Gold prices continued to weaken today due to stronger-than-expected important US economic news. The US retail sales report for November showed an increase of 0.7%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the forecast increase of 0.5%. This information made some gold investors worry that the FED may postpone the 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut after the end of the monetary policy meeting in the early morning of December 19. Since then, many people have temporarily stopped trading gold. On the other hand, gold is also likely to have limited purchasing power due to some forecasts of rising inflation in the US, a slowing labor market..., prompting the FED to stop cutting interest rates early in 2025. At that time, the USD could increase in value very strongly, negatively affecting the world gold price trend. The question now is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market has been expecting. Investors are now expecting the Fed to be more cautious in easing monetary policy, given the impact of Donald Trump’s agenda on inflation.
Uh is taking a tut down we’re in Asian and it’s not pushing up
1. Daily Chart (1D) * Trend: QQQ continues its uptrend within a rising channel. The price has broken through upper resistance and is testing the top of the channel. * Support/Resistance: * Immediate Support: 525.60 * Major Support: 513.30 * Resistance Zone: 539.15 (current high) * Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum but signs of flattening, suggesting a possible slowdown. * Volume: Decreasing slightly as price rises, which may indicate weaker buying pressure. Outlook (Daily): * Bullish Scenario: If QQQ holds above 535, a retest of 539-540 is possible. * Bearish Scenario: A break below 535 could see a retracement to 525. https://www.tradingview.com/x/KPsBqSZa/ 2. Hourly Chart (1H) * Trend: Short-term weakening with signs of rejection near 539. The price is currently pulling back to test the mid-channel support. * Support/Resistance: * Support: 533.10 (current area), followed by 530.00 * Resistance: 538.80, 539.15 * Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover forming, indicating momentum shift to downside. * Volume: Increased selling pressure near resistance zones. Outlook (Hourly): * A pullback to 533 is likely, with potential for further downside to 530 if support breaks. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Ytc9muPX/ 3. GEX Analysis * Gamma Walls: * 535: Highest negative NETGEX (PUT Support Zone). Breaking below this could accelerate selling pressure. * 539: Small resistance wall. * 529: Positive Gamma Call Wall indicating strong support. * Options Oscillator : * IVR: 16.6 – Low implied volatility. * GEX: Mixed bias with PUTS at 21.3% dominance. * Interpretation: * Market makers are hedging around 535. A break below could trigger larger put-side moves to 532 or 529. Trade Outlook: * Scalping: * Bullish Setup: Long at 533 with stop-loss at 530 and target 538. * Bearish Setup: Short below 533 targeting 530 or 529. * Swing Trade: Watch for confirmed rejection at 539 or strong support at 533 for trend continuation setups. Conclusion: QQQ is showing short-term weakness while remaining within a broader uptrend. Key levels to watch are 535 for support and 539 as resistance. Traders should monitor Gamma exposure around 535 for directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its recovery from the $2,633 level, a one-week low, and gains modest traction during the Asian session on Wednesday. The uptick appears to be driven by repositioning ahead of a key central bank event. However, gains are likely to be limited as traders await the outcome of the crucial two-day FOMC policy meeting later today. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is broadly expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and signal a more cautious approach to further rate reductions. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The market will pick up and recover when the FED lowers interest rates later today. But it won't have too much of an impact because most investors won't be too surprised. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: ?SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2662 SL $2667 scalping TP1: $2658 TP2: $2652 TP3: $2645 ?SELL GOLD zone: $2694 - $2696 SL $2702 TP1: $2685 TP2: $2670 TP3: $2660 ?BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600 TP1: $2618 TP2: $2630 TP3: $2645 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZoxvxDvw/ EURCAD broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance. The broken structure turned into support now. Probabilities are high that the market will continue rising at least to 1.5088. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
