I woke up and saw this set up. I'm currently targeting 20-30 pips because price has been ranging within a HTF POI. I'm still waiting for a solid bias confirmation. We might get a bias tomorrow during NFP release. Meanwhile I will be taking off few pips. Have a pipful day
Elliott picture is unclear, yet there are signs of undergoing pivot. There is a fairly massive engulfing bullish candle that crosses both vWAP and US lines. There is a cross on the VZO, Ehler's Stochastic that occurred simultaneously. BB %PCT looks to cross soon as well. The stop loss is pretty tight, good luck in your trading.
USD/CHF news: ?The USD/CHF pair continues its recovery from the mid-0.8800s—its lowest level since December 12—gaining upward momentum for the second consecutive day on Thursday. During the Asian session, spot prices climb back above the 0.8900 level, although the upward movement remains limited due to ongoing bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD). ?The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD against a basket of major currencies, has dropped to a four-month low amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement multiple interest rate cuts this year. These expectations were reinforced by Wednesday's weak ADP report, which revealed that private-sector employers added only 77K jobs in February. Additionally, concerns persist that trade tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump could significantly slow the US economy, further weighing on the dollar. ?However, a notable rebound in US Treasury bond yields helps further curb USD declines. Additionally, the risk-on sentiment in equity markets weakens demand for the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF), offering some support to the USD/CHF pair. Nonetheless, traders may wait for stronger buying momentum before confirming a near-term bottom and anticipating further gains. Many may also remain cautious ahead of Friday’s release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Personal opinion: ?USD/CHF will reverse lower after the bullish momentum gradually weakens and is replaced by less positive economic news for the USD. Analysis: ?Rely on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: ? Price Zone Setup: ?Sell USD/CHF 0.8920 – 0.8930 ❌SL: 0.88960 | ✅TP: 0.8860 – 0.8820 – 0.8770 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???
Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis (30-Min Chart) Current Price: 92,005 USD 1. Key Levels & Distances Resistance Zone: 94,000 USD (+1,995 USD from current price) Support Zone: 91,500 USD (-505 USD from current price) Major Support: 90,000 USD (-2,005 USD from current price) 2. Trend Analysis & Possible Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Uptrend) If the price maintains support above 91,500 USD and breaks 94,000 USD, it could push higher toward 95,000 USD or more. Confirmation of higher highs and higher lows will strengthen bullish momentum. Bearish Scenario (Downtrend) If the price fails to break 94,000 USD and drops below 91,500 USD, a correction towards 90,000 USD is possible. Breaking below 90,000 USD could indicate a larger downtrend. --- 3. Trading Strategy Insights For Buyers (Long Positions): Look for a breakout above 94,000 USD before entering. A stop-loss around 91,500 USD. Target profit at 95,000+ USD. For Sellers (Short Positions): If price rejects 94,000 USD, short entries below 91,500 USD could be considered. Stop-loss near 92,500 USD. Profit target around 90,000 USD.
?️ Analysis on China A50 weekly chart: ? Dow Theory : After around 50% drop from its former peak, the index achieved its lowest low (LL) at 10,616.8. It then established two higher highs (2HH) and two higher lows (2HL), with the latest higher low being 12,599.1. From this perspective, the index has a high chance of continuing the uptred and reaching it's former high at 20,603.1. ? Elliott Wave Analysis: During its downtrend, the index exhibited a clear W-X-Y formation, with each of the wave roughly equating 100% of each other. After its termination point, it rebounded with an impulse, followed by a zigzag correction. The correction removed around 80% of its former advance, then bounced back again and made a new high with strong driving force. Then, the price corrected below the peak of the first impulse, so it is assumed that the second impulse and correction waves are at one degree lower. ? Now, this environment sets for the event which Elliott wave analysts called a "third wave extension", meaning this rally could be exceptionally powerful, and thus could easily surpass the former peak itself. Using fibonacci extension on log scale, a potential price objective of 23,727.6 is projected. #ChinaA50 #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DowTheory #ElliottWave #Impulse #ThirdWaveExtension
So far, it has been a rough week for the USD, with the index dropping from the 107 zone to 104 and breaking below the key 106 support level. However, the DXY is currently seated on strong support, and a relief rally could be imminent. I’m closely watching for signs of a reversal for confirmation while keeping an eye for short trades on EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
Since Sunday March 2nd 2025 EU has been on an uptrend. A FVG formed on the 1 hour timeframe at 4am eastern time. It was then triggered/retested between the hours of 6 and 7am eastern time. The profit targets were determined by past buy side liquidity that hadn't been touched yet.
LDO 12H Hidden Bullish Divergence. All indicators are showing bullish scenario. RSI, Stochastic, MACD, MCB.
After analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction. Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Understanding Market Maker's Perspective: Liquidity Sweeps and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) In this educational post, I'll dive into the smart money concepts (SMC) that help traders understand market behavior from a broker or market maker's perspective. This analysis will focus on liquidity sweeps, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and how market makers use these strategies to manipulate price movements. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ezfpZqD9/ What is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when the market pushes through a known level of liquidity, such as stop losses or pending orders. This action often creates sharp wicks or sudden moves, typically engineered by smart money to gather liquidity for their positions. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Explained An FVG is a price gap between a consecutive bullish and bearish candle (or vice versa), leaving a void in the market. These gaps often act as magnets for price, as market makers seek to "fill" these gaps, using them as traps for retail traders. The Retail Trader's Perspective Many new traders view the FVG as a signal to enter the market, expecting price to move in their favor immediately. They often set stop losses below recent lows, providing market makers with a clear liquidity target. How Market Makers Exploit Liquidity Market makers often execute a classic trap strategy: Push the price up slightly to create a false sense of security for retail buyers. Execute a sharp move down to trigger stop losses and capture liquidity below key levels. Finally, reverse the price direction sharply to the upside, aligning with their true market intent. Practical Trading Strategy For new traders, understanding this concept can help avoid common traps: Avoid entering trades at the FVG without confirmation. Look for signs of a liquidity sweep, such as long wicks or strong rejections. Enter trades only after seeing a market structure shift (MSS) that confirms the true direction. https://www.tradingview.com/x/3nDhIF9r/ Conclusion By thinking like a market maker, traders can align their strategies with smart money concepts, improving their chances of success. Always remain patient, seek confirmation, and avoid the traps set by market manipulation. This post aims to educate traders on avoiding common pitfalls and developing a more strategic approach to trading using smart money concepts.