US equities closed the week with significant losses, reversing the gains recorded during the previous week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped more than 1%, reflecting a clear deterioration in market sentiment amid multiple adverse factors. The bearish session unfolded in an environment dominated by worrying signs of inflationary pressures, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key gauge followed by the Federal Reserve (FED). The core PCE posted a monthly increase of 0.4%, the largest gain since January 2024, exceeding market expectations. On an annual basis, this measure accelerated to a concerning 2.8%, signaling persistent inflationary pressure that could complicate future monetary policy decisions by the FED. At the same time, soft data has continued to deteriorate significantly, adding uncertainty regarding the resilience of hard data. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 57, its lowest level since November 2022, due to negative expectations regarding personal finances, unemployment, and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of consumers anticipate a rise in the unemployment rate, reflecting a level of concern not seen since the 2009 financial crisis. Much of this uncertainty has been fueled by recent policies implemented by the Trump administration, particularly government spending cuts and aggressive trade policies. The latest move came with the announcement of 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, effective April 3. This measure triggered an immediate negative reaction in both local and international markets, anticipating higher costs for US consumers and potential trade retaliation from key partners such as the European Union, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea. At the sector level, discretionary consumer goods were the most affected on Friday, while utilities showed relative resilience. This uneven performance supports the case for a defensive market, reflecting a growing risk aversion among investors. The combination of inflationary pressures, economic slowdown, and rising trade tensions creates a challenging environment for equities. Overall, current conditions point toward a concerning scenario with signs of stagflation: low economic growth coupled with persistent inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic sentiment. In conclusion, it will be key to closely monitor the evolution of hard economic data as well as the international response to US trade policies. The big question in the coming months is whether the current fragility in economic sentiment will ultimately translate into hard economic indicators, decisively impacting equities. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
#TUTUSDT.P Looking at the chart, I expect the price to hover within a range for a while before making sharp downward moves. As shown in the visual, I anticipate the price to fluctuate between $0.043 - $0.038, then break the $0.037 - $0.037 levels and quickly test $0.032 and $0.027 levels. However, before the major drop, I believe the price will give us another opportunity to enter a short position. Therefore, I have set my short position target at $0.038 after opening it at $0.043. May our trades be profitable, friends! ????⚡⏳ Manage your risk, stay in the game! ?? #AlyAnaliz #TradeSmart #CryptoVision #TUTUSDT #Binanciega
The S&P 500 (SPX) is showing signs of a downward trend, aligning with the 123 wave target around 5220. This critical area could offer insights into the next potential moves in the market.
First of all, I must say that this is a short-term analysis in a 15-minute time frame . Please be careful . Let's take risks while respecting capital management. Be sure to respect capital management. Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the support zone($84,120_$81,500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) near the lower line of the ascending channel . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could complete its 5 bearish waves near the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Bitcoin to be able to rise to at least $85,400. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,397_$85,760 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,262_$83,336 Note: One of the reasons for Bitcoin's decline is the decline in US indices such as CME_MINI:NQ1! , SP:SPX , and TVC:DJI . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,000, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button ?? & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD Forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. BTC can do this not financial advice.
This dxy really tested my resolve this week. I was expecting this sell on Wed and Thurs because I have no other objective to the upside as I said in my previous post. But it continued ranging and in that range I lost money. Reason been I was breaking even, entering again since I thought it was a sure move and stopped out many times. It made me also lose my 3 open positions. Now I'm left with just one. The market can be irrational more than you can remain solvent. It is okay to reduce risk, it is okay to wait for higher timeframe confirmation. What is not okay is rushing into a trade and losing money even when you're right. My objectives for the downtrend are highlighted on my chart. Look at them, I will also update you when I see a possibility of a retracement. Follow me as most of my trades are market order and not just lines on chart. You will be able to see them on time and trade them with me.
Polkadot can drop another 10% from current zones where we are seeing similar market structure development like we had last time we formed a fakeout above the EMAs. More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy! Swallow Team
Gold forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. Wait for one side breakout. Not financial advice.
By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
US500 - Intraday Closed the day little net changed. An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning. Immediate signals are hard to interpret. Bespoke resistance is located at 5853. Bespoke support is located at 5536. Dips continue to attract buyers. We look to Buy at 5609 (stop at 5572) Our profit targets will be 5719 and 5853 Resistance: 5719 / 5737 / 5853 Support: 5616 / 5607 / 5536 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.