1-Day Chart (Daily Overview): * Trend: AAPL is trading in a clear upward channel, breaking above resistance levels and nearing overbought territory. * Price: Currently at $253.48. * Support Levels: * Short-term: $237.50 (daily support). * Stronger base: $219.50. * Resistance Levels: * Immediate: $255.00 (channel resistance). * Higher target: $260.00. * Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum but flattening; watch for cross-down signals. * Volume: Rising volume supports the uptrend. https://www.tradingview.com/x/FP4GYB2C/ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday Overview): * Trend: AAPL is showing some consolidation after a strong rally. * Price Action: * Testing upper trend line resistance at $255.00. * A pullback could test support at $251.00. * EMA: * 9 EMA and 21 EMA are bullish; price remains above both. * Support: * $251.00 – first line of defense. * $245.80 – stronger intraday support. * Resistance: * Immediate: $255.00. * Breakout target: $260.00. * Volume: Increased sell volume at intraday highs; monitor for weakness. https://www.tradingview.com/x/B5fQ2qt2/ GEX Analysis (Gamma Exposure): * Key Levels: * Highest GEX Wall: $255.00 (strong call resistance; sellers may take control here). * 2nd Call Wall: $260.00 (bullish breakout potential). * Gamma Support: $247.50 – strong downside buffer. * PUT Support: $237.50 – bearish exposure increases below this level. * Options Metrics: * GEX%: 30.3% CALL dominance. * IVR: 17.3, with an implied volatility average of 32.7. * Key Takeaway: Elevated call walls suggest resistance near $255 and $260. If price rejects at these levels, watch for a retest of $250. Trading Plan Scalping Outlook: * Bullish: * Entry: Above $253.50. * Target: $255.00. * Stop-loss: $252.50. * Bearish: * Entry: Below $252.00. * Target: $250.50. * Stop-loss: $253.00. Swing/Day Trade Outlook: * Bullish: * Entry: On breakout above $255.00. * Target 1: $257.50. * Target 2: $260.00. * Stop-loss: $251.00. * Bearish: * Entry: Below $251.00. * Target 1: $247.50. * Target 2: $245.00. * Stop-loss: $252.50. Outlook Summary: * Short-term: AAPL may test $255 as resistance before deciding direction. * Directional Bias: Bullish as long as it holds above $251. * Key to Watch: * Breakout above $255 for continuation toward $260. * Failure to hold $251 could signal profit-taking. Options Suggestion: * Calls: Consider $255 strike calls for this week if price sustains above $253.50. * Puts: $250 strike puts if price breaks below $251.00. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence.
Event to pay attention to today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) is experiencing difficulty capitalising on a modest recovery against its US counterpart from the previous day, attracting fresh sellers during Wednesday's Asian session. The latest data from Japan shows an unexpected improvement in the country's trade balance in November, driven by strong export growth. However, the data also points to weak local demand, as indicated by the decline in imports. This, along with an uncertain economic outlook amid concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans, confirms expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will keep interest rates unchanged later this week, which will have the effect of undermining the yen. Meanwhile, the prospect of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, as well as expectations that Trump's policies could boost government borrowing and accelerate inflation, continue to support US Treasury yields. This is another factor weighing on the low-yielding JPY, although the softer risk tone helps to limit the potential for further losses. JPY bears may also choose to adopt a more cautious approach and refrain from making any significant bets ahead of a key central bank event. The Federal Reserve will announce its decision at the conclusion of its two-day meeting today, followed by the Bank of Japan's monetary policy update on Thursday. Trade recommendation: We follow the level of 153.500, if it is fixed above we consider Buy positions, if it bounces back we consider Sell positions.
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Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2645, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 2636.49, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 2648.90, a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold prices need to clear $2,664-$2,664 levels for investors to gain control of the short-term market. From a technical perspective, any subsequent up-move might face hurdles near the weekly highs, around the $2,664-$2,666 area touched on Monday, ahead of the $2,677 area. A sustained strength beyond the latter should allow Gold prices to reclaim the $2,700 round figure. The up-move could extend towards the monthly swing highs, around the $2,726 zone, above which XAU/USD is likely to resume its upward trajectory. On the flip side, the overnight swing low, around the $2,633 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the monthly trough, around the $2,614 zone. This is followed by the $2,600 level, which, if broken decisively, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make Gold prices vulnerable to extending the recent sharp decline from the one-month highs touched last week.