Otherwise Fund's Terrance Rohan, investing in Y Combinator since 2010, says he noticed a "vibe shift" with this batch thanks to AI. © 2024 TechCrunch. All rights reserved. For personal use only.
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Probability: High Position: Long Context: 1H/4H Bullish imbalance
Market Structure & Price Action Microsoft (MSFT) is in a downward channel, with price testing a reversal zone between $375 - $380. The stock is attempting to stabilize but remains in a bearish structure until it can break key resistance levels. * Trend: Short-term bearish; potential for a bounce. * Reversal Zone: Price is currently consolidating near a potential demand zone, which may trigger a reversal if buyers step in. * Key Resistance: $395 - $402 * Key Support: $375 - $370 Momentum Indicators * MACD: Slight bullish crossover emerging, but still within a weak momentum range. * Stochastic RSI: Rebounding from oversold conditions, signaling a possible short-term move higher. GEX & Options Sentiment https://www.tradingview.com/x/NKETOmNc/ * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 68.2, indicating moderate volatility. * IVx Average: 35, showing an increase in options activity. * Put-to-Call Ratio: 21.9% Puts, showing some bearish sentiment but not extreme. * Gamma Exposure (GEX): ???, indicating that market makers may contribute to downward pressure. * HVL (High Volume Level): $370, suggesting a key support where liquidity might concentrate. Trade Scenarios ? Bullish Scenario: * A breakout above $395 could lead to a move towards $405 - $415, with a higher target at $430 if momentum strengthens. * Entry: $395+ breakout with confirmation. * Stop-loss: $385 * Profit targets: $405, $415, $430 ? Bearish Scenario: * A breakdown below $375 could trigger further downside toward $370, and possibly test $360. * Entry: Below $375 * Stop-loss: $385 * Profit targets: $370, $360 Conclusion & Outlook MSFT is currently testing a demand zone but needs more confirmation before a solid reversal can be confirmed. Options data suggests some bearish pressure, but a bounce is possible if key resistance levels are cleared. Traders should monitor volume and price action carefully around $380 - $395 for the next move. ? Bearish Bias Unless a Reversal is Confirmed Above $395 ? Upside Potential if Market Strength Increases ? This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade carefully and manage risk accordingly.
? $BTC/USDT Market Update – Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern ? CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now testing the red resistance zone, which aligns with the previous Lower High (LH). The price is also forming a bullish pattern, indicating potential breakout momentum. ? If BTC successfully breaks above this resistance: First target: Green line level. Second target: Blue line level (previous resistance zone). ? Failure to break the red zone may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
? Market Structure & Trend Analysis * NVDA is trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows defining the structure. * The price has entered a key reversal zone but remains below the resistance trendline. * A potential breakout above $110 could signal a shift in momentum. ? Support & Resistance Levels * Resistance Levels: * $110 – Short-term resistance, within the rejection zone. * $126-$130 – Major CALL resistance zone, confirmed by GEX data. * $134.94 – Highest resistance from previous structure. * Support Levels: * $105 – Immediate support, aligning with high negative GEX (PUT Wall). * $100 – Psychological support level. * $95-$90 – Deep support zone, if NVDA fails to hold current levels. ? GEX & Options Data Insights https://www.tradingview.com/x/GxiBO0iQ/ * ? Call Resistance at $130-$135: Strong gamma resistance could limit upside. * ? Negative GEX at $105: This suggests a high concentration of PUTs, making it a potential support zone. * ? Implied Volatility (IV): * IV Rank: 51.6 (Moderate) * IVx Avg: 72.3 (Currently low, meaning options are relatively cheaper) * Call Activity: 14.7%, indicating weak bullish participation. * ? Bullish Breakout Target: If NVDA moves above $110, potential upside towards $126-$130. * ? Bearish Breakdown Target: If NVDA fails to hold $105, it may test $100 or lower. ? Trade Setups ? Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above $110) * Entry: Above $110 with volume confirmation. * Targets: $126, $130. * Stop-Loss: Below $105. ? Bearish Scenario (Rejection at $110) * Entry: Below $109 after confirmation. * Targets: $105, $100. * Stop-Loss: Above $112. ⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Management * NVDA is at a critical juncture – a breakout could push it toward higher resistance zones, but failure here may lead to a retest of $100. * Monitor volume and momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) for confirmation. * Options flow suggests a weak bullish push, so careful position sizing is key. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. ?
? TVC:GOLD (XAU/USD) Market Update – Rounding Top Formation & Key Support Test ? Gold is currently forming a rounding top pattern, indicating potential weakness in momentum. ? Current Scenario: If the price returns to the green support zone, it could act as a strong support level. Buyers may step in at this zone, leading to a potential bounce and renewed bullish momentum. ? Traders should watch for confirmation signals at the green zone to assess whether buyers regain control.