: Halve your position size for each subsequent emotional trade. Meaning: You’ll think twice before closing a position impulsively — knowing you can only re-enter with half the size. And even if you start getting greedy or impulsive, this rule helps to limit your risk and potential losses. These are the major mistakes. We’ll dive into more detailed "fine-tuning" mistakes and techniques in the next post!
There can be a short pullback, which can be a quick move also The momentum is very low but the volume is still high
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25 Fun Coupon Friday. Summary - STILL with HTF Order block (weekly) - All long positions invalid until weekly close above weekly order block - Short positions charted - The more breaks of 15' structure the more confluence for bearish pressure - Lower time frame turn around in price action REQUIRED in all short positions. FRGNT X
Back up the truck! We're crashing BTC to 55-57K next Sunday the 27th of April May the Fork be with you! NotTradingAdvice YourOwnRisk ResearchFractals PitchForkTA TheRoaring2020s btc eth Crypto @X3EM on BlueSky
FX:GBPUSD We are waiting for the first key level break at wave B, and for further confirmation, the key level break at X is needed to initiate wave C.
Its been a crazy week.This is because i am developing a new trading strategy.Trying to learn something new is not easy at all. When you look at this chart you will see: -The cross below the 20 level -The blue line is above the orange line -The Stochastic has coordinates These 3 things will show you how to take profit on trades.Also they will show you when to enter them. i had to change Stochastic coordinates to show you the "Dip Buy" Strategy. This strategy is based on buying prices that are cheap. It is not easy to follow.Because when you decide to buy at these prices,You are going against the crowd. To take profit , you have to exit at the top of this indicator. This is why these coordinates are important.The purpose is to show you when to take profit, and how to take profit. This will help you on your trading path. Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer:Trading is risky please risk management and profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
Key Level Zone: 0.0890 - 0.0902 HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